SOFR has traded stably around 3.64%-3.67% through April 20, 2026, with the 30-day average at 3.64381%, closely mirroring the Federal Reserve's 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range amid ample repo market liquidity and no signs of stress. Resilient economic data—including a 4.3% unemployment rate, steady March payroll gains, and moderating March CPI—have reinforced the FOMC's decision to hold rates steady at its March 17-18 meeting, with markets pricing near-certainty for no change at the April 28-29 gathering. With nine days remaining until April's close, traders eye quarter-end balance sheet adjustments and tax flows for potential volatility, though historical precedents suggest minimal deviation absent policy shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$20,886 KL.
↑3.76%
12%
↑3.74%
32%
$20,886 KL.
↑3.76%
12%
↑3.74%
32%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Federal Reserve Bank of New York publishes a daily SOFR rate (%) equal to or above the listed value for any business day between April 1 and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as the SOFR rate is equal to or above the listed value during the specified period, or when SOFR data is published for the final business day on or before April 30, 2026. If no data is published for the final business day on or before April 30, 2026 by May 07, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. Business day refers to any day treated as such by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Thị trường mở: Apr 1, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Federal Reserve Bank of New York publishes a daily SOFR rate (%) equal to or above the listed value for any business day between April 1 and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as the SOFR rate is equal to or above the listed value during the specified period, or when SOFR data is published for the final business day on or before April 30, 2026. If no data is published for the final business day on or before April 30, 2026 by May 07, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. Business day refers to any day treated as such by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...SOFR has traded stably around 3.64%-3.67% through April 20, 2026, with the 30-day average at 3.64381%, closely mirroring the Federal Reserve's 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range amid ample repo market liquidity and no signs of stress. Resilient economic data—including a 4.3% unemployment rate, steady March payroll gains, and moderating March CPI—have reinforced the FOMC's decision to hold rates steady at its March 17-18 meeting, with markets pricing near-certainty for no change at the April 28-29 gathering. With nine days remaining until April's close, traders eye quarter-end balance sheet adjustments and tax flows for potential volatility, though historical precedents suggest minimal deviation absent policy shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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