Prime Minister Narendra Modi's NDA coalition government, formed after the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, continues to demonstrate stability midway through its term ending in 2029, driving trader consensus toward an 87.9% implied probability he remains in office through December 31, 2026. Recent legislative actions, including the introduction of three delimitation bills on April 16 amid opposition criticism, signal proactive governance without signs of internal fractures or no-confidence threats. Despite opposition figures like Arvind Kejriwal predicting an early exit in March statements, no snap election calls, health concerns, or coalition breakdowns have emerged in the past month. State assembly polls in four states and one union territory later in 2026 could test alliances, but historical patterns favor continuity absent major disruptions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
$20,957 KL.
$20,957 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$20,957 KL.
$20,957 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Narendra Modi's NDA coalition government, formed after the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, continues to demonstrate stability midway through its term ending in 2029, driving trader consensus toward an 87.9% implied probability he remains in office through December 31, 2026. Recent legislative actions, including the introduction of three delimitation bills on April 16 amid opposition criticism, signal proactive governance without signs of internal fractures or no-confidence threats. Despite opposition figures like Arvind Kejriwal predicting an early exit in March statements, no snap election calls, health concerns, or coalition breakdowns have emerged in the past month. State assembly polls in four states and one union territory later in 2026 could test alliances, but historical patterns favor continuity absent major disruptions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$20,957Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Narendra Modi's NDA coalition government, formed after the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, continues to demonstrate stability midway through its term ending in 2029, driving trader consensus toward an 87.9% implied probability he remains in office through December 31, 2026. Recent legislative actions, including the introduction of three delimitation bills on April 16 amid opposition criticism, signal proactive governance without signs of internal fractures or no-confidence threats. Despite opposition figures like Arvind Kejriwal predicting an early exit in March statements, no snap election calls, health concerns, or coalition breakdowns have emerged in the past month. State assembly polls in four states and one union territory later in 2026 could test alliances, but historical patterns favor continuity absent major disruptions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$20,957Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Narendra Modi's NDA coalition government, formed after the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, continues to demonstrate stability midway through its term ending in 2029, driving trader consensus toward an 87.9% implied probability he remains in office through December 31, 2026. Recent legislative actions, including the introduction of three delimitation bills on April 16 amid opposition criticism, signal proactive governance without signs of internal fractures or no-confidence threats. Despite opposition figures like Arvind Kejriwal predicting an early exit in March statements, no snap election calls, health concerns, or coalition breakdowns have emerged in the past month. State assembly polls in four states and one union territory later in 2026 could test alliances, but historical patterns favor continuity absent major disruptions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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