Recent EIA data show U.S. commercial crude inventories at 426.4 million barrels as of September 18, 2026, above the five-year average following a 3-million-barrel weekly build amid softer refinery runs at 94% utilization. Ongoing SPR drawdowns, now at 284.6 million barrels or roughly 40% of capacity after coordinated releases tied to Middle East supply disruptions, continue to influence total system balances and trader focus on near-term inventory paths. Key drivers include refinery throughput trends, net imports (up 369,000 barrels per day in the latest report), domestic production near record levels, and seasonal demand patterns ahead of October. The next Weekly Petroleum Status Report on September 30 and any shifts in refinery maintenance or geopolitical risk premia could alter the implied probability of further declines by the October 30 resolution date, with markets pricing in supply-demand dynamics backed by real capital.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật280M
80%
270M
36%
260M
18%
250M
6%
240M
6%
$3,437 KL.
280M
80%
270M
36%
260M
18%
250M
6%
240M
6%
This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before October 30, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on October 30, 2026, by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2026, 12:25 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x65070be91...This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before October 30, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on October 30, 2026, by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Người giải quyết
0x65070be91...Recent EIA data show U.S. commercial crude inventories at 426.4 million barrels as of September 18, 2026, above the five-year average following a 3-million-barrel weekly build amid softer refinery runs at 94% utilization. Ongoing SPR drawdowns, now at 284.6 million barrels or roughly 40% of capacity after coordinated releases tied to Middle East supply disruptions, continue to influence total system balances and trader focus on near-term inventory paths. Key drivers include refinery throughput trends, net imports (up 369,000 barrels per day in the latest report), domestic production near record levels, and seasonal demand patterns ahead of October. The next Weekly Petroleum Status Report on September 30 and any shifts in refinery maintenance or geopolitical risk premia could alter the implied probability of further declines by the October 30 resolution date, with markets pricing in supply-demand dynamics backed by real capital.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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