France leads Group I at the 2026 FIFA World Cup with a 75.5% implied probability, driven by its superior squad depth, attacking talent including Kylian Mbappé, and proven major-tournament pedigree. A 3-1 opening win over Senegal reinforced that edge. Norway sits at 21.5% after a dominant 4-1 victory over Iraq featuring Erling Haaland, giving the side momentum and a realistic path if it secures results against Senegal and France in the remaining fixtures. Senegal (1.6%) remains competitive despite the loss, while Iraq (0.1%) trails after conceding heavily and faces the steepest climb. Current trader consensus reflects France’s overall quality alongside Norway’s early form in a group where the top two advance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFrance 100.0%
Senegal <1%
Norway <1%
Iraq <1%
$1,519,211 KL.
$1,519,211 KL.
Jun 27, 2026
Senegal
No
Norway
No
France
Yes
Iraq
No
France 100.0%
Senegal <1%
Norway <1%
Iraq <1%
$1,519,211 KL.
$1,519,211 KL.
Jun 27, 2026
Senegal
$196,415 KL.
No
Norway
$360,065 KL.
No
France
$820,706 KL.
Yes
Iraq
$142,026 KL.
No
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France leads Group I at the 2026 FIFA World Cup with a 75.5% implied probability, driven by its superior squad depth, attacking talent including Kylian Mbappé, and proven major-tournament pedigree. A 3-1 opening win over Senegal reinforced that edge. Norway sits at 21.5% after a dominant 4-1 victory over Iraq featuring Erling Haaland, giving the side momentum and a realistic path if it secures results against Senegal and France in the remaining fixtures. Senegal (1.6%) remains competitive despite the loss, while Iraq (0.1%) trails after conceding heavily and faces the steepest climb. Current trader consensus reflects France’s overall quality alongside Norway’s early form in a group where the top two advance.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,519,211Ngày kết thúc
Jun 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France leads Group I at the 2026 FIFA World Cup with a 75.5% implied probability, driven by its superior squad depth, attacking talent including Kylian Mbappé, and proven major-tournament pedigree. A 3-1 opening win over Senegal reinforced that edge. Norway sits at 21.5% after a dominant 4-1 victory over Iraq featuring Erling Haaland, giving the side momentum and a realistic path if it secures results against Senegal and France in the remaining fixtures. Senegal (1.6%) remains competitive despite the loss, while Iraq (0.1%) trails after conceding heavily and faces the steepest climb. Current trader consensus reflects France’s overall quality alongside Norway’s early form in a group where the top two advance.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$1,519,211Ngày kết thúc
Jun 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
France leads Group I at the 2026 FIFA World Cup with a 75.5% implied probability, driven by its superior squad depth, attacking talent including Kylian Mbappé, and proven major-tournament pedigree. A 3-1 opening win over Senegal reinforced that edge. Norway sits at 21.5% after a dominant 4-1 victory over Iraq featuring Erling Haaland, giving the side momentum and a realistic path if it secures results against Senegal and France in the remaining fixtures. Senegal (1.6%) remains competitive despite the loss, while Iraq (0.1%) trails after conceding heavily and faces the steepest climb. Current trader consensus reflects France’s overall quality alongside Norway’s early form in a group where the top two advance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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