Recent opinion polls ahead of the September 20 Berlin state election placed the AfD third behind the Linke and CDU, with support near 18 percent—nearly double its 2023 result—while the Greens hovered around 15-16 percent and the SPD trailed further. This positioning stems from voter shifts toward the AfD on issues such as immigration and spending priorities, alongside consistent polling leads over smaller parties that failed to clear the five-percent threshold. Trader consensus on AfD finishing third aligns with these pre-election surveys and the established firewall excluding the party from coalitions. Late shifts in turnout or minor adjustments during official vote certification remain the primary scenarios that could alter the final ranking.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於AfD 96.5%
綠黨 1.9%
基民盟 1.2%
SPD <1%
$106,933 交易量
$106,933 交易量
2026-09-20
AfD
97%
綠黨
2%
基民盟
1%
SPD
1%
Linke
<1%
BSW
<1%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
AfD 96.5%
綠黨 1.9%
基民盟 1.2%
SPD <1%
$106,933 交易量
$106,933 交易量
2026-09-20
AfD
$44,947 交易量
97%
綠黨
$24,199 交易量
2%
基民盟
$16,866 交易量
1%
SPD
$4,423 交易量
1%
Linke
$13,672 交易量
<1%
BSW
$1,058 交易量
<1%
FDP
$1,069 交易量
<1%
FW
$713 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent opinion polls ahead of the September 20 Berlin state election placed the AfD third behind the Linke and CDU, with support near 18 percent—nearly double its 2023 result—while the Greens hovered around 15-16 percent and the SPD trailed further. This positioning stems from voter shifts toward the AfD on issues such as immigration and spending priorities, alongside consistent polling leads over smaller parties that failed to clear the five-percent threshold. Trader consensus on AfD finishing third aligns with these pre-election surveys and the established firewall excluding the party from coalitions. Late shifts in turnout or minor adjustments during official vote certification remain the primary scenarios that could alter the final ranking.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
市場開放時間： Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
交易量
$106,933結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent opinion polls ahead of the September 20 Berlin state election placed the AfD third behind the Linke and CDU, with support near 18 percent—nearly double its 2023 result—while the Greens hovered around 15-16 percent and the SPD trailed further. This positioning stems from voter shifts toward the AfD on issues such as immigration and spending priorities, alongside consistent polling leads over smaller parties that failed to clear the five-percent threshold. Trader consensus on AfD finishing third aligns with these pre-election surveys and the established firewall excluding the party from coalitions. Late shifts in turnout or minor adjustments during official vote certification remain the primary scenarios that could alter the final ranking.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
交易量
$106,933結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETRecent opinion polls ahead of the September 20 Berlin state election placed the AfD third behind the Linke and CDU, with support near 18 percent—nearly double its 2023 result—while the Greens hovered around 15-16 percent and the SPD trailed further. This positioning stems from voter shifts toward the AfD on issues such as immigration and spending priorities, alongside consistent polling leads over smaller parties that failed to clear the five-percent threshold. Trader consensus on AfD finishing third aligns with these pre-election surveys and the established firewall excluding the party from coalitions. Late shifts in turnout or minor adjustments during official vote certification remain the primary scenarios that could alter the final ranking.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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