Amid ongoing U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and steel plants since late February, Iranian lawmakers fast-tracked a parliamentary bill in late March to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), arguing it offers no protection to signatories while enabling IAEA inspections exploited for espionage. Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei confirmed the matter under review but stressed Iran's continued compliance with NPT obligations, with no sessions held or votes taken since war began. Traders imply 86% probability of no withdrawal before 2027, viewing rhetoric as posturing akin to unfulfilled threats since 2004, amid barriers like three-month notice requirements, Supreme Leader approval, and risks of intensified sanctions or escalation in active conflict.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
$113,707 KL.
$113,707 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$113,707 KL.
$113,707 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Amid ongoing U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and steel plants since late February, Iranian lawmakers fast-tracked a parliamentary bill in late March to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), arguing it offers no protection to signatories while enabling IAEA inspections exploited for espionage. Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei confirmed the matter under review but stressed Iran's continued compliance with NPT obligations, with no sessions held or votes taken since war began. Traders imply 86% probability of no withdrawal before 2027, viewing rhetoric as posturing akin to unfulfilled threats since 2004, amid barriers like three-month notice requirements, Supreme Leader approval, and risks of intensified sanctions or escalation in active conflict.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
Khối lượng
$113,707Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Amid ongoing U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and steel plants since late February, Iranian lawmakers fast-tracked a parliamentary bill in late March to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), arguing it offers no protection to signatories while enabling IAEA inspections exploited for espionage. Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei confirmed the matter under review but stressed Iran's continued compliance with NPT obligations, with no sessions held or votes taken since war began. Traders imply 86% probability of no withdrawal before 2027, viewing rhetoric as posturing akin to unfulfilled threats since 2004, amid barriers like three-month notice requirements, Supreme Leader approval, and risks of intensified sanctions or escalation in active conflict.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$113,707Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid ongoing U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and steel plants since late February, Iranian lawmakers fast-tracked a parliamentary bill in late March to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), arguing it offers no protection to signatories while enabling IAEA inspections exploited for espionage. Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei confirmed the matter under review but stressed Iran's continued compliance with NPT obligations, with no sessions held or votes taken since war began. Traders imply 86% probability of no withdrawal before 2027, viewing rhetoric as posturing akin to unfulfilled threats since 2004, amid barriers like three-month notice requirements, Supreme Leader approval, and risks of intensified sanctions or escalation in active conflict.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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