$3,037,477 Vol.
1億ドル
$26,278 Vol.
35%
3億ドル
$70,647 Vol.
35%
5億ドル
$11,388 Vol.
33%
7億ドル
$1,352,794 Vol.
30%
10億ドル
$579,555 Vol.
19%
20億ドル
$385,979 Vol.
12%
30億ドル
$298,142 Vol.
8%
40億ドル
$312,694 Vol.
6%
$3,037,477 Vol.
1億ドル
35%
3億ドル
35%
5億ドル
33%
7億ドル
30%
10億ドル
19%
20億ドル
12%
30億ドル
8%
40億ドル
6%
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
マーケット開始日: Apr 27, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...MetaMask Rewards program relaunch with new trading challenges and token allocations
$100M dips to 57%2%
MetaMask relaunched its Rewards program with new features including trading challenges and token allocations, which helped maintain user engagement and influenced market sentiment about the token's value.
Polymarket data shows rising probability of MetaMask FDV exceeding $1B
$1B rises to 22%3%
Prediction market data from Polymarket indicated increasing market belief that MetaMask's token FDV would surpass $1 billion one day after launch, reflecting growing investor confidence in the token's valuation potential.
Speculation and Phishing Scams Surge Around Rumored MetaMask MASK Airdrop Launch
$500M plunges to 27%37%
Reports and rumors circulated regarding a MetaMask MASK token airdrop launch on March 15, 2026. While some outlets reported it as live, major platforms warned it was a phishing scam, causing massive volatility in the $300M and $500M valuation markets.
MetaMask MASK Token Airdrop Reportedly Goes Live to Decentralize Governance
$300M plunges to 44%20%
Reports emerged that the MetaMask Foundation officially launched its MASK token airdrop to active wallet users to decentralize ecosystem governance. This major milestone immediately adjusted market expectations regarding the post-launch valuation of the token.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 ends; anticipation builds for MASK token launch
$300M plunges to 35%29%
The conclusion of MetaMask Rewards Season 1 marked a key milestone, with points carrying over into Season 2 and fueling speculation about the imminent MASK token launch. Market prices showed volatility reflecting mixed sentiment and uncertainty about launch timing and valuation.
MetaMask Foundation Launches MASK Token Airdrop for Eligible Wallets
$500M plunges to 27%37%
The official launch of the MASK token airdrop occurred on March 15, 2026, allowing active wallet users to claim their governance tokens. This event triggered immediate price adjustments across all FDV prediction contracts as the token became a reality.
MetaMask officially launches MASK token airdrop claim portal
$100M surges to 56%17%
MetaMask Foundation launched the official $MASK token airdrop claim portal for eligible wallets, marking the active, public, and tradable launch of the token, which directly impacted market prices and valuation expectations.
MetaMask Integrates Ondo Finance to Support Tokenized Stocks and ETFs
$700M plunges to 33%23%
MetaMask expanded its financial services by allowing non-U.S. users to trade tokenized traditional stocks and ETFs directly in the app, boosting the platform's utility and long-term valuation outlook.
MetaMask expands access to tokenized US stocks via Ondo Finance integration
MetaMask announced support for tokenized US stocks and ETFs through integration with Ondo Finance, broadening its financial product offerings beyond crypto and enhancing its platform's appeal. This expansion indicated MetaMask's strategy to become a multi-asset gateway, potentially increasing the token's valuation prospects.
SEC dismisses lawsuit against ConsenSys over MetaMask staking features
$1B plunges to 28%24%
The SEC informed ConsenSys it would dismiss its lawsuit regarding MetaMask's staking features, reducing regulatory uncertainty and positively impacting market sentiment about the token launch and valuation.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 ends with mixed user sentiment
$700M drops to 67%5%
The first season of the MetaMask Points Program ended, with rewards mainly paid in $LINEA tokens rather than MASK, leading to some negative user sentiment and uncertainty about the timing of the MASK token generation event, causing market probabilities to decline.
