Polymarket traders have priced closely matched implied probabilities—around 20% each for 1.50%-2.24%, 2.25%-2.99%, 3.75%-4.49%, and 4.50%+ bins—in the India Annual Inflation 2026 market, which resolves on December 2026 year-on-year CPI per MoSPI data. This tight contest stems from March 2026 CPI accelerating to 3.40%, a 14-month high driven by food prices, contrasting earlier readings like January's 2.75% under the new base-2024 series. The Reserve Bank of India's April MPC held the repo rate at 5.25% while projecting FY27 CPI at 4.6%, citing West Asia tensions and oil risks as upside pressures against potential supply-side relief. Key differentiators include monsoon outcomes, global energy dynamics, and sequential CPI releases, with April data due May 12.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật4.50%+ 27%
1.50% to 2.24% 22%
2.25% to 2.99% 20%
3.75% to 4.49% 20%
$57,516 KL.
$57,516 KL.
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
18%
0.75% to 1.49%
2%
1.50% to 2.24%
22%
2.25% to 2.99%
28%
3.00% to 3.74%
14%
3.75% to 4.49%
22%
4.50%+
22%
4.50%+ 27%
1.50% to 2.24% 22%
2.25% to 2.99% 20%
3.75% to 4.49% 20%
$57,516 KL.
$57,516 KL.
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
$657 KL.
18%
0.75% to 1.49%
$281 KL.
2%
1.50% to 2.24%
$360 KL.
22%
2.25% to 2.99%
$22,345 KL.
28%
3.00% to 3.74%
$421 KL.
14%
3.75% to 4.49%
$22,740 KL.
22%
4.50%+
$10,711 KL.
22%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfPolymarket traders have priced closely matched implied probabilities—around 20% each for 1.50%-2.24%, 2.25%-2.99%, 3.75%-4.49%, and 4.50%+ bins—in the India Annual Inflation 2026 market, which resolves on December 2026 year-on-year CPI per MoSPI data. This tight contest stems from March 2026 CPI accelerating to 3.40%, a 14-month high driven by food prices, contrasting earlier readings like January's 2.75% under the new base-2024 series. The Reserve Bank of India's April MPC held the repo rate at 5.25% while projecting FY27 CPI at 4.6%, citing West Asia tensions and oil risks as upside pressures against potential supply-side relief. Key differentiators include monsoon outcomes, global energy dynamics, and sequential CPI releases, with April data due May 12.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Thị trường mở: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Khối lượng
$57,516Ngày kết thúc
Jan 12, 2027Thị trường mở
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfPolymarket traders have priced closely matched implied probabilities—around 20% each for 1.50%-2.24%, 2.25%-2.99%, 3.75%-4.49%, and 4.50%+ bins—in the India Annual Inflation 2026 market, which resolves on December 2026 year-on-year CPI per MoSPI data. This tight contest stems from March 2026 CPI accelerating to 3.40%, a 14-month high driven by food prices, contrasting earlier readings like January's 2.75% under the new base-2024 series. The Reserve Bank of India's April MPC held the repo rate at 5.25% while projecting FY27 CPI at 4.6%, citing West Asia tensions and oil risks as upside pressures against potential supply-side relief. Key differentiators include monsoon outcomes, global energy dynamics, and sequential CPI releases, with April data due May 12.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Khối lượng
$57,516Ngày kết thúc
Jan 12, 2027Thị trường mở
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders have priced closely matched implied probabilities—around 20% each for 1.50%-2.24%, 2.25%-2.99%, 3.75%-4.49%, and 4.50%+ bins—in the India Annual Inflation 2026 market, which resolves on December 2026 year-on-year CPI per MoSPI data. This tight contest stems from March 2026 CPI accelerating to 3.40%, a 14-month high driven by food prices, contrasting earlier readings like January's 2.75% under the new base-2024 series. The Reserve Bank of India's April MPC held the repo rate at 5.25% while projecting FY27 CPI at 4.6%, citing West Asia tensions and oil risks as upside pressures against potential supply-side relief. Key differentiators include monsoon outcomes, global energy dynamics, and sequential CPI releases, with April data due May 12.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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