Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Somaliland as the frontrunner at 44% implied probability to formally join the Abraham Accords before 2027, propelled by Israel's December 2025 recognition of the self-declared republic and Somaliland's explicit pledge to normalize relations upon U.S. recognition, which U.S. diplomats continue discussing amid Horn of Africa strategic shifts. Syria at 23% and Lebanon at 20% reflect recent U.S.-brokered Israel-Lebanon talks—the first in decades—and potential post-Hezbollah openings following regional de-escalation. Saudi Arabia holds steady at 19% despite stalled negotiations over Palestinian statehood demands, while Azerbaijan eyes energy corridor benefits. Key catalysts include pending U.S. recognitions and diplomatic summits through year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtQuốc gia nào sẽ tham gia Hiệp định Abraham trước năm 2027?
Quốc gia nào sẽ tham gia Hiệp định Abraham trước năm 2027?
$529,548 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Somaliland
44%
Syria
23%
Lebanon
21%
Kuwait
20%
Saudi Arabia
19%
Azerbaijan
18%
Oman
15%
$529,548 KL.
Somaliland
$55,294 KL.
44%
Syria
$141,655 KL.
23%
Lebanon
$57,088 KL.
21%
Kuwait
$16,841 KL.
20%
Saudi Arabia
$81,547 KL.
19%
Azerbaijan
$38,807 KL.
18%
Oman
$138,315 KL.
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Somaliland as the frontrunner at 44% implied probability to formally join the Abraham Accords before 2027, propelled by Israel's December 2025 recognition of the self-declared republic and Somaliland's explicit pledge to normalize relations upon U.S. recognition, which U.S. diplomats continue discussing amid Horn of Africa strategic shifts. Syria at 23% and Lebanon at 20% reflect recent U.S.-brokered Israel-Lebanon talks—the first in decades—and potential post-Hezbollah openings following regional de-escalation. Saudi Arabia holds steady at 19% despite stalled negotiations over Palestinian statehood demands, while Azerbaijan eyes energy corridor benefits. Key catalysts include pending U.S. recognitions and diplomatic summits through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
Khối lượng
$529,548Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Somaliland as the frontrunner at 44% implied probability to formally join the Abraham Accords before 2027, propelled by Israel's December 2025 recognition of the self-declared republic and Somaliland's explicit pledge to normalize relations upon U.S. recognition, which U.S. diplomats continue discussing amid Horn of Africa strategic shifts. Syria at 23% and Lebanon at 20% reflect recent U.S.-brokered Israel-Lebanon talks—the first in decades—and potential post-Hezbollah openings following regional de-escalation. Saudi Arabia holds steady at 19% despite stalled negotiations over Palestinian statehood demands, while Azerbaijan eyes energy corridor benefits. Key catalysts include pending U.S. recognitions and diplomatic summits through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$529,548Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Somaliland as the frontrunner at 44% implied probability to formally join the Abraham Accords before 2027, propelled by Israel's December 2025 recognition of the self-declared republic and Somaliland's explicit pledge to normalize relations upon U.S. recognition, which U.S. diplomats continue discussing amid Horn of Africa strategic shifts. Syria at 23% and Lebanon at 20% reflect recent U.S.-brokered Israel-Lebanon talks—the first in decades—and potential post-Hezbollah openings following regional de-escalation. Saudi Arabia holds steady at 19% despite stalled negotiations over Palestinian statehood demands, while Azerbaijan eyes energy corridor benefits. Key catalysts include pending U.S. recognitions and diplomatic summits through year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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