Market icon

2028年民主黨副總裁候選人

Market icon

2028年民主黨副總裁候選人

Josh Shapiro 34%

Tim Walz 31%

Michelle Obama 31%

John Fetterman 31%

Polymarket
最新

Josh Shapiro 34%

Tim Walz 31%

Michelle Obama 31%

John Fetterman 31%

Polymarket
最新

Gavin Newsom

$23 交易量

23%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$1 交易量

23%

Pete Buttigieg

$1 交易量

24%

Josh Shapiro

$1 交易量

34%

Wes Moore

$1 交易量

28%

Stephen A. Smith

$1 交易量

5%

Kamala Harris

$1 交易量

22%

Gretchen Whitmer

$1 交易量

26%

Andy Beshear

$1 交易量

24%

Jon Ossoff

$1 交易量

30%

Mark Cuban

$2 交易量

24%

J.B. Pritzker

$1 交易量

20%

Raphael Warnock

$1 交易量

23%

Cory Booker

$1 交易量

27%

Tim Walz

$1 交易量

31%

Michelle Obama

$1 交易量

31%

Mark Kelly

$1 交易量

24%

Rahm Emanuel

$1 交易量

28%

Gina Raimondo

$1 交易量

26%

Zohran Mamdani

$1 交易量

6%

Roy Cooper

$1 交易量

21%

John Fetterman

$1 交易量

31%

Jared Polis

$1 交易量

31%

Jon Stewart

$1 交易量

22%

Barack Obama

$1 交易量

22%

Hillary Clinton

$1 交易量

22%

Liz Cheney

$1 交易量

21%

Bernie Sanders

$1 交易量

21%

Phil Murphy

$1 交易量

27%

LeBron James

$1 交易量

5%

Hunter Biden

$1 交易量

10%

George Clooney

$1 交易量

31%

Chelsea Clinton

$1 交易量

31%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$12 交易量

6%

Oprah Winfrey

$1 交易量

28%

Andrew Yang

$1 交易量

28%

Beto O’Rourke

$1 交易量

22%

Kim Kardashian

$1 交易量

5%

Chris Murphy

$1 交易量

31%

Ruben Gallego

$1 交易量

30%

Ro Khanna

$1 交易量

20%

James Talarico

$1 交易量

20%

Elissa Slotkin

$1 交易量

22%

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on the Democratic VP nominee for 2028 reflects a wide-open field amid no clear presidential frontrunner, with Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro edging ahead at 35.5% due to his strong net favorability in a March Emerson poll and appeal as a battleground-state executive post-2024 losses. Governors Tim Walz and Jared Polis tie at 33.5% alongside national figures like Michelle Obama and Sen. John Fetterman, buoyed by recent visibility at the National Action Network convention where potentials tested midterm messaging against Trump policies. The tight cluster stems from diverse paths-to-victory—swing-state incumbency, progressive star power, or celebrity draw—pending 2026 midterm results, early primary fundraising, and DNC site decisions like a potential Philadelphia convention boosting Shapiro.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$88
結束日期
2028-08-10
市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on the Democratic VP nominee for 2028 reflects a wide-open field amid no clear presidential frontrunner, with Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro edging ahead at 35.5% due to his strong net favorability in a March Emerson poll and appeal as a battleground-state executive post-2024 losses. Governors Tim Walz and Jared Polis tie at 33.5% alongside national figures like Michelle Obama and Sen. John Fetterman, buoyed by recent visibility at the National Action Network convention where potentials tested midterm messaging against Trump policies. The tight cluster stems from diverse paths-to-victory—swing-state incumbency, progressive star power, or celebrity draw—pending 2026 midterm results, early primary fundraising, and DNC site decisions like a potential Philadelphia convention boosting Shapiro.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$88
結束日期
2028-08-10
市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028年民主黨副總裁候選人" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 43+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Josh Shapiro" at 34%, followed by "Tim Walz" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2028年民主黨副總裁候選人" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2028年民主黨副總裁候選人," browse the 43+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028年民主黨副總裁候選人" is "Josh Shapiro" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tim Walz" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028年民主黨副總裁候選人" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.