The preliminary Statistics Canada flash estimate for July 2026 monthly GDP at 0.0%—following a revised 0.3% gain in June—serves as the dominant driver anchoring the 60.5% market-implied probability on the 0.0–0.1% outcome. Offsetting sector dynamics, with gains in real estate, rental, and professional services balanced against declines in retail trade and manufacturing, align with this flat reading and temper expectations after Q2’s robust 3.3% annualized expansion. Recent July trade data showing a narrowed surplus, driven by weaker exports and higher imports amid emerging U.S. tariff pressures, further supports trader consensus around subdued momentum heading into the September 29 official release.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật0.0 to 0.1% 60%
<0.0% 27%
0.2 to 0.3% 13%
0.6 to 0.7% 3.1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 29, 2026
<0.0%
27%
0.0 to 0.1%
60%
0.2 to 0.3%
13%
0.4 to 0.5%
3%
0.6 to 0.7%
3%
0.8%+
<1%
0.0 to 0.1% 60%
<0.0% 27%
0.2 to 0.3% 13%
0.6 to 0.7% 3.1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 29, 2026
<0.0%
$1,130 KL.
27%
0.0 to 0.1%
$575 KL.
60%
0.2 to 0.3%
$57 KL.
13%
0.4 to 0.5%
$1,094 KL.
3%
0.6 to 0.7%
$95 KL.
3%
0.8%+
$1,047 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.The preliminary Statistics Canada flash estimate for July 2026 monthly GDP at 0.0%—following a revised 0.3% gain in June—serves as the dominant driver anchoring the 60.5% market-implied probability on the 0.0–0.1% outcome. Offsetting sector dynamics, with gains in real estate, rental, and professional services balanced against declines in retail trade and manufacturing, align with this flat reading and temper expectations after Q2’s robust 3.3% annualized expansion. Recent July trade data showing a narrowed surplus, driven by weaker exports and higher imports amid emerging U.S. tariff pressures, further supports trader consensus around subdued momentum heading into the September 29 official release.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,000Ngày kết thúc
Sep 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.The preliminary Statistics Canada flash estimate for July 2026 monthly GDP at 0.0%—following a revised 0.3% gain in June—serves as the dominant driver anchoring the 60.5% market-implied probability on the 0.0–0.1% outcome. Offsetting sector dynamics, with gains in real estate, rental, and professional services balanced against declines in retail trade and manufacturing, align with this flat reading and temper expectations after Q2’s robust 3.3% annualized expansion. Recent July trade data showing a narrowed surplus, driven by weaker exports and higher imports amid emerging U.S. tariff pressures, further supports trader consensus around subdued momentum heading into the September 29 official release.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Khối lượng
$4,000Ngày kết thúc
Sep 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The preliminary Statistics Canada flash estimate for July 2026 monthly GDP at 0.0%—following a revised 0.3% gain in June—serves as the dominant driver anchoring the 60.5% market-implied probability on the 0.0–0.1% outcome. Offsetting sector dynamics, with gains in real estate, rental, and professional services balanced against declines in retail trade and manufacturing, align with this flat reading and temper expectations after Q2’s robust 3.3% annualized expansion. Recent July trade data showing a narrowed surplus, driven by weaker exports and higher imports amid emerging U.S. tariff pressures, further supports trader consensus around subdued momentum heading into the September 29 official release.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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