Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end, reflecting stalled bilateral diplomacy after the unproductive August 2025 Alaska summit and limited follow-through on Ukraine peace efforts. Recent phone contacts have not produced scheduled in-person talks, amid continued conflict escalation and competing U.S. priorities such as Iran and NATO relations. China leads alternative locations as a plausible neutral site for broader discussions on trade, security guarantees, or multilateral formats like the G20, consistent with patterns of great-power engagement. Traditional European or neutral venues remain low-probability due to sanctions constraints, alliance pressures, and lack of confirmed invitations, while U.S. hosting faces domestic and alliance headwinds. These odds capture the wisdom of crowds assessing procedural and geopolitical barriers to rapid summit diplomacy.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 62%
China 32%
United States 3.7%
Gulf country <1%
$489,911 KL.
$489,911 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
62%
China
32%
United States
4%
Gulf country
1%
Other
1%
Turkey
1%
Other EU country
1%
Russia
1%
Finland
<1%
Switzerland
<1%
Belarus
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
No meeting by December 31 62%
China 32%
United States 3.7%
Gulf country <1%
$489,911 KL.
$489,911 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
$96,403 KL.
62%
China
$62,147 KL.
32%
United States
$25,351 KL.
4%
Gulf country
$17,232 KL.
1%
Other
$18,160 KL.
1%
Turkey
$25,095 KL.
1%
Other EU country
$16,060 KL.
1%
Russia
$66,447 KL.
1%
Finland
$21,461 KL.
<1%
Switzerland
$20,685 KL.
<1%
Belarus
$19,715 KL.
<1%
South Korea
$17,434 KL.
<1%
Ukraine
$17,686 KL.
<1%
Japan
$24,772 KL.
<1%
Australia
$41,264 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end, reflecting stalled bilateral diplomacy after the unproductive August 2025 Alaska summit and limited follow-through on Ukraine peace efforts. Recent phone contacts have not produced scheduled in-person talks, amid continued conflict escalation and competing U.S. priorities such as Iran and NATO relations. China leads alternative locations as a plausible neutral site for broader discussions on trade, security guarantees, or multilateral formats like the G20, consistent with patterns of great-power engagement. Traditional European or neutral venues remain low-probability due to sanctions constraints, alliance pressures, and lack of confirmed invitations, while U.S. hosting faces domestic and alliance headwinds. These odds capture the wisdom of crowds assessing procedural and geopolitical barriers to rapid summit diplomacy.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Khối lượng
$489,911Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end, reflecting stalled bilateral diplomacy after the unproductive August 2025 Alaska summit and limited follow-through on Ukraine peace efforts. Recent phone contacts have not produced scheduled in-person talks, amid continued conflict escalation and competing U.S. priorities such as Iran and NATO relations. China leads alternative locations as a plausible neutral site for broader discussions on trade, security guarantees, or multilateral formats like the G20, consistent with patterns of great-power engagement. Traditional European or neutral venues remain low-probability due to sanctions constraints, alliance pressures, and lack of confirmed invitations, while U.S. hosting faces domestic and alliance headwinds. These odds capture the wisdom of crowds assessing procedural and geopolitical barriers to rapid summit diplomacy.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$489,911Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end, reflecting stalled bilateral diplomacy after the unproductive August 2025 Alaska summit and limited follow-through on Ukraine peace efforts. Recent phone contacts have not produced scheduled in-person talks, amid continued conflict escalation and competing U.S. priorities such as Iran and NATO relations. China leads alternative locations as a plausible neutral site for broader discussions on trade, security guarantees, or multilateral formats like the G20, consistent with patterns of great-power engagement. Traditional European or neutral venues remain low-probability due to sanctions constraints, alliance pressures, and lack of confirmed invitations, while U.S. hosting faces domestic and alliance headwinds. These odds capture the wisdom of crowds assessing procedural and geopolitical barriers to rapid summit diplomacy.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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