China's official 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5–5 percent, combined with first-half data showing 4.7 percent year-on-year expansion (including a softer 4.3 percent in Q2), has anchored trader expectations within the 4.0–5.0 percent band. Forecasts from the IMF (4.6 percent) and World Bank (4.4 percent) cluster in the same range, reflecting resilient exports of high-tech and AI-related goods that offset weak domestic demand, property-sector drag, and subdued fixed-asset investment. Recent August trade figures, with exports rising 25 percent year-on-year, have reinforced this positioning by highlighting external support amid limited fiscal stimulus signals. The market's heavy weighting on this interval reflects broad alignment between government targets, incoming data releases, and institutional projections.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtChina Annual GDP Growth 2026
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0% 90%
5.0–6.0% 5.9%
3.0–4.0% 1.1%
8.0–9.0% 1.0%
$900,187 KL.
$900,187 KL.
Jan 30, 2027
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–2.0%
<1%
2.0–3.0%
<1%
3.0–4.0%
1%
4.0–5.0%
90%
5.0–6.0%
6%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0–8.0%
<1%
8.0–9.0%
1%
9.0%+
1%
4.0–5.0% 90%
5.0–6.0% 5.9%
3.0–4.0% 1.1%
8.0–9.0% 1.0%
$900,187 KL.
$900,187 KL.
Jan 30, 2027
<1.0%
$68,058 KL.
<1%
1.0–2.0%
$75,379 KL.
<1%
2.0–3.0%
$45,830 KL.
<1%
3.0–4.0%
$81,476 KL.
1%
4.0–5.0%
$223,029 KL.
90%
5.0–6.0%
$80,873 KL.
6%
6.0-7.0%
$87,943 KL.
<1%
7.0–8.0%
$65,353 KL.
<1%
8.0–9.0%
$54,761 KL.
1%
9.0%+
$117,484 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China's official 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5–5 percent, combined with first-half data showing 4.7 percent year-on-year expansion (including a softer 4.3 percent in Q2), has anchored trader expectations within the 4.0–5.0 percent band. Forecasts from the IMF (4.6 percent) and World Bank (4.4 percent) cluster in the same range, reflecting resilient exports of high-tech and AI-related goods that offset weak domestic demand, property-sector drag, and subdued fixed-asset investment. Recent August trade figures, with exports rising 25 percent year-on-year, have reinforced this positioning by highlighting external support amid limited fiscal stimulus signals. The market's heavy weighting on this interval reflects broad alignment between government targets, incoming data releases, and institutional projections.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Khối lượng
$900,187Ngày kết thúc
Jan 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China's official 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5–5 percent, combined with first-half data showing 4.7 percent year-on-year expansion (including a softer 4.3 percent in Q2), has anchored trader expectations within the 4.0–5.0 percent band. Forecasts from the IMF (4.6 percent) and World Bank (4.4 percent) cluster in the same range, reflecting resilient exports of high-tech and AI-related goods that offset weak domestic demand, property-sector drag, and subdued fixed-asset investment. Recent August trade figures, with exports rising 25 percent year-on-year, have reinforced this positioning by highlighting external support amid limited fiscal stimulus signals. The market's heavy weighting on this interval reflects broad alignment between government targets, incoming data releases, and institutional projections.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$900,187Ngày kết thúc
Jan 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...China's official 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5–5 percent, combined with first-half data showing 4.7 percent year-on-year expansion (including a softer 4.3 percent in Q2), has anchored trader expectations within the 4.0–5.0 percent band. Forecasts from the IMF (4.6 percent) and World Bank (4.4 percent) cluster in the same range, reflecting resilient exports of high-tech and AI-related goods that offset weak domestic demand, property-sector drag, and subdued fixed-asset investment. Recent August trade figures, with exports rising 25 percent year-on-year, have reinforced this positioning by highlighting external support amid limited fiscal stimulus signals. The market's heavy weighting on this interval reflects broad alignment between government targets, incoming data releases, and institutional projections.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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