Recent institutional forecasts position Eurozone annual GDP growth for 2026 in the 0.8–1.0% range, aligning with the market’s dominant 0–1.0% outcome. The ECB’s June projections and subsequent OECD and IMF updates cite downward revisions driven by elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions, weaker external demand, and a higher policy rate path after the 25-basis-point hike. While Q2 2026 GDP expanded 0.4% quarter-on-quarter—above the 0.2% consensus—the annual pace remains subdued near 1.0%, with core inflation still above target and consumer confidence soft. Traders appear to price limited upside from fiscal stimulus or de-escalation, keeping higher-growth brackets at minimal implied probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật0-1.0% 66.2%
1.0-2.0% 25%
<0% 4.2%
4.0-5.0% <1%
$29,066 KL.
$29,066 KL.
Jan 31, 2027
<0%
4%
0-1.0%
66%
1.0-2.0%
25%
2.0-3.0%
<1%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
1%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
1%
7.0%+
<1%
0-1.0% 66.2%
1.0-2.0% 25%
<0% 4.2%
4.0-5.0% <1%
$29,066 KL.
$29,066 KL.
Jan 31, 2027
<0%
$1,615 KL.
4%
0-1.0%
$10,989 KL.
66%
1.0-2.0%
$6,957 KL.
25%
2.0-3.0%
$1,121 KL.
<1%
3.0-4.0%
$1,027 KL.
<1%
4.0-5.0%
$2,108 KL.
1%
5.0-6.0%
$1,127 KL.
<1%
6.0-7.0%
$2,544 KL.
1%
7.0%+
$1,579 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent institutional forecasts position Eurozone annual GDP growth for 2026 in the 0.8–1.0% range, aligning with the market’s dominant 0–1.0% outcome. The ECB’s June projections and subsequent OECD and IMF updates cite downward revisions driven by elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions, weaker external demand, and a higher policy rate path after the 25-basis-point hike. While Q2 2026 GDP expanded 0.4% quarter-on-quarter—above the 0.2% consensus—the annual pace remains subdued near 1.0%, with core inflation still above target and consumer confidence soft. Traders appear to price limited upside from fiscal stimulus or de-escalation, keeping higher-growth brackets at minimal implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$29,066Ngày kết thúc
Jan 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent institutional forecasts position Eurozone annual GDP growth for 2026 in the 0.8–1.0% range, aligning with the market’s dominant 0–1.0% outcome. The ECB’s June projections and subsequent OECD and IMF updates cite downward revisions driven by elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions, weaker external demand, and a higher policy rate path after the 25-basis-point hike. While Q2 2026 GDP expanded 0.4% quarter-on-quarter—above the 0.2% consensus—the annual pace remains subdued near 1.0%, with core inflation still above target and consumer confidence soft. Traders appear to price limited upside from fiscal stimulus or de-escalation, keeping higher-growth brackets at minimal implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$29,066Ngày kết thúc
Jan 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent institutional forecasts position Eurozone annual GDP growth for 2026 in the 0.8–1.0% range, aligning with the market’s dominant 0–1.0% outcome. The ECB’s June projections and subsequent OECD and IMF updates cite downward revisions driven by elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions, weaker external demand, and a higher policy rate path after the 25-basis-point hike. While Q2 2026 GDP expanded 0.4% quarter-on-quarter—above the 0.2% consensus—the annual pace remains subdued near 1.0%, with core inflation still above target and consumer confidence soft. Traders appear to price limited upside from fiscal stimulus or de-escalation, keeping higher-growth brackets at minimal implied probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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