**China’s 2026 annual CPI inflation consensus centers on the 0.6–1.0% range amid persistently soft domestic demand and subdued price pressures.** Recent monthly readings show headline inflation easing to 0.5% year-on-year in July from 1.0% in June, driven by ongoing food-price declines—particularly pork amid ample supply—and slower non-food gains after fuel-price adjustments and fading global energy effects. Core inflation has held near 0.9%, while earlier 2026 spikes tied to holidays, gold, and temporary commodity moves have not translated into sustained momentum. Weak consumption, modest results from trade-in subsidies and other stimulus, and producer-price volatility linked to external energy factors continue to anchor expectations near or below 1% for the full-year average, consistent with 2025’s flat outcome and most institutional forecasts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtChina Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0% 61%
0.1 – 0.5% 21.0%
1.1 – 1.5% 9%
2.0-2.4% 5.3%
$73,806 KL.
$73,806 KL.
<-1.0%
3%
-0.9 – -0.5%
1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
21%
0.6 – 1.0%
61%
1.1 – 1.5%
9%
1.6 – 2.0%
4%
2.0-2.4%
5%
2.5%+
<1%
0.6 – 1.0% 61%
0.1 – 0.5% 21.0%
1.1 – 1.5% 9%
2.0-2.4% 5.3%
$73,806 KL.
$73,806 KL.
<-1.0%
3%
-0.9 – -0.5%
1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
21%
0.6 – 1.0%
61%
1.1 – 1.5%
9%
1.6 – 2.0%
4%
2.0-2.4%
5%
2.5%+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Thị trường mở: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**China’s 2026 annual CPI inflation consensus centers on the 0.6–1.0% range amid persistently soft domestic demand and subdued price pressures.** Recent monthly readings show headline inflation easing to 0.5% year-on-year in July from 1.0% in June, driven by ongoing food-price declines—particularly pork amid ample supply—and slower non-food gains after fuel-price adjustments and fading global energy effects. Core inflation has held near 0.9%, while earlier 2026 spikes tied to holidays, gold, and temporary commodity moves have not translated into sustained momentum. Weak consumption, modest results from trade-in subsidies and other stimulus, and producer-price volatility linked to external energy factors continue to anchor expectations near or below 1% for the full-year average, consistent with 2025’s flat outcome and most institutional forecasts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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