Subdued quarterly momentum and downward revisions to growth projections position the 0-1.0% range as the dominant market-implied outcome for Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026. Official forecasts from the European Commission, OECD, and Conference Board cluster around 0.8-1.0%, reflecting Q1 contraction of 0.2% quarter-over-quarter followed by a modest 0.4% rebound in Q2 amid energy price pressures and geopolitical tensions. Leading indicators such as PMI readings below 50 and weak industrial output reinforce expectations of below-trend expansion. Traders appear to price in limited upside from domestic demand or fiscal support, with upcoming Q3 data releases and ECB policy signals likely to influence any shifts in these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật0-1.0% 66.7%
1.0-2.0% 25%
<0% 4.2%
4.0-5.0% <1%
$28,816 KL.
$28,816 KL.
Jan 31, 2027
<0%
4%
0-1.0%
67%
1.0-2.0%
25%
2.0-3.0%
<1%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
1%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
1%
7.0%+
<1%
0-1.0% 66.7%
1.0-2.0% 25%
<0% 4.2%
4.0-5.0% <1%
$28,816 KL.
$28,816 KL.
Jan 31, 2027
<0%
$1,615 KL.
4%
0-1.0%
$10,789 KL.
67%
1.0-2.0%
$6,957 KL.
25%
2.0-3.0%
$1,121 KL.
<1%
3.0-4.0%
$1,027 KL.
<1%
4.0-5.0%
$2,108 KL.
1%
5.0-6.0%
$1,127 KL.
<1%
6.0-7.0%
$2,544 KL.
1%
7.0%+
$1,579 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Subdued quarterly momentum and downward revisions to growth projections position the 0-1.0% range as the dominant market-implied outcome for Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026. Official forecasts from the European Commission, OECD, and Conference Board cluster around 0.8-1.0%, reflecting Q1 contraction of 0.2% quarter-over-quarter followed by a modest 0.4% rebound in Q2 amid energy price pressures and geopolitical tensions. Leading indicators such as PMI readings below 50 and weak industrial output reinforce expectations of below-trend expansion. Traders appear to price in limited upside from domestic demand or fiscal support, with upcoming Q3 data releases and ECB policy signals likely to influence any shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$28,816Ngày kết thúc
Jan 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Subdued quarterly momentum and downward revisions to growth projections position the 0-1.0% range as the dominant market-implied outcome for Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026. Official forecasts from the European Commission, OECD, and Conference Board cluster around 0.8-1.0%, reflecting Q1 contraction of 0.2% quarter-over-quarter followed by a modest 0.4% rebound in Q2 amid energy price pressures and geopolitical tensions. Leading indicators such as PMI readings below 50 and weak industrial output reinforce expectations of below-trend expansion. Traders appear to price in limited upside from domestic demand or fiscal support, with upcoming Q3 data releases and ECB policy signals likely to influence any shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$28,816Ngày kết thúc
Jan 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Subdued quarterly momentum and downward revisions to growth projections position the 0-1.0% range as the dominant market-implied outcome for Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026. Official forecasts from the European Commission, OECD, and Conference Board cluster around 0.8-1.0%, reflecting Q1 contraction of 0.2% quarter-over-quarter followed by a modest 0.4% rebound in Q2 amid energy price pressures and geopolitical tensions. Leading indicators such as PMI readings below 50 and weak industrial output reinforce expectations of below-trend expansion. Traders appear to price in limited upside from domestic demand or fiscal support, with upcoming Q3 data releases and ECB policy signals likely to influence any shifts in these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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