**Eurozone GDP growth expectations for 2026 center on subdued expansion near 0.9%, reflecting the ECB staff’s September 2026 baseline projection of 0.9% annual real GDP growth, revised upward by just 0.1 percentage point from June.** This outlook incorporates Q2 2026 data showing 0.4–0.6% quarter-on-quarter growth and 1.0–1.2% year-on-year expansion, supported by stronger household spending, investment, and exports in several member states, including Germany where the IW institute lifted its 2026 forecast to nearly 1.2%. Persistent headwinds from elevated energy prices linked to Middle East developments, competitiveness pressures, and uneven domestic demand continue to cap momentum, while core inflation remains above target. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 0–1.0% band as traders price in these moderate growth dynamics ahead of further Q3 data and the ECB’s next policy assessments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtEurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
0-1.0% 66.5%
1.0-2.0% 25%
<0% 3.1%
2.0-3.0% <1%
$50,718 KL.
$50,718 KL.
<0%
3%
0-1.0%
66%
1.0-2.0%
25%
2.0-3.0%
<1%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
<1%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0%+
<1%
0-1.0% 66.5%
1.0-2.0% 25%
<0% 3.1%
2.0-3.0% <1%
$50,718 KL.
$50,718 KL.
<0%
3%
0-1.0%
66%
1.0-2.0%
25%
2.0-3.0%
<1%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
<1%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0%+
<1%
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...**Eurozone GDP growth expectations for 2026 center on subdued expansion near 0.9%, reflecting the ECB staff’s September 2026 baseline projection of 0.9% annual real GDP growth, revised upward by just 0.1 percentage point from June.** This outlook incorporates Q2 2026 data showing 0.4–0.6% quarter-on-quarter growth and 1.0–1.2% year-on-year expansion, supported by stronger household spending, investment, and exports in several member states, including Germany where the IW institute lifted its 2026 forecast to nearly 1.2%. Persistent headwinds from elevated energy prices linked to Middle East developments, competitiveness pressures, and uneven domestic demand continue to cap momentum, while core inflation remains above target. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 0–1.0% band as traders price in these moderate growth dynamics ahead of further Q3 data and the ECB’s next policy assessments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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