MetaMask Concludes Rewards Season 1 with LINEA Payouts, Delaying MASK Token Expectations
$1B dips to 52%4%
The first season of the MetaMask Points Program ended on January 23, 2026, but distributed rewards in LINEA tokens rather than a native MASK token. This lack of immediate MASK token generation event (TGE) signals led to negative user sentiment and lowered short-term launch expectations, causing higher FDV tier probabilities to decline.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Concludes with LINEA Token Distributions
$3B drops to 13%5%
The first season of the MetaMask Rewards program officially ended, distributing LINEA tokens instead of a native MetaMask token, which led to community disappointment and lowered expectations for an imminent MASK launch.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Concludes with Linea Token Distributions
$700M drops to 69%10%
The first season of the MetaMask Points Program officially ended, distributing Linea tokens. The lack of a native MASK token distribution disappointed some users and lowered near-term launch expectations.
MetaMask Points Program Season 1 Ends with Linea Token Rewards
$1B dips to 52%4%
The first season of the MetaMask Rewards program concluded, but distributed Linea tokens instead of a native MASK token. This lack of a direct MASK token launch signal caused a decline in high-valuation market odds.
Coinbase Opposes Senate Banking Draft Bill Over Tokenized Equities and DeFi Prohibitions
$700M drops to 69%10%
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong announced opposition to a draft Senate Banking bill, highlighting regulatory headwinds for DeFi and tokenized assets, which dampened immediate token launch sentiment.
MetaMask integrates native prediction markets powered by Polymarket
MetaMask launched native prediction markets integrated into its mobile app, powered by Polymarket, enhancing user engagement and expanding its decentralized finance offerings. This development supported the ecosystem growth and positively influenced market sentiment about the token's potential value.
MetaMask Launches Native Prediction Markets Powered by Polymarket
$2B plunges to 24%31%
MetaMask integrated native prediction markets directly into its mobile app, powered by Polymarket. This major product expansion boosted ecosystem utility and initially supported higher valuation expectations.
MetaMask Launches Native Prediction Markets Powered by Polymarket
$1B plunges to 55%20%
MetaMask integrated Polymarket directly into its mobile app, allowing users to trade prediction markets natively. This integration increased user engagement and points accumulation, directly tying into future token launch expectations.
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolver
0x65070BE91...MetaMask Rewards program relaunch with new trading challenges and token allocations
$100M dips to 57%2%
MetaMask relaunched its Rewards program with new features including trading challenges and token allocations, which helped maintain user engagement and influenced market sentiment about the token's value.
Polymarket data shows rising probability of MetaMask FDV exceeding $1B
$1B rises to 22%3%
Prediction market data from Polymarket indicated increasing market belief that MetaMask's token FDV would surpass $1 billion one day after launch, reflecting growing investor confidence in the token's valuation potential.
Speculation and Phishing Scams Surge Around Rumored MetaMask MASK Airdrop Launch
$500M plunges to 27%37%
Reports and rumors circulated regarding a MetaMask MASK token airdrop launch on March 15, 2026. While some outlets reported it as live, major platforms warned it was a phishing scam, causing massive volatility in the $300M and $500M valuation markets.
MetaMask MASK Token Airdrop Reportedly Goes Live to Decentralize Governance
$300M plunges to 44%20%
Reports emerged that the MetaMask Foundation officially launched its MASK token airdrop to active wallet users to decentralize ecosystem governance. This major milestone immediately adjusted market expectations regarding the post-launch valuation of the token.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 ends; anticipation builds for MASK token launch
$300M plunges to 35%29%
The conclusion of MetaMask Rewards Season 1 marked a key milestone, with points carrying over into Season 2 and fueling speculation about the imminent MASK token launch. Market prices showed volatility reflecting mixed sentiment and uncertainty about launch timing and valuation.
