The 10-year Treasury yield, trading near 4.79% in early September 2026 after touching intraday highs above 4.81%, faces upward pressure from elevated oil prices tied to U.S.-Iran tensions, which have lifted one-year inflation expectations toward 2.5% and reduced odds of near-term Fed easing. Persistent fiscal concerns, with federal debt exceeding $40 trillion, have widened term premia as heavy Treasury supply competes with corporate issuance for AI infrastructure spending. The Federal Open Market Committee’s September 15-16 meeting, alongside upcoming inflation and labor data, represents the key near-term catalyst that could influence whether yields retrace amid these supply, demand, and policy dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
MỚI
Sep 30, 2026
Below 4.76%
50%
Below 4.73%
50%
Below 4.70%
50%
Below 4.67%
50%
Below 4.64%
50%
Below 4.61%
49%
Below 4.56%
49%
Below 4.51%
49%
Below 4.45%
49%
$0.00 KL.
Below 4.76%
$0 KL.
50%
Below 4.73%
$0 KL.
50%
Below 4.70%
$0 KL.
50%
Below 4.67%
$0 KL.
50%
Below 4.64%
$0 KL.
50%
Below 4.61%
$0 KL.
49%
Below 4.56%
$0 KL.
49%
Below 4.51%
$0 KL.
49%
Below 4.45%
$0 KL.
49%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 10-year Treasury yield, trading near 4.79% in early September 2026 after touching intraday highs above 4.81%, faces upward pressure from elevated oil prices tied to U.S.-Iran tensions, which have lifted one-year inflation expectations toward 2.5% and reduced odds of near-term Fed easing. Persistent fiscal concerns, with federal debt exceeding $40 trillion, have widened term premia as heavy Treasury supply competes with corporate issuance for AI infrastructure spending. The Federal Open Market Committee’s September 15-16 meeting, alongside upcoming inflation and labor data, represents the key near-term catalyst that could influence whether yields retrace amid these supply, demand, and policy dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 10-year Treasury yield, trading near 4.79% in early September 2026 after touching intraday highs above 4.81%, faces upward pressure from elevated oil prices tied to U.S.-Iran tensions, which have lifted one-year inflation expectations toward 2.5% and reduced odds of near-term Fed easing. Persistent fiscal concerns, with federal debt exceeding $40 trillion, have widened term premia as heavy Treasury supply competes with corporate issuance for AI infrastructure spending. The Federal Open Market Committee’s September 15-16 meeting, alongside upcoming inflation and labor data, represents the key near-term catalyst that could influence whether yields retrace amid these supply, demand, and policy dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield, trading near 4.79% in early September 2026 after touching intraday highs above 4.81%, faces upward pressure from elevated oil prices tied to U.S.-Iran tensions, which have lifted one-year inflation expectations toward 2.5% and reduced odds of near-term Fed easing. Persistent fiscal concerns, with federal debt exceeding $40 trillion, have widened term premia as heavy Treasury supply competes with corporate issuance for AI infrastructure spending. The Federal Open Market Committee’s September 15-16 meeting, alongside upcoming inflation and labor data, represents the key near-term catalyst that could influence whether yields retrace amid these supply, demand, and policy dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp