Polymarket traders assign a leading 45% implied probability to China's 2026 annual CPI falling in the 0.6-1.0% range, driven by March's year-on-year CPI print of 1.0%—below the 1.2% consensus forecast—and a Q1 average of 0.9%, signaling subdued consumer demand despite the government's "around 2%" target. Core CPI eased to 1.1% in March from February's 1.8% peak, underscoring weak pricing power amid property sector headwinds and overcapacity, though PPI turned positive after 41 months of deflation on higher commodity costs from global tensions. Analyst revisions, such as Focus Economics' lift to 0.6% and IMF's 0.9% projection, align with this trader consensus, with next month's April CPI data poised as a key catalyst.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtChina Annual Inflation 2026
China Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0% 41%
1.1 – 1.5% 20%
0.1 – 0.5% 16%
2.5%+ 10.1%
$32,704 KL.
$32,704 KL.
Jan 10, 2027
<-1.0%
10%
-0.9 – -0.5%
5%
-0.4 – 0.0%
1%
0.1 – 0.5%
16%
0.6 – 1.0%
45%
1.1 – 1.5%
20%
1.6 – 2.0%
7%
2.0-2.4%
6%
2.5%+
10%
0.6 – 1.0% 41%
1.1 – 1.5% 20%
0.1 – 0.5% 16%
2.5%+ 10.1%
$32,704 KL.
$32,704 KL.
Jan 10, 2027
<-1.0%
$16,917 KL.
10%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$1,787 KL.
5%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$1,832 KL.
1%
0.1 – 0.5%
$1,869 KL.
16%
0.6 – 1.0%
$2,055 KL.
45%
1.1 – 1.5%
$2,379 KL.
20%
1.6 – 2.0%
$2,544 KL.
7%
2.0-2.4%
$1,669 KL.
6%
2.5%+
$1,651 KL.
10%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Polymarket traders assign a leading 45% implied probability to China's 2026 annual CPI falling in the 0.6-1.0% range, driven by March's year-on-year CPI print of 1.0%—below the 1.2% consensus forecast—and a Q1 average of 0.9%, signaling subdued consumer demand despite the government's "around 2%" target. Core CPI eased to 1.1% in March from February's 1.8% peak, underscoring weak pricing power amid property sector headwinds and overcapacity, though PPI turned positive after 41 months of deflation on higher commodity costs from global tensions. Analyst revisions, such as Focus Economics' lift to 0.6% and IMF's 0.9% projection, align with this trader consensus, with next month's April CPI data poised as a key catalyst.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Thị trường mở: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$32,704Ngày kết thúc
Jan 10, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Polymarket traders assign a leading 45% implied probability to China's 2026 annual CPI falling in the 0.6-1.0% range, driven by March's year-on-year CPI print of 1.0%—below the 1.2% consensus forecast—and a Q1 average of 0.9%, signaling subdued consumer demand despite the government's "around 2%" target. Core CPI eased to 1.1% in March from February's 1.8% peak, underscoring weak pricing power amid property sector headwinds and overcapacity, though PPI turned positive after 41 months of deflation on higher commodity costs from global tensions. Analyst revisions, such as Focus Economics' lift to 0.6% and IMF's 0.9% projection, align with this trader consensus, with next month's April CPI data poised as a key catalyst.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Khối lượng
$32,704Ngày kết thúc
Jan 10, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders assign a leading 45% implied probability to China's 2026 annual CPI falling in the 0.6-1.0% range, driven by March's year-on-year CPI print of 1.0%—below the 1.2% consensus forecast—and a Q1 average of 0.9%, signaling subdued consumer demand despite the government's "around 2%" target. Core CPI eased to 1.1% in March from February's 1.8% peak, underscoring weak pricing power amid property sector headwinds and overcapacity, though PPI turned positive after 41 months of deflation on higher commodity costs from global tensions. Analyst revisions, such as Focus Economics' lift to 0.6% and IMF's 0.9% projection, align with this trader consensus, with next month's April CPI data poised as a key catalyst.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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