MetaMask Foundation Launches MASK Token Airdrop for Eligible Wallets
$500M plunges to 27%37%
The official launch of the MASK token airdrop occurred on March 15, 2026, allowing active wallet users to claim their governance tokens. This event triggered immediate price adjustments across all FDV prediction contracts as the token became a reality.
MetaMask officially launches MASK token airdrop claim portal
$100M surges to 56%17%
MetaMask Foundation launched the official $MASK token airdrop claim portal for eligible wallets, marking the active, public, and tradable launch of the token, which directly impacted market prices and valuation expectations.
MetaMask Integrates Ondo Finance to Support Tokenized Stocks and ETFs
$700M plunges to 33%23%
MetaMask expanded its financial services by allowing non-U.S. users to trade tokenized traditional stocks and ETFs directly in the app, boosting the platform's utility and long-term valuation outlook.
MetaMask expands access to tokenized US stocks via Ondo Finance integration
MetaMask announced support for tokenized US stocks and ETFs through integration with Ondo Finance, broadening its financial product offerings beyond crypto and enhancing its platform's appeal. This expansion indicated MetaMask's strategy to become a multi-asset gateway, potentially increasing the token's valuation prospects.
SEC dismisses lawsuit against ConsenSys over MetaMask staking features
$1B plunges to 28%24%
The SEC informed ConsenSys it would dismiss its lawsuit regarding MetaMask's staking features, reducing regulatory uncertainty and positively impacting market sentiment about the token launch and valuation.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 ends with mixed user sentiment
$700M drops to 67%5%
The first season of the MetaMask Points Program ended, with rewards mainly paid in $LINEA tokens rather than MASK, leading to some negative user sentiment and uncertainty about the timing of the MASK token generation event, causing market probabilities to decline.
MetaMask Concludes Rewards Season 1 with LINEA Payouts, Delaying MASK Token Expectations
$1B dips to 52%4%
The first season of the MetaMask Points Program ended on January 23, 2026, but distributed rewards in LINEA tokens rather than a native MASK token. This lack of immediate MASK token generation event (TGE) signals led to negative user sentiment and lowered short-term launch expectations, causing higher FDV tier probabilities to decline.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Concludes with LINEA Token Distributions
$3B drops to 13%5%
The first season of the MetaMask Rewards program officially ended, distributing LINEA tokens instead of a native MetaMask token, which led to community disappointment and lowered expectations for an imminent MASK launch.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Concludes with Linea Token Distributions
$700M drops to 69%10%
The first season of the MetaMask Points Program officially ended, distributing Linea tokens. The lack of a native MASK token distribution disappointed some users and lowered near-term launch expectations.
MetaMask Points Program Season 1 Ends with Linea Token Rewards
$1B dips to 52%4%
The first season of the MetaMask Rewards program concluded, but distributed Linea tokens instead of a native MASK token. This lack of a direct MASK token launch signal caused a decline in high-valuation market odds.
Coinbase Opposes Senate Banking Draft Bill Over Tokenized Equities and DeFi Prohibitions
$700M drops to 69%10%
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong announced opposition to a draft Senate Banking bill, highlighting regulatory headwinds for DeFi and tokenized assets, which dampened immediate token launch sentiment.
MetaMask integrates native prediction markets powered by Polymarket
MetaMask launched native prediction markets integrated into its mobile app, powered by Polymarket, enhancing user engagement and expanding its decentralized finance offerings. This development supported the ecosystem growth and positively influenced market sentiment about the token's potential value.
MetaMask Launches Native Prediction Markets Powered by Polymarket
$2B plunges to 24%31%
MetaMask integrated native prediction markets directly into its mobile app, powered by Polymarket. This major product expansion boosted ecosystem utility and initially supported higher valuation expectations.
MetaMask Launches Native Prediction Markets Powered by Polymarket
$1B plunges to 55%20%
MetaMask integrated Polymarket directly into its mobile app, allowing users to trade prediction markets natively. This integration increased user engagement and points accumulation, directly tying into future token launch expectations.

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