Russian forces advanced into Ukraine's Sumy region in mid-2025, claiming control of Kindrativka as part of efforts to pressure the city of Sumy and establish a buffer zone along the border. Ukrainian units subsequently conducted counteractions that regained ground in and around the settlement, reflecting the fluid nature of fighting in northern frontline areas. Broader Russian operations have concentrated on incremental gains in Donetsk Oblast, including Kostyantynivka, while Ukrainian forces have prioritized defensive stabilization and localized counterattacks. Trader sentiment on capture timelines hinges on verified territorial control reports, seasonal offensive patterns, and any shifts in Russian troop concentrations or Ukrainian reinforcements in the Sumy sector. No major escalations specific to Kindrativka have surfaced in the most recent assessments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill Russia capture Kindrativka by...?
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by...?
$52,824 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
27%
$52,824 KL.
September 30
$7,809 KL.
27%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 51.141847° N, 34.771637° E in Kindrativka, Sumy Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS.png
Intersection Location in Kindrativka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS2.png
Kindrativka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/BTC6vHHmyYcJ1WETA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces advanced into Ukraine's Sumy region in mid-2025, claiming control of Kindrativka as part of efforts to pressure the city of Sumy and establish a buffer zone along the border. Ukrainian units subsequently conducted counteractions that regained ground in and around the settlement, reflecting the fluid nature of fighting in northern frontline areas. Broader Russian operations have concentrated on incremental gains in Donetsk Oblast, including Kostyantynivka, while Ukrainian forces have prioritized defensive stabilization and localized counterattacks. Trader sentiment on capture timelines hinges on verified territorial control reports, seasonal offensive patterns, and any shifts in Russian troop concentrations or Ukrainian reinforcements in the Sumy sector. No major escalations specific to Kindrativka have surfaced in the most recent assessments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 51.141847° N, 34.771637° E in Kindrativka, Sumy Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS.png
Intersection Location in Kindrativka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS2.png
Kindrativka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/BTC6vHHmyYcJ1WETA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS.png
Intersection Location in Kindrativka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS2.png
Kindrativka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/BTC6vHHmyYcJ1WETA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 24, 2026, 10:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$52,824Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 24, 2026, 10:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 51.141847° N, 34.771637° E in Kindrativka, Sumy Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS.png
Intersection Location in Kindrativka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS2.png
Kindrativka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/BTC6vHHmyYcJ1WETA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces advanced into Ukraine's Sumy region in mid-2025, claiming control of Kindrativka as part of efforts to pressure the city of Sumy and establish a buffer zone along the border. Ukrainian units subsequently conducted counteractions that regained ground in and around the settlement, reflecting the fluid nature of fighting in northern frontline areas. Broader Russian operations have concentrated on incremental gains in Donetsk Oblast, including Kostyantynivka, while Ukrainian forces have prioritized defensive stabilization and localized counterattacks. Trader sentiment on capture timelines hinges on verified territorial control reports, seasonal offensive patterns, and any shifts in Russian troop concentrations or Ukrainian reinforcements in the Sumy sector. No major escalations specific to Kindrativka have surfaced in the most recent assessments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 51.141847° N, 34.771637° E in Kindrativka, Sumy Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS.png
Intersection Location in Kindrativka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS2.png
Kindrativka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/BTC6vHHmyYcJ1WETA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS.png
Intersection Location in Kindrativka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS2.png
Kindrativka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/BTC6vHHmyYcJ1WETA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$52,824Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 24, 2026, 10:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces advanced into Ukraine's Sumy region in mid-2025, claiming control of Kindrativka as part of efforts to pressure the city of Sumy and establish a buffer zone along the border. Ukrainian units subsequently conducted counteractions that regained ground in and around the settlement, reflecting the fluid nature of fighting in northern frontline areas. Broader Russian operations have concentrated on incremental gains in Donetsk Oblast, including Kostyantynivka, while Ukrainian forces have prioritized defensive stabilization and localized counterattacks. Trader sentiment on capture timelines hinges on verified territorial control reports, seasonal offensive patterns, and any shifts in Russian troop concentrations or Ukrainian reinforcements in the Sumy sector. No major escalations specific to Kindrativka have surfaced in the most recent assessments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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