Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing activity, with the August ISM Manufacturing PMI easing to 54.6 from July’s 55.6 peak, has shaped trader positioning for the September reading. New orders slowed to 53.7 while production held near 58.3 and employment eased to 51.2, reflecting solid but cooling momentum after eight straight months above 50. Elevated input prices at 71.1 and lengthening supplier deliveries at 59.3 signal persistent cost pressures and supply-chain strains tied to tariffs and Middle East tensions, tempering expectations for a sustained surge. With probabilities clustered across the 50–53 range, markets price in a competitive balance between resilient output and these headwinds ahead of the October 1 release.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật54.0 to 54.9 26%
<50.0 23%
53.0 to 53.9 22%
50.0 to 50.9 21%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 1, 2026
<50.0
23%
50.0 to 50.9
21%
51.0 to 51.9
20%
52.0 to 52.9
27%
53.0 to 53.9
22%
54.0 to 54.9
26%
55.0 to 55.9
21%
56.0 to 56.9
18%
57.0 to 57.9
21%
58.0+
18%
54.0 to 54.9 26%
<50.0 23%
53.0 to 53.9 22%
50.0 to 50.9 21%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 1, 2026
<50.0
$19 KL.
23%
50.0 to 50.9
$17 KL.
21%
51.0 to 51.9
$17 KL.
20%
52.0 to 52.9
$33 KL.
27%
53.0 to 53.9
$17 KL.
22%
54.0 to 54.9
$16 KL.
26%
55.0 to 55.9
$32 KL.
21%
56.0 to 56.9
$17 KL.
18%
57.0 to 57.9
$17 KL.
21%
58.0+
$26 KL.
18%
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing activity, with the August ISM Manufacturing PMI easing to 54.6 from July’s 55.6 peak, has shaped trader positioning for the September reading. New orders slowed to 53.7 while production held near 58.3 and employment eased to 51.2, reflecting solid but cooling momentum after eight straight months above 50. Elevated input prices at 71.1 and lengthening supplier deliveries at 59.3 signal persistent cost pressures and supply-chain strains tied to tariffs and Middle East tensions, tempering expectations for a sustained surge. With probabilities clustered across the 50–53 range, markets price in a competitive balance between resilient output and these headwinds ahead of the October 1 release.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Khối lượng
$210Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing activity, with the August ISM Manufacturing PMI easing to 54.6 from July’s 55.6 peak, has shaped trader positioning for the September reading. New orders slowed to 53.7 while production held near 58.3 and employment eased to 51.2, reflecting solid but cooling momentum after eight straight months above 50. Elevated input prices at 71.1 and lengthening supplier deliveries at 59.3 signal persistent cost pressures and supply-chain strains tied to tariffs and Middle East tensions, tempering expectations for a sustained surge. With probabilities clustered across the 50–53 range, markets price in a competitive balance between resilient output and these headwinds ahead of the October 1 release.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Khối lượng
$210Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing activity, with the August ISM Manufacturing PMI easing to 54.6 from July’s 55.6 peak, has shaped trader positioning for the September reading. New orders slowed to 53.7 while production held near 58.3 and employment eased to 51.2, reflecting solid but cooling momentum after eight straight months above 50. Elevated input prices at 71.1 and lengthening supplier deliveries at 59.3 signal persistent cost pressures and supply-chain strains tied to tariffs and Middle East tensions, tempering expectations for a sustained surge. With probabilities clustered across the 50–53 range, markets price in a competitive balance between resilient output and these headwinds ahead of the October 1 release.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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