Recent disinflation in Mexico, with the annual CPI easing to 3.12% in July 2026 from 3.37% in June—the lowest since 2020—has anchored trader consensus around the 3.5-4.5% range for full-year 2026 inflation. Core inflation near 3.95% reflects persistent services pressures, while forecasts from Banxico (3.5% Q4 target), IMF (3.9%), and analysts (around 4%) create a tight contest between the leading 3.50-3.99% (35.0% implied probability) and 4.00-4.49% (28.5%) buckets. Key swing factors include further moderation in food and energy components, labor market conditions, and any shifts in Banxico's monetary policy stance amid global risk appetite.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật3.50% to 3.99% 40.1%
4.00% to 4.49% 29%
3.00% to 3.49% 16.4%
4.50% to 4.99% 8%
$64,480 KL.
$64,480 KL.
Jan 7, 2027
<2.50%
2%
2.50% to 2.99%
5%
3.00% to 3.49%
16%
3.50% to 3.99%
35%
4.00% to 4.49%
29%
4.50% to 4.99%
8%
5.00% to 5.49%
4%
5.50%+
3%
3.50% to 3.99% 40.1%
4.00% to 4.49% 29%
3.00% to 3.49% 16.4%
4.50% to 4.99% 8%
$64,480 KL.
$64,480 KL.
Jan 7, 2027
<2.50%
$1,111 KL.
2%
2.50% to 2.99%
$4,895 KL.
5%
3.00% to 3.49%
$28,611 KL.
16%
3.50% to 3.99%
$4,034 KL.
35%
4.00% to 4.49%
$12,313 KL.
29%
4.50% to 4.99%
$4,752 KL.
8%
5.00% to 5.49%
$2,452 KL.
4%
5.50%+
$6,313 KL.
3%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent disinflation in Mexico, with the annual CPI easing to 3.12% in July 2026 from 3.37% in June—the lowest since 2020—has anchored trader consensus around the 3.5-4.5% range for full-year 2026 inflation. Core inflation near 3.95% reflects persistent services pressures, while forecasts from Banxico (3.5% Q4 target), IMF (3.9%), and analysts (around 4%) create a tight contest between the leading 3.50-3.99% (35.0% implied probability) and 4.00-4.49% (28.5%) buckets. Key swing factors include further moderation in food and energy components, labor market conditions, and any shifts in Banxico's monetary policy stance amid global risk appetite.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Thị trường mở: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Khối lượng
$64,480Ngày kết thúc
Jan 8, 2027Thị trường mở
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent disinflation in Mexico, with the annual CPI easing to 3.12% in July 2026 from 3.37% in June—the lowest since 2020—has anchored trader consensus around the 3.5-4.5% range for full-year 2026 inflation. Core inflation near 3.95% reflects persistent services pressures, while forecasts from Banxico (3.5% Q4 target), IMF (3.9%), and analysts (around 4%) create a tight contest between the leading 3.50-3.99% (35.0% implied probability) and 4.00-4.49% (28.5%) buckets. Key swing factors include further moderation in food and energy components, labor market conditions, and any shifts in Banxico's monetary policy stance amid global risk appetite.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Khối lượng
$64,480Ngày kết thúc
Jan 8, 2027Thị trường mở
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent disinflation in Mexico, with the annual CPI easing to 3.12% in July 2026 from 3.37% in June—the lowest since 2020—has anchored trader consensus around the 3.5-4.5% range for full-year 2026 inflation. Core inflation near 3.95% reflects persistent services pressures, while forecasts from Banxico (3.5% Q4 target), IMF (3.9%), and analysts (around 4%) create a tight contest between the leading 3.50-3.99% (35.0% implied probability) and 4.00-4.49% (28.5%) buckets. Key swing factors include further moderation in food and energy components, labor market conditions, and any shifts in Banxico's monetary policy stance amid global risk appetite.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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