Republican control of the House through the 2026 midterms remains the dominant factor behind the 98.3% "No" consensus, as impeachment requires a majority vote that historically aligns with partisan lines absent overwhelming bipartisan evidence of high crimes. With the new Congress not seated until January 2027, even a Democratic takeover in November would leave no procedural window before year-end. No major ongoing congressional investigations or scandals have generated the necessary momentum as of August 2026. Late developments such as a sudden bipartisan coalition, verified evidence emerging in the lame-duck session, or an unforeseen institutional crisis could still shift odds, though traders price these paths as remote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCó
$987,960 KL.
$987,960 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Kiếm 3.25%
Có
$987,960 KL.
$987,960 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Kiếm 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House through the 2026 midterms remains the dominant factor behind the 98.3% "No" consensus, as impeachment requires a majority vote that historically aligns with partisan lines absent overwhelming bipartisan evidence of high crimes. With the new Congress not seated until January 2027, even a Democratic takeover in November would leave no procedural window before year-end. No major ongoing congressional investigations or scandals have generated the necessary momentum as of August 2026. Late developments such as a sudden bipartisan coalition, verified evidence emerging in the lame-duck session, or an unforeseen institutional crisis could still shift odds, though traders price these paths as remote.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Khối lượng
$987,960Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House through the 2026 midterms remains the dominant factor behind the 98.3% "No" consensus, as impeachment requires a majority vote that historically aligns with partisan lines absent overwhelming bipartisan evidence of high crimes. With the new Congress not seated until January 2027, even a Democratic takeover in November would leave no procedural window before year-end. No major ongoing congressional investigations or scandals have generated the necessary momentum as of August 2026. Late developments such as a sudden bipartisan coalition, verified evidence emerging in the lame-duck session, or an unforeseen institutional crisis could still shift odds, though traders price these paths as remote.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Khối lượng
$987,960Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Republican control of the House through the 2026 midterms remains the dominant factor behind the 98.3% "No" consensus, as impeachment requires a majority vote that historically aligns with partisan lines absent overwhelming bipartisan evidence of high crimes. With the new Congress not seated until January 2027, even a Democratic takeover in November would leave no procedural window before year-end. No major ongoing congressional investigations or scandals have generated the necessary momentum as of August 2026. Late developments such as a sudden bipartisan coalition, verified evidence emerging in the lame-duck session, or an unforeseen institutional crisis could still shift odds, though traders price these paths as remote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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