Patrick Mahomes holds an 87.5% implied probability as the Chiefs' Week 1 2026 starting quarterback due to his freshly restructured eight-year extension through 2033 that exceeds $500 million, his established role under Andy Reid, and participation in the full offseason program following 2025 ACL and LCL surgery. Traders view him as the clear starter barring setbacks, with the wisdom of crowds reflected in this heavy favorite pricing. Justin Fields, acquired via trade in March 2026 primarily as a veteran backup to handle reps during Mahomes' recovery, carries a secondary 32.8% probability that accounts for any lingering injury risk. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a significant rehab complication or unexpected medical designation that delays Mahomes' clearance, though recent reports show steady progress with no such developments noted.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於喬·弗拉科 1.4%
加德納·閔休 1.3%
Chris Oladokun <1%
帕特里克·馬霍姆斯 0
$12,671 交易量
$12,671 交易量
2026-09-10
喬·弗拉科
1%
加德納·閔休
1%
Chris Oladokun
<1%
帕特里克·馬霍姆斯
55%
賈斯汀·菲爾茲
40%
喬·弗拉科 1.4%
加德納·閔休 1.3%
Chris Oladokun <1%
帕特里克·馬霍姆斯 0
$12,671 交易量
$12,671 交易量
2026-09-10
喬·弗拉科
$116 交易量
1%
加德納·閔休
$158 交易量
1%
Chris Oladokun
$12,246 交易量
<1%
帕特里克·馬霍姆斯
$120 交易量
55%
賈斯汀·菲爾茲
$32 交易量
40%
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is the starting quarterback for the Kansas City Chiefs in their Week 1 regular season game of the 2026-2027 NFL season.
If the Chiefs do not name a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game. If multiple players take the same number of snaps on the Chiefs’ first offensive drive, the market will resolve to the player who took the first snap at quarterback.
This market may not resolve before the start of the Chiefs’ Week 1 regular season game.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the NFL (NFL.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Patrick Mahomes holds an 87.5% implied probability as the Chiefs' Week 1 2026 starting quarterback due to his freshly restructured eight-year extension through 2033 that exceeds $500 million, his established role under Andy Reid, and participation in the full offseason program following 2025 ACL and LCL surgery. Traders view him as the clear starter barring setbacks, with the wisdom of crowds reflected in this heavy favorite pricing. Justin Fields, acquired via trade in March 2026 primarily as a veteran backup to handle reps during Mahomes' recovery, carries a secondary 32.8% probability that accounts for any lingering injury risk. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a significant rehab complication or unexpected medical designation that delays Mahomes' clearance, though recent reports show steady progress with no such developments noted.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is the starting quarterback for the Kansas City Chiefs in their Week 1 regular season game of the 2026-2027 NFL season.
If the Chiefs do not name a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game. If multiple players take the same number of snaps on the Chiefs’ first offensive drive, the market will resolve to the player who took the first snap at quarterback.
This market may not resolve before the start of the Chiefs’ Week 1 regular season game.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the NFL (NFL.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Chiefs do not name a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game. If multiple players take the same number of snaps on the Chiefs’ first offensive drive, the market will resolve to the player who took the first snap at quarterback.
This market may not resolve before the start of the Chiefs’ Week 1 regular season game.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the NFL (NFL.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 2:28 PM ET
交易量
$12,671結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed player who is the starting quarterback for the Kansas City Chiefs in their Week 1 regular season game of the 2026-2027 NFL season.
If the Chiefs do not name a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game. If multiple players take the same number of snaps on the Chiefs’ first offensive drive, the market will resolve to the player who took the first snap at quarterback.
This market may not resolve before the start of the Chiefs’ Week 1 regular season game.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the NFL (NFL.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Patrick Mahomes holds an 87.5% implied probability as the Chiefs' Week 1 2026 starting quarterback due to his freshly restructured eight-year extension through 2033 that exceeds $500 million, his established role under Andy Reid, and participation in the full offseason program following 2025 ACL and LCL surgery. Traders view him as the clear starter barring setbacks, with the wisdom of crowds reflected in this heavy favorite pricing. Justin Fields, acquired via trade in March 2026 primarily as a veteran backup to handle reps during Mahomes' recovery, carries a secondary 32.8% probability that accounts for any lingering injury risk. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a significant rehab complication or unexpected medical designation that delays Mahomes' clearance, though recent reports show steady progress with no such developments noted.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is the starting quarterback for the Kansas City Chiefs in their Week 1 regular season game of the 2026-2027 NFL season.
If the Chiefs do not name a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game. If multiple players take the same number of snaps on the Chiefs’ first offensive drive, the market will resolve to the player who took the first snap at quarterback.
This market may not resolve before the start of the Chiefs’ Week 1 regular season game.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the NFL (NFL.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Chiefs do not name a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game. If multiple players take the same number of snaps on the Chiefs’ first offensive drive, the market will resolve to the player who took the first snap at quarterback.
This market may not resolve before the start of the Chiefs’ Week 1 regular season game.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the NFL (NFL.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$12,671結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Patrick Mahomes holds an 87.5% implied probability as the Chiefs' Week 1 2026 starting quarterback due to his freshly restructured eight-year extension through 2033 that exceeds $500 million, his established role under Andy Reid, and participation in the full offseason program following 2025 ACL and LCL surgery. Traders view him as the clear starter barring setbacks, with the wisdom of crowds reflected in this heavy favorite pricing. Justin Fields, acquired via trade in March 2026 primarily as a veteran backup to handle reps during Mahomes' recovery, carries a secondary 32.8% probability that accounts for any lingering injury risk. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a significant rehab complication or unexpected medical designation that delays Mahomes' clearance, though recent reports show steady progress with no such developments noted.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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