Tight U.S. cattle inventories at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026 continue to constrain beef production, with USDA's April Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook trimming full-year output to 25.79 billion pounds amid sluggish herd rebuilding. This supply squeeze has kept retail ground beef prices firm, with the BLS U.S. City Average for 100% beef hitting $6.701 per pound in March—up from sub-$4 levels five years prior—bolstered by resilient consumer demand despite broader food inflation moderation. Traders weigh USDA forecasts of 5.6% wholesale beef price gains against potential demand softening, with monthly BLS CPI releases and quarterly Cattle on Feed reports through December as key catalysts that could push averages toward or beyond historical peaks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill ground beef hit __ in 2026?
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
$7.000+
71%
$8.000+
63%
$9.000+
45%
$10.000+
36%
$1,447 KL.
$7.000+
$21 KL.
71%
$8.000+
$1,420 KL.
63%
$9.000+
$3 KL.
45%
$10.000+
$3 KL.
36%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle inventories at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026 continue to constrain beef production, with USDA's April Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook trimming full-year output to 25.79 billion pounds amid sluggish herd rebuilding. This supply squeeze has kept retail ground beef prices firm, with the BLS U.S. City Average for 100% beef hitting $6.701 per pound in March—up from sub-$4 levels five years prior—bolstered by resilient consumer demand despite broader food inflation moderation. Traders weigh USDA forecasts of 5.6% wholesale beef price gains against potential demand softening, with monthly BLS CPI releases and quarterly Cattle on Feed reports through December as key catalysts that could push averages toward or beyond historical peaks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Thị trường mở: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,447Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle inventories at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026 continue to constrain beef production, with USDA's April Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook trimming full-year output to 25.79 billion pounds amid sluggish herd rebuilding. This supply squeeze has kept retail ground beef prices firm, with the BLS U.S. City Average for 100% beef hitting $6.701 per pound in March—up from sub-$4 levels five years prior—bolstered by resilient consumer demand despite broader food inflation moderation. Traders weigh USDA forecasts of 5.6% wholesale beef price gains against potential demand softening, with monthly BLS CPI releases and quarterly Cattle on Feed reports through December as key catalysts that could push averages toward or beyond historical peaks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Khối lượng
$1,447Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight U.S. cattle inventories at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026 continue to constrain beef production, with USDA's April Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook trimming full-year output to 25.79 billion pounds amid sluggish herd rebuilding. This supply squeeze has kept retail ground beef prices firm, with the BLS U.S. City Average for 100% beef hitting $6.701 per pound in March—up from sub-$4 levels five years prior—bolstered by resilient consumer demand despite broader food inflation moderation. Traders weigh USDA forecasts of 5.6% wholesale beef price gains against potential demand softening, with monthly BLS CPI releases and quarterly Cattle on Feed reports through December as key catalysts that could push averages toward or beyond historical peaks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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