Russian forces have conducted only limited offensive operations around Borova in Kharkiv Oblast through September 2026, with no confirmed advances into the town itself despite repeated attempts near the Oskil River line. Ukrainian counteroffensives, including Operation Vivaldi northwest of Lyman, combined with strikes on Russian logistics and drone units in occupied Luhansk Oblast, have disrupted supply lines and forced redeployments away from the Borova direction. Assessments from independent monitoring show stalled Russian progress and unfulfilled claims of encirclements earlier in the year. With roughly 15 months remaining until the December 31, 2026 resolution, traders price the low probability of capture at the specified intersection according to established front-line mapping, reflecting the attritional pace of fighting, Ukrainian defensive resilience, and logistical constraints on Russian forces in this sector.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?
Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?
7% khả năng
$54,346 KL.
$54,346 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
7% khả năng
$54,346 KL.
$54,346 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 49.373835° N, 37.622038° E in Borova, Kharkiv Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova1.png
Intersection Location in Borova: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova2.png
Borova Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/pmtLHxQG1BLioW6AA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have conducted only limited offensive operations around Borova in Kharkiv Oblast through September 2026, with no confirmed advances into the town itself despite repeated attempts near the Oskil River line. Ukrainian counteroffensives, including Operation Vivaldi northwest of Lyman, combined with strikes on Russian logistics and drone units in occupied Luhansk Oblast, have disrupted supply lines and forced redeployments away from the Borova direction. Assessments from independent monitoring show stalled Russian progress and unfulfilled claims of encirclements earlier in the year. With roughly 15 months remaining until the December 31, 2026 resolution, traders price the low probability of capture at the specified intersection according to established front-line mapping, reflecting the attritional pace of fighting, Ukrainian defensive resilience, and logistical constraints on Russian forces in this sector.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 49.373835° N, 37.622038° E in Borova, Kharkiv Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova1.png
Intersection Location in Borova: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova2.png
Borova Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/pmtLHxQG1BLioW6AA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova1.png
Intersection Location in Borova: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova2.png
Borova Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/pmtLHxQG1BLioW6AA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: May 21, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
Khối lượng
$54,346Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 1:38 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 49.373835° N, 37.622038° E in Borova, Kharkiv Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova1.png
Intersection Location in Borova: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova2.png
Borova Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/pmtLHxQG1BLioW6AA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have conducted only limited offensive operations around Borova in Kharkiv Oblast through September 2026, with no confirmed advances into the town itself despite repeated attempts near the Oskil River line. Ukrainian counteroffensives, including Operation Vivaldi northwest of Lyman, combined with strikes on Russian logistics and drone units in occupied Luhansk Oblast, have disrupted supply lines and forced redeployments away from the Borova direction. Assessments from independent monitoring show stalled Russian progress and unfulfilled claims of encirclements earlier in the year. With roughly 15 months remaining until the December 31, 2026 resolution, traders price the low probability of capture at the specified intersection according to established front-line mapping, reflecting the attritional pace of fighting, Ukrainian defensive resilience, and logistical constraints on Russian forces in this sector.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 49.373835° N, 37.622038° E in Borova, Kharkiv Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova1.png
Intersection Location in Borova: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova2.png
Borova Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/pmtLHxQG1BLioW6AA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova1.png
Intersection Location in Borova: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova2.png
Borova Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/pmtLHxQG1BLioW6AA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$54,346Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 1:38 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have conducted only limited offensive operations around Borova in Kharkiv Oblast through September 2026, with no confirmed advances into the town itself despite repeated attempts near the Oskil River line. Ukrainian counteroffensives, including Operation Vivaldi northwest of Lyman, combined with strikes on Russian logistics and drone units in occupied Luhansk Oblast, have disrupted supply lines and forced redeployments away from the Borova direction. Assessments from independent monitoring show stalled Russian progress and unfulfilled claims of encirclements earlier in the year. With roughly 15 months remaining until the December 31, 2026 resolution, traders price the low probability of capture at the specified intersection according to established front-line mapping, reflecting the attritional pace of fighting, Ukrainian defensive resilience, and logistical constraints on Russian forces in this sector.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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