The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, now in its ninth week as of early September 2026, centers trader views on whether prosecutors can secure the 16 votes needed from 24 senator-judges for conviction on charges including misuse of confidential funds, graft, bribery, and threats. The House transmitted articles in May after a 257-25 vote, but Duterte-aligned senators and procedural challenges create a narrow path to the two-thirds threshold. Evidence presentations on Department of Education funds and tax records, alongside defense responses and potential absences or legal issues affecting certain senators, sustain the close balance. Outcomes by the market's December 31, 2026 resolution date hinge on trial momentum, witness testimony, and any shifts in Senate alignments before proceedings extend further into 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
52% khả năng
$12,038 KL.
$12,038 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
52% khả năng
$12,038 KL.
$12,038 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, now in its ninth week as of early September 2026, centers trader views on whether prosecutors can secure the 16 votes needed from 24 senator-judges for conviction on charges including misuse of confidential funds, graft, bribery, and threats. The House transmitted articles in May after a 257-25 vote, but Duterte-aligned senators and procedural challenges create a narrow path to the two-thirds threshold. Evidence presentations on Department of Education funds and tax records, alongside defense responses and potential absences or legal issues affecting certain senators, sustain the close balance. Outcomes by the market's December 31, 2026 resolution date hinge on trial momentum, witness testimony, and any shifts in Senate alignments before proceedings extend further into 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Thị trường mở: May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Khối lượng
$12,038Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, now in its ninth week as of early September 2026, centers trader views on whether prosecutors can secure the 16 votes needed from 24 senator-judges for conviction on charges including misuse of confidential funds, graft, bribery, and threats. The House transmitted articles in May after a 257-25 vote, but Duterte-aligned senators and procedural challenges create a narrow path to the two-thirds threshold. Evidence presentations on Department of Education funds and tax records, alongside defense responses and potential absences or legal issues affecting certain senators, sustain the close balance. Outcomes by the market's December 31, 2026 resolution date hinge on trial momentum, witness testimony, and any shifts in Senate alignments before proceedings extend further into 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Khối lượng
$12,038Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, now in its ninth week as of early September 2026, centers trader views on whether prosecutors can secure the 16 votes needed from 24 senator-judges for conviction on charges including misuse of confidential funds, graft, bribery, and threats. The House transmitted articles in May after a 257-25 vote, but Duterte-aligned senators and procedural challenges create a narrow path to the two-thirds threshold. Evidence presentations on Department of Education funds and tax records, alongside defense responses and potential absences or legal issues affecting certain senators, sustain the close balance. Outcomes by the market's December 31, 2026 resolution date hinge on trial momentum, witness testimony, and any shifts in Senate alignments before proceedings extend further into 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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