Recent energy price volatility stemming from the Middle East conflict has driven UK CPI inflation to 2.9% in July 2026, up from 2.6% in June, with the Bank of England projecting a rise toward 3.2% by year-end 2026 as higher global energy costs pass through to utilities and supply chains. The July Monetary Policy Report highlights upside risks from potential second-round effects on wages and prices, amid Bank Rate held at 3.75% and forecasts for 2026 averaging near 3.1% per external estimates like NIESR. These dynamics support the closely matched market-implied odds between the 3.5–3.9% and 2.0–2.4% annual inflation bands, with trader sentiment reflecting uncertainty over the conflict's duration versus emerging economic slack that could moderate underlying pressures ahead of the September 17 MPC decision.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtU.K. Annual Inflation 2026
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
3.5–3.9% 27.4%
2.0–2.4% 24.6%
2.5–2.9% 11.5%
4.5%+ 8%
$91,185 KL.
$91,185 KL.
Jan 19, 2027
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.4%
3%
1.5–1.9%
9%
2.0–2.4%
25%
2.5–2.9%
11%
3.0–3.4%
-
3.5–3.9%
27%
4.0-4.4%
2%
4.5%+
8%
3.5–3.9% 27.4%
2.0–2.4% 24.6%
2.5–2.9% 11.5%
4.5%+ 8%
$91,185 KL.
$91,185 KL.
Jan 19, 2027
<1.0%
$945 KL.
<1%
1.0–1.4%
$1,437 KL.
3%
1.5–1.9%
$2,642 KL.
9%
2.0–2.4%
$8,638 KL.
25%
2.5–2.9%
$22,536 KL.
11%
3.0–3.4%
$0 KL.
-
3.5–3.9%
$37,547 KL.
27%
4.0-4.4%
$8,462 KL.
2%
4.5%+
$8,978 KL.
8%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent energy price volatility stemming from the Middle East conflict has driven UK CPI inflation to 2.9% in July 2026, up from 2.6% in June, with the Bank of England projecting a rise toward 3.2% by year-end 2026 as higher global energy costs pass through to utilities and supply chains. The July Monetary Policy Report highlights upside risks from potential second-round effects on wages and prices, amid Bank Rate held at 3.75% and forecasts for 2026 averaging near 3.1% per external estimates like NIESR. These dynamics support the closely matched market-implied odds between the 3.5–3.9% and 2.0–2.4% annual inflation bands, with trader sentiment reflecting uncertainty over the conflict's duration versus emerging economic slack that could moderate underlying pressures ahead of the September 17 MPC decision.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Thị trường mở: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Khối lượng
$91,185Ngày kết thúc
Jan 20, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent energy price volatility stemming from the Middle East conflict has driven UK CPI inflation to 2.9% in July 2026, up from 2.6% in June, with the Bank of England projecting a rise toward 3.2% by year-end 2026 as higher global energy costs pass through to utilities and supply chains. The July Monetary Policy Report highlights upside risks from potential second-round effects on wages and prices, amid Bank Rate held at 3.75% and forecasts for 2026 averaging near 3.1% per external estimates like NIESR. These dynamics support the closely matched market-implied odds between the 3.5–3.9% and 2.0–2.4% annual inflation bands, with trader sentiment reflecting uncertainty over the conflict's duration versus emerging economic slack that could moderate underlying pressures ahead of the September 17 MPC decision.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Khối lượng
$91,185Ngày kết thúc
Jan 20, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Recent energy price volatility stemming from the Middle East conflict has driven UK CPI inflation to 2.9% in July 2026, up from 2.6% in June, with the Bank of England projecting a rise toward 3.2% by year-end 2026 as higher global energy costs pass through to utilities and supply chains. The July Monetary Policy Report highlights upside risks from potential second-round effects on wages and prices, amid Bank Rate held at 3.75% and forecasts for 2026 averaging near 3.1% per external estimates like NIESR. These dynamics support the closely matched market-implied odds between the 3.5–3.9% and 2.0–2.4% annual inflation bands, with trader sentiment reflecting uncertainty over the conflict's duration versus emerging economic slack that could moderate underlying pressures ahead of the September 17 MPC decision.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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