Ongoing US-Iran negotiations center on the fate of Iran’s approximately 440 kilograms of uranium enriched to 60 percent, with Washington insisting the stockpile must leave Iranian territory or be destroyed as a condition for any agreement or sanctions relief. June 2025 US and Israeli strikes damaged enrichment facilities at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, after which Iran relocated or secured much of the material, leaving its current verified location uncertain due to suspended IAEA inspections. As of May 2026, US proposals include direct transfer to the United States, while Iran has offered limited third-party options or down-blending and retains leverage through its remaining nuclear infrastructure and enrichment knowledge. These diplomatic sticking points, alongside scheduled mediation efforts, shape trader assessments of whether acquisition occurs within the market’s timeframe.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỹ có được uranium làm giàu của Iran bằng cách...?
$25,242,010 KL.
June 30
3%
Ngày 31 tháng 12
20%
$25,242,010 KL.
June 30
3%
Ngày 31 tháng 12
20%
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 7, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran negotiations center on the fate of Iran’s approximately 440 kilograms of uranium enriched to 60 percent, with Washington insisting the stockpile must leave Iranian territory or be destroyed as a condition for any agreement or sanctions relief. June 2025 US and Israeli strikes damaged enrichment facilities at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, after which Iran relocated or secured much of the material, leaving its current verified location uncertain due to suspended IAEA inspections. As of May 2026, US proposals include direct transfer to the United States, while Iran has offered limited third-party options or down-blending and retains leverage through its remaining nuclear infrastructure and enrichment knowledge. These diplomatic sticking points, alongside scheduled mediation efforts, shape trader assessments of whether acquisition occurs within the market’s timeframe.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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