Trader consensus on the Democratic VP nominee for 2028 reflects a wide-open field amid no clear presidential frontrunner, with Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro edging ahead at 35.5% due to his strong net favorability in a March Emerson poll and appeal as a battleground-state executive post-2024 losses. Governors Tim Walz and Jared Polis tie at 33.5% alongside national figures like Michelle Obama and Sen. John Fetterman, buoyed by recent visibility at the National Action Network convention where potentials tested midterm messaging against Trump policies. The tight cluster stems from diverse paths-to-victory—swing-state incumbency, progressive star power, or celebrity draw—pending 2026 midterm results, early primary fundraising, and DNC site decisions like a potential Philadelphia convention boosting Shapiro.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Josh Shapiro 34%
Tim Walz 31%
Michelle Obama 31%
John Fetterman 31%
Gavin Newsom
23%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
23%
Pete Buttigieg
24%
Josh Shapiro
34%
Wes Moore
28%
Stephen A. Smith
5%
Kamala Harris
22%
Gretchen Whitmer
26%
Andy Beshear
24%
Jon Ossoff
30%
Mark Cuban
24%
J.B. Pritzker
20%
Raphael