Tight cattle supplies, the smallest U.S. herd in decades, continue to drive elevated ground beef prices in 2026, with USDA forecasts showing domestic beef production declining nearly 1% year-over-year to 25.547 billion pounds amid slower slaughter rates. Retail ground beef averaged near $6.70 per pound in early 2026, up sharply from prior years, supported by resilient consumer demand and rising lean-beef imports that offset limited non-fed cattle output. Wholesale values and fed-steer prices remain near cyclical highs around $224 per hundredweight, though analysts note potential moderation in the second half as affordability pressures mount and herd rebuilding begins slowly. Key upcoming catalysts include summer demand patterns, further import trends, and the January 2027 cattle inventory report that could signal supply relief into 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill ground beef hit __ in 2026?
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
$19,298 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$7.000+
76%
$8.000+
57%
$9.000+
36%
$10.000+
27%
$19,298 KL.
$7.000+
$50 KL.
76%
$8.000+
$1,553 KL.
57%
$9.000+
$62 KL.
36%
$10.000+
$17,633 KL.
27%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight cattle supplies, the smallest U.S. herd in decades, continue to drive elevated ground beef prices in 2026, with USDA forecasts showing domestic beef production declining nearly 1% year-over-year to 25.547 billion pounds amid slower slaughter rates. Retail ground beef averaged near $6.70 per pound in early 2026, up sharply from prior years, supported by resilient consumer demand and rising lean-beef imports that offset limited non-fed cattle output. Wholesale values and fed-steer prices remain near cyclical highs around $224 per hundredweight, though analysts note potential moderation in the second half as affordability pressures mount and herd rebuilding begins slowly. Key upcoming catalysts include summer demand patterns, further import trends, and the January 2027 cattle inventory report that could signal supply relief into 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Thị trường mở: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$19,298Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight cattle supplies, the smallest U.S. herd in decades, continue to drive elevated ground beef prices in 2026, with USDA forecasts showing domestic beef production declining nearly 1% year-over-year to 25.547 billion pounds amid slower slaughter rates. Retail ground beef averaged near $6.70 per pound in early 2026, up sharply from prior years, supported by resilient consumer demand and rising lean-beef imports that offset limited non-fed cattle output. Wholesale values and fed-steer prices remain near cyclical highs around $224 per hundredweight, though analysts note potential moderation in the second half as affordability pressures mount and herd rebuilding begins slowly. Key upcoming catalysts include summer demand patterns, further import trends, and the January 2027 cattle inventory report that could signal supply relief into 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Khối lượng
$19,298Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight cattle supplies, the smallest U.S. herd in decades, continue to drive elevated ground beef prices in 2026, with USDA forecasts showing domestic beef production declining nearly 1% year-over-year to 25.547 billion pounds amid slower slaughter rates. Retail ground beef averaged near $6.70 per pound in early 2026, up sharply from prior years, supported by resilient consumer demand and rising lean-beef imports that offset limited non-fed cattle output. Wholesale values and fed-steer prices remain near cyclical highs around $224 per hundredweight, though analysts note potential moderation in the second half as affordability pressures mount and herd rebuilding begins slowly. Key upcoming catalysts include summer demand patterns, further import trends, and the January 2027 cattle inventory report that could signal supply relief into 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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