The closely matched probabilities around the 54.0–55.9 range for the September 2026 ISM Services PMI reflect trader expectations for steady expansion following August’s 55.4 print, which exceeded consensus by more than a point. Strong new orders (60.9) and business activity (61.7) drove the latest beat, supported by domestic demand and AI-related spending, while employment remained in contraction and the prices index climbed to 72.6 amid tariffs and supply-chain strains. Key swing factors include whether new orders and backlogs sustain momentum into September or moderate amid elevated input costs and cautious hiring, with the 12-month average near 53.7 providing historical context for the current pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật54.0 to 54.9 26%
55.0 to 55.9 24%
57.0 to 57.9 21%
59.0+ 21%
<51.0
2%
51.0 to 51.9
12%
52.0 to 52.9
10%
53.0 to 53.9
18%
54.0 to 54.9
26%
55.0 to 55.9
24%
56.0 to 56.9
15%
57.0 to 57.9
21%
58.0 to 58.9
11%
59.0+
21%
54.0 to 54.9 26%
55.0 to 55.9 24%
57.0 to 57.9 21%
59.0+ 21%
<51.0
2%
51.0 to 51.9
12%
52.0 to 52.9
10%
53.0 to 53.9
18%
54.0 to 54.9
26%
55.0 to 55.9
24%
56.0 to 56.9
15%
57.0 to 57.9
21%
58.0 to 58.9
11%
59.0+
21%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities around the 54.0–55.9 range for the September 2026 ISM Services PMI reflect trader expectations for steady expansion following August’s 55.4 print, which exceeded consensus by more than a point. Strong new orders (60.9) and business activity (61.7) drove the latest beat, supported by domestic demand and AI-related spending, while employment remained in contraction and the prices index climbed to 72.6 amid tariffs and supply-chain strains. Key swing factors include whether new orders and backlogs sustain momentum into September or moderate amid elevated input costs and cautious hiring, with the 12-month average near 53.7 providing historical context for the current pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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