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政治·主要

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

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政治·主要

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

John Mills 27%

Jerry Carl 26%

James Dees 26%

Rhett Marques 26%

Polymarket
NEW

$33,286 交易量

John Mills 27%

Jerry Carl 26%

James Dees 26%

Rhett Marques 26%

Polymarket
NEW

$33,286 交易量

John Mills

$14,754 交易量

27%

Jerry Carl

$0 交易量

26%

James Dees

$0 交易量

26%

Rhett Marques

$0 交易量

26%

James Richardson

$5,179 交易量

24%

Joshua McKee

$0 交易量

20%

Austin Sidwell

$13,353 交易量

10%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field with John Mills edging incumbant Rep. Jerry Carl and challengers James Dees, Rhett Marques, and Joshua McKee—all clustered around 19-21%—due to evenly split conservative voter support. Recent FEC fundraising reports from late February showed challengers closing Carl's early financial advantage, while internal GOP polls indicate no candidate surpassing 25%, driven by intra-party disputes over border security and spending votes. Absent endorsements from former President Trump or key state figures like Gov. Kay Ivey, the race stays fluid heading into the March 5 primary; low turnout or consolidated backing could trigger a runoff under Alabama's 50% threshold rules.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$33,286
結束日期
May 19, 2026
市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field with John Mills edging incumbant Rep. Jerry Carl and challengers James Dees, Rhett Marques, and Joshua McKee—all clustered around 19-21%—due to evenly split conservative voter support. Recent FEC fundraising reports from late February showed challengers closing Carl's early financial advantage, while internal GOP polls indicate no candidate surpassing 25%, driven by intra-party disputes over border security and spending votes. Absent endorsements from former President Trump or key state figures like Gov. Kay Ivey, the race stays fluid heading into the March 5 primary; low turnout or consolidated backing could trigger a runoff under Alabama's 50% threshold rules.

In Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field with John Mills edging incumbant Rep. Jerry Carl and challengers James Dees, Rhett Marques, and Joshua McKee—all clustered around 19-21%—due to evenly split conservative voter support. Recent FEC fundraising reports from late February showed challengers closing Carl's early financial advantage, while internal GOP polls indicate no candidate surpassing 25%, driven by intra-party disputes over border security and spending votes. Absent endorsements from former President Trump or key state figures like Gov. Kay Ivey, the race stays fluid heading into the March 5 primary; low turnout or consolidated backing could trigger a runoff under Alabama's 50% threshold rules.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "John Mills" at 27%, followed by "Jerry Carl" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" has generated $33.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" is "John Mills" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jerry Carl" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.