Recent July CPI data cooling to 3.4% year-over-year from 3.5% has anchored trader expectations for the August print near current levels, with the Cleveland Fed nowcast pointing to 3.36%. Muted monthly gains in shelter and energy components, alongside a core rate at 2.5%, support the market's tight clustering around 3.3-3.4% as the base case. Persistent above-target readings continue to influence Fed policy deliberations, while upcoming August economic releases and any shifts in commodity prices or labor costs represent key swing factors that could tilt the outcome. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning backed by real capital amid these near-term data dependencies.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật3.4% 37%
3.3% 28%
3.5% 18%
3.6% 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 11, 2026
≤2.9%
3%
3.0%
3%
3.1%
2%
3.2%
5%
3.3%
28%
3.4%
37%
3.5%
18%
3.6%
7%
3.7%
5%
3.8%
4%
3.9%
3%
≥4.0%
2%
3.4% 37%
3.3% 28%
3.5% 18%
3.6% 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 11, 2026
≤2.9%
$72 KL.
3%
3.0%
$72 KL.
3%
3.1%
$72 KL.
2%
3.2%
$72 KL.
5%
3.3%
$313 KL.
28%
3.4%
$1,561 KL.
37%
3.5%
$200 KL.
18%
3.6%
$72 KL.
7%
3.7%
$171 KL.
5%
3.8%
$192 KL.
4%
3.9%
$192 KL.
3%
≥4.0%
$64 KL.
2%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data cooling to 3.4% year-over-year from 3.5% has anchored trader expectations for the August print near current levels, with the Cleveland Fed nowcast pointing to 3.36%. Muted monthly gains in shelter and energy components, alongside a core rate at 2.5%, support the market's tight clustering around 3.3-3.4% as the base case. Persistent above-target readings continue to influence Fed policy deliberations, while upcoming August economic releases and any shifts in commodity prices or labor costs represent key swing factors that could tilt the outcome. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning backed by real capital amid these near-term data dependencies.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,051Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data cooling to 3.4% year-over-year from 3.5% has anchored trader expectations for the August print near current levels, with the Cleveland Fed nowcast pointing to 3.36%. Muted monthly gains in shelter and energy components, alongside a core rate at 2.5%, support the market's tight clustering around 3.3-3.4% as the base case. Persistent above-target readings continue to influence Fed policy deliberations, while upcoming August economic releases and any shifts in commodity prices or labor costs represent key swing factors that could tilt the outcome. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning backed by real capital amid these near-term data dependencies.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Khối lượng
$3,051Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July CPI data cooling to 3.4% year-over-year from 3.5% has anchored trader expectations for the August print near current levels, with the Cleveland Fed nowcast pointing to 3.36%. Muted monthly gains in shelter and energy components, alongside a core rate at 2.5%, support the market's tight clustering around 3.3-3.4% as the base case. Persistent above-target readings continue to influence Fed policy deliberations, while upcoming August economic releases and any shifts in commodity prices or labor costs represent key swing factors that could tilt the outcome. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning backed by real capital amid these near-term data dependencies.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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