Recent U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities in June 2025 and February 2026 damaged key enrichment sites including Natanz and Isfahan, limiting Iran's ability to advance its program. IAEA inspectors have had no access to enrichment plants since mid-2025, while U.S. intelligence assessments through March 2026 confirm Iran has not resumed uranium enrichment. Ongoing ceasefire talks in May 2026 include proposals for nuclear negotiations, potential pauses in enrichment, and addressing highly enriched uranium stockpiles, with Iran stating no plans to weaponize. These verified setbacks and diplomatic channels underpin the strong trader consensus against an Iranian nuclear weapon before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCó
$632,931 KL.
$632,931 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Có
$632,931 KL.
$632,931 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".Recent U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities in June 2025 and February 2026 damaged key enrichment sites including Natanz and Isfahan, limiting Iran's ability to advance its program. IAEA inspectors have had no access to enrichment plants since mid-2025, while U.S. intelligence assessments through March 2026 confirm Iran has not resumed uranium enrichment. Ongoing ceasefire talks in May 2026 include proposals for nuclear negotiations, potential pauses in enrichment, and addressing highly enriched uranium stockpiles, with Iran stating no plans to weaponize. These verified setbacks and diplomatic channels underpin the strong trader consensus against an Iranian nuclear weapon before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Thị trường mở: Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ET
Khối lượng
$632,931Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".Recent U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities in June 2025 and February 2026 damaged key enrichment sites including Natanz and Isfahan, limiting Iran's ability to advance its program. IAEA inspectors have had no access to enrichment plants since mid-2025, while U.S. intelligence assessments through March 2026 confirm Iran has not resumed uranium enrichment. Ongoing ceasefire talks in May 2026 include proposals for nuclear negotiations, potential pauses in enrichment, and addressing highly enriched uranium stockpiles, with Iran stating no plans to weaponize. These verified setbacks and diplomatic channels underpin the strong trader consensus against an Iranian nuclear weapon before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Khối lượng
$632,931Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities in June 2025 and February 2026 damaged key enrichment sites including Natanz and Isfahan, limiting Iran's ability to advance its program. IAEA inspectors have had no access to enrichment plants since mid-2025, while U.S. intelligence assessments through March 2026 confirm Iran has not resumed uranium enrichment. Ongoing ceasefire talks in May 2026 include proposals for nuclear negotiations, potential pauses in enrichment, and addressing highly enriched uranium stockpiles, with Iran stating no plans to weaponize. These verified setbacks and diplomatic channels underpin the strong trader consensus against an Iranian nuclear weapon before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp