The ongoing impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened on July 6, 2026, and reached its twentieth day on September 1, centers trader assessments around the Senate's two-thirds threshold of 16 votes out of 24 for conviction on any of the four articles covering alleged misuse of confidential funds from the Office of the Vice President and Department of Education, unexplained wealth, bribery, and threats against President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. and associates. The House transmitted the articles after a 257-25 vote in May, but the Senate's divided composition—with a notable pro-Duterte bloc and recent leadership shifts—keeps outcomes finely balanced, as proceedings continue through extensive witness testimony on fund liquidations and related audits without a clear path to the required majority. Scheduled hearings extend well beyond year-end, and resolution by December 31, 2026, hinges on whether evidence presentation, senator alignments, or procedural rulings produce sufficient cross-bloc support amid competing political pressures from the Marcos administration and Duterte allies.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
53% khả năng
$12,038 KL.
$12,038 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
53% khả năng
$12,038 KL.
$12,038 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The ongoing impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened on July 6, 2026, and reached its twentieth day on September 1, centers trader assessments around the Senate's two-thirds threshold of 16 votes out of 24 for conviction on any of the four articles covering alleged misuse of confidential funds from the Office of the Vice President and Department of Education, unexplained wealth, bribery, and threats against President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. and associates. The House transmitted the articles after a 257-25 vote in May, but the Senate's divided composition—with a notable pro-Duterte bloc and recent leadership shifts—keeps outcomes finely balanced, as proceedings continue through extensive witness testimony on fund liquidations and related audits without a clear path to the required majority. Scheduled hearings extend well beyond year-end, and resolution by December 31, 2026, hinges on whether evidence presentation, senator alignments, or procedural rulings produce sufficient cross-bloc support amid competing political pressures from the Marcos administration and Duterte allies.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Thị trường mở: May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Khối lượng
$12,038Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The ongoing impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened on July 6, 2026, and reached its twentieth day on September 1, centers trader assessments around the Senate's two-thirds threshold of 16 votes out of 24 for conviction on any of the four articles covering alleged misuse of confidential funds from the Office of the Vice President and Department of Education, unexplained wealth, bribery, and threats against President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. and associates. The House transmitted the articles after a 257-25 vote in May, but the Senate's divided composition—with a notable pro-Duterte bloc and recent leadership shifts—keeps outcomes finely balanced, as proceedings continue through extensive witness testimony on fund liquidations and related audits without a clear path to the required majority. Scheduled hearings extend well beyond year-end, and resolution by December 31, 2026, hinges on whether evidence presentation, senator alignments, or procedural rulings produce sufficient cross-bloc support amid competing political pressures from the Marcos administration and Duterte allies.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Khối lượng
$12,038Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...The ongoing impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened on July 6, 2026, and reached its twentieth day on September 1, centers trader assessments around the Senate's two-thirds threshold of 16 votes out of 24 for conviction on any of the four articles covering alleged misuse of confidential funds from the Office of the Vice President and Department of Education, unexplained wealth, bribery, and threats against President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. and associates. The House transmitted the articles after a 257-25 vote in May, but the Senate's divided composition—with a notable pro-Duterte bloc and recent leadership shifts—keeps outcomes finely balanced, as proceedings continue through extensive witness testimony on fund liquidations and related audits without a clear path to the required majority. Scheduled hearings extend well beyond year-end, and resolution by December 31, 2026, hinges on whether evidence presentation, senator alignments, or procedural rulings produce sufficient cross-bloc support amid competing political pressures from the Marcos administration and Duterte allies.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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