Ongoing regional tensions in the Middle East, including risks tied to Iran-aligned groups and potential escalation involving Hezbollah in Lebanon, continue to shape assessments of U.S. diplomatic staffing in Beirut. The State Department ordered non-emergency personnel and family members to depart the embassy in late February 2026 amid heightened threats, reducing the footprint while keeping core operations intact. Subsequent alerts through September 2026 have noted complex security conditions, possible flight disruptions, and targeting risks to U.S. facilities, though the embassy has remained open for routine services. Broader drawdowns across multiple regional posts during earlier conflict phases, followed by some staff returns by late August, reflect ongoing security reviews. Traders monitor for any new official departure orders, diplomatic developments, or military signals that could trigger further adjustments before any market resolution deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
$119,085 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
9%
$119,085 KL.
December 31
$24,983 KL.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Ongoing regional tensions in the Middle East, including risks tied to Iran-aligned groups and potential escalation involving Hezbollah in Lebanon, continue to shape assessments of U.S. diplomatic staffing in Beirut. The State Department ordered non-emergency personnel and family members to depart the embassy in late February 2026 amid heightened threats, reducing the footprint while keeping core operations intact. Subsequent alerts through September 2026 have noted complex security conditions, possible flight disruptions, and targeting risks to U.S. facilities, though the embassy has remained open for routine services. Broader drawdowns across multiple regional posts during earlier conflict phases, followed by some staff returns by late August, reflect ongoing security reviews. Traders monitor for any new official departure orders, diplomatic developments, or military signals that could trigger further adjustments before any market resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Thị trường mở: Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Khối lượng
$119,085Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Ongoing regional tensions in the Middle East, including risks tied to Iran-aligned groups and potential escalation involving Hezbollah in Lebanon, continue to shape assessments of U.S. diplomatic staffing in Beirut. The State Department ordered non-emergency personnel and family members to depart the embassy in late February 2026 amid heightened threats, reducing the footprint while keeping core operations intact. Subsequent alerts through September 2026 have noted complex security conditions, possible flight disruptions, and targeting risks to U.S. facilities, though the embassy has remained open for routine services. Broader drawdowns across multiple regional posts during earlier conflict phases, followed by some staff returns by late August, reflect ongoing security reviews. Traders monitor for any new official departure orders, diplomatic developments, or military signals that could trigger further adjustments before any market resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Khối lượng
$119,085Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Ongoing regional tensions in the Middle East, including risks tied to Iran-aligned groups and potential escalation involving Hezbollah in Lebanon, continue to shape assessments of U.S. diplomatic staffing in Beirut. The State Department ordered non-emergency personnel and family members to depart the embassy in late February 2026 amid heightened threats, reducing the footprint while keeping core operations intact. Subsequent alerts through September 2026 have noted complex security conditions, possible flight disruptions, and targeting risks to U.S. facilities, though the embassy has remained open for routine services. Broader drawdowns across multiple regional posts during earlier conflict phases, followed by some staff returns by late August, reflect ongoing security reviews. Traders monitor for any new official departure orders, diplomatic developments, or military signals that could trigger further adjustments before any market resolution deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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