Recent Q2 2026 GDP data showed a 1.4% quarter-over-quarter rebound and 2.1% year-over-year expansion, fueled partly by World Cup-related services and consumption, setting up expectations for a moderation in Q3 amid base effects and the tournament's transitory nature. Trader consensus clusters tightly between 1.5–2.5% year-over-year growth, reflecting resilient external demand and nearshoring tailwinds offset by subdued private investment, weak domestic consumption, and USMCA review uncertainty. Government projections target 1–2% full-year expansion while Banxico and private forecasters cluster near 1.1–1.3%, with Banxico holding its policy rate at 6.5% amid easing headline inflation near 3.1–3.3%. Incoming industrial production, retail sales, and export figures through September will likely determine whether momentum sustains above 2% or slips toward the 1.5% threshold ahead of the October 30 release.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật2.0-2.5% 33%
1.5-2.0% 30%
1.0-1.5% 14.4%
2.5-3.0% 11%
$35,160 KL.
$35,160 KL.
Oct 30, 2026
<0.5%
4%
0.5-1.0%
1%
1.0-1.5%
14%
1.5-2.0%
30%
2.0-2.5%
33%
2.5-3.0%
19%
3.0-3.5%
2%
3.5%+
3%
2.0-2.5% 33%
1.5-2.0% 30%
1.0-1.5% 14.4%
2.5-3.0% 11%
$35,160 KL.
$35,160 KL.
Oct 30, 2026
<0.5%
$925 KL.
4%
0.5-1.0%
$721 KL.
1%
1.0-1.5%
$4,037 KL.
14%
1.5-2.0%
$12,208 KL.
30%
2.0-2.5%
$13,729 KL.
33%
2.5-3.0%
$1,929 KL.
19%
3.0-3.5%
$800 KL.
2%
3.5%+
$811 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q2 2026 GDP data showed a 1.4% quarter-over-quarter rebound and 2.1% year-over-year expansion, fueled partly by World Cup-related services and consumption, setting up expectations for a moderation in Q3 amid base effects and the tournament's transitory nature. Trader consensus clusters tightly between 1.5–2.5% year-over-year growth, reflecting resilient external demand and nearshoring tailwinds offset by subdued private investment, weak domestic consumption, and USMCA review uncertainty. Government projections target 1–2% full-year expansion while Banxico and private forecasters cluster near 1.1–1.3%, with Banxico holding its policy rate at 6.5% amid easing headline inflation near 3.1–3.3%. Incoming industrial production, retail sales, and export figures through September will likely determine whether momentum sustains above 2% or slips toward the 1.5% threshold ahead of the October 30 release.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$35,160Ngày kết thúc
Oct 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q2 2026 GDP data showed a 1.4% quarter-over-quarter rebound and 2.1% year-over-year expansion, fueled partly by World Cup-related services and consumption, setting up expectations for a moderation in Q3 amid base effects and the tournament's transitory nature. Trader consensus clusters tightly between 1.5–2.5% year-over-year growth, reflecting resilient external demand and nearshoring tailwinds offset by subdued private investment, weak domestic consumption, and USMCA review uncertainty. Government projections target 1–2% full-year expansion while Banxico and private forecasters cluster near 1.1–1.3%, with Banxico holding its policy rate at 6.5% amid easing headline inflation near 3.1–3.3%. Incoming industrial production, retail sales, and export figures through September will likely determine whether momentum sustains above 2% or slips toward the 1.5% threshold ahead of the October 30 release.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$35,160Ngày kết thúc
Oct 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent Q2 2026 GDP data showed a 1.4% quarter-over-quarter rebound and 2.1% year-over-year expansion, fueled partly by World Cup-related services and consumption, setting up expectations for a moderation in Q3 amid base effects and the tournament's transitory nature. Trader consensus clusters tightly between 1.5–2.5% year-over-year growth, reflecting resilient external demand and nearshoring tailwinds offset by subdued private investment, weak domestic consumption, and USMCA review uncertainty. Government projections target 1–2% full-year expansion while Banxico and private forecasters cluster near 1.1–1.3%, with Banxico holding its policy rate at 6.5% amid easing headline inflation near 3.1–3.3%. Incoming industrial production, retail sales, and export figures through September will likely determine whether momentum sustains above 2% or slips toward the 1.5% threshold ahead of the October 30 release.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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