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BTS 'Arirang' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)

Market icon

BTS 'Arirang' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)

少於80萬 97.3%

90萬-95萬 1.2%

80萬-85萬 <1%

95萬-100萬 <1%

Polymarket

$12,635 交易量

少於80萬 97.3%

90萬-95萬 1.2%

80萬-85萬 <1%

95萬-100萬 <1%

Polymarket

$12,635 交易量

少於80萬

$2,466 交易量

97%

80萬-85萬

$2,112 交易量

<1%

85萬-90萬

$2,086 交易量

<1%

90萬-95萬

$1,566 交易量

1%

95萬-100萬

$870 交易量

<1%

100萬-105萬

$877 交易量

<1%

105萬-110萬

$971 交易量

<1%

110萬+

$1,687 交易量

<1%

BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Traders show overwhelming consensus (97.3% implied probability) that BTS's 'Arirang' first-week album sales will land under 800k units, driven by the group's extended military enlistment hiatus—with key members like RM, Suga, Jimin, V, and Jungkook still serving until mid-2025—and no confirmed full-group release strategy or promotional push for this project. Absent major streaming surges or surprise physical sales spikes typical of K-pop blockbusters, historical patterns from solo efforts underscore limited debut potential without ensemble momentum. An upset would require an unexpected official drop, viral social media campaign, or pre-order frenzy in the final days before chart lock, though such catalysts remain unverified amid radio silence from HYBE. Watch for Hanteo or Circle Chart initial tallies next week.

BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
交易量
$12,635
結束日期
Mar 27, 2026
市場開放時間
Mar 23, 2026, 11:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Traders show overwhelming consensus (97.3% implied probability) that BTS's 'Arirang' first-week album sales will land under 800k units, driven by the group's extended military enlistment hiatus—with key members like RM, Suga, Jimin, V, and Jungkook still serving until mid-2025—and no confirmed full-group release strategy or promotional push for this project. Absent major streaming surges or surprise physical sales spikes typical of K-pop blockbusters, historical patterns from solo efforts underscore limited debut potential without ensemble momentum. An upset would require an unexpected official drop, viral social media campaign, or pre-order frenzy in the final days before chart lock, though such catalysts remain unverified amid radio silence from HYBE. Watch for Hanteo or Circle Chart initial tallies next week.

Traders show overwhelming consensus (97.3% implied probability) that BTS's 'Arirang' first-week album sales will land under 800k units, driven by the group's extended military enlistment hiatus—with key members like RM, Suga, Jimin, V, and Jungkook still serving until mid-2025—and no confirmed full-group release strategy or promotional push for this project. Absent major streaming surges or surprise physical sales spikes typical of K-pop blockbusters, historical patterns from solo efforts underscore limited debut potential without ensemble momentum. An upset would require an unexpected official drop, viral social media campaign, or pre-order frenzy in the final days before chart lock, though such catalysts remain unverified amid radio silence from HYBE. Watch for Hanteo or Circle Chart initial tallies next week.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"BTS 'Arirang' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "少於80萬" at 97%, followed by "90萬-95萬" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "BTS 'Arirang' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)" has generated $12.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "BTS 'Arirang' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "BTS 'Arirang' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)" is "少於80萬" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "90萬-95萬" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "BTS 'Arirang' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.