MetaMask Rewards Returns with Season 2 and New Benefits Tab

December 31, 2026 jumps to 40%9%

MetaMask relaunched its Rewards program with trading challenges and a new Benefits tab, reviving long-term speculation for a future MASK token allocation.

MetaMask Relaunches Rewards Program with New Benefits Tab

December 31, 2026 jumps to 40%7%

MetaMask updated its Rewards program with trading challenges and partner token allocations, reviving speculation about future native token distribution criteria.

MetaMask Rewards Returns with New Benefits Tab

December 31, 2026 jumps to 40%6%

MetaMask announced the return of its Rewards program with trading challenges and a new Benefits tab, but without any concrete timeline for a native token launch.

MetaMask Rewards Relaunches with New Benefits Tab

December 31, 2026 jumps to 41%8%

MetaMask announced the return of its Rewards program with trading challenges and partner benefits, which briefly renewed speculative interest in future token allocations.

MetaMask product update adds multichain support, still no token launch date

June 30 drops to 2%7%

MetaMask released a product‑update on April 23, 2026 highlighting new multichain features but giving no token‑related timeline. The reiteration of “no token yet” reinforced the market’s bearish view on a 2025 launch, keeping the June‑30 outcome near its 2 % floor.

MetaMask Card goes live in the US, signaling broader product rollout

December 31, 2026 jumps to 57%12%

MetaMask announced the general availability of its Card in the US on March 17, 2026. While unrelated to the token itself, the news briefly revived optimism about the ecosystem’s momentum, nudging the Yes probability for the December‑2026 outcome up to a short‑term high of 57 % before reverting.

MetaMask Closes Season 1 Claim Window

December 31, 2026 drops to 31%5%

MetaMask officially closed the claim window for Season 1 rewards, confirming no native token was generated during this cycle and shifting expectations further out.

MetaMask Launches Self-Custodial Debit Card in the US

December 31, 2026 dips to 36%1%

MetaMask announced the general availability of the MetaMask Card in the US in partnership with Mastercard, shifting focus toward product utility rather than token generation.

Phishing Scams Impersonate MetaMask Token Launch and Airdrop

December 31, 2026 plunges to 19%31%

Malicious sites claiming a MetaMask token launch was live caused confusion and volatility in prediction markets as users navigated fake claim portals.

MetaMask roadmap update pushes token launch to Q2 2026

December 31, 2026 plunges to 31%19%

On February 9, 2026 MetaMask posted an update on its roadmap, confirming that the native token would not be released before the end of Q2 2026. The clarification pushed the market’s Yes probability for the December‑2026 outcome down to the low‑30 % range and accelerated the decline toward the June‑30 outcome.

MetaMask Announces General Availability of MetaMask Card in the US

December 31, 2026 plunges to 19%31%

MetaMask announced the general availability of its self-custodial debit card in the US in partnership with Mastercard, shifting focus to product utility over token launch.

MetaMask Integrates Ondo Finance to Offer Tokenized US Stocks and ETFs

December 31, 2026 drops to 37%13%

MetaMask expanded its wallet features to support over 200 tokenized U.S. securities via Ondo Global Markets, shifting focus toward real-world asset integrations.

No official MetaMask token generation event or public token launch by early 2026

Despite ongoing speculation and community anticipation, no official token generation event or publicly tradable MetaMask token was launched by early 2026, leading to a steady decline in market odds across all resolution dates.

MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Ends with LINEA Payouts and No MASK Token

June 30 plunges to 13%24%

Season 1 of the Rewards program concluded with payouts distributed in LINEA tokens rather than a native MASK token, dampening hopes for an early 2026 token launch.

MetaMask Rewards Season 1 ends with negative user sentiment and no token launch

September 30 plunges to 44%27%

The first season of MetaMask Rewards concluded with mainly cash rewards paid in $LINEA, disappointing users and signaling weak immediate prospects for the MASK token generation event. This contributed to a decline in market confidence for a near-term token launch.

MetaMask ends Rewards Season 1 without announcing token launch

June 30 plunges to 13%65%

MetaMask posted on X that Season 1 of the Rewards program had ended, noting that the $30 M prize pool was distributed in LINEA tokens. The lack of a token‑generation event (TGE) after the season’s close dampened expectations, causing the Yes probability for the June‑30 outcome to fall from 78 % (early Jan) to 13 % by late January.

MetaMask CEO last mentions token launch; no new TGE signals emerge

September 30 drops to 65%12%

The last public mention by ConsenSys CEO regarding MetaMask token launch occurred in October 2025, with no new official Token Generation Event signals by January 2026. This absence of concrete launch developments led to further decline in market probabilities.

MetaMask launches native Bitcoin support expanding multichain capabilities

December 31, 2026 plunges to 35%15%

MetaMask added native Bitcoin support, allowing users to hold and trade BTC directly in the wallet. This product expansion enhanced MetaMask’s ecosystem but did not include a native token launch, contributing to market uncertainty and declining token launch odds.

MetaMask adds native Bitcoin support expanding wallet capabilities

MetaMask officially integrated native Bitcoin support, enhancing its multichain wallet features. While this was a significant product update, it did not directly indicate a token launch, and market prices showed no major positive reaction related to token launch probabilities.

MetaMask Launches Native Bitcoin Support Pushing Beyond Ethereum

June 30 jumps to 63%7%

MetaMask officially added native support for Bitcoin, allowing users to hold, send, receive, and trade BTC directly, which expanded its multi-chain utility.

MetaMask Launches Native Bitcoin Support

September 30 jumps to 80%9%

MetaMask expanded its multichain capabilities by adding native support for Bitcoin, allowing users to trade BTC directly and earn reward points, further fueling ecosystem activity.

MetaMask Rolls Out Native Bitcoin Support and Integrates Rewards Points

September 30 jumps to 77%6%

MetaMask expanded its multi-chain capabilities by adding native support for Bitcoin, allowing users to earn MetaMask Rewards points for swapping into BTC. This product expansion initially kept hopes alive for a near-term token launch.

MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Launches Fueling MASK Token Speculation

June 30 surges to 78%28%

The launch of MetaMask Rewards Season 1 and the discovery of a password-protected claim domain triggered a sharp rise in prediction market odds for a near-term token launch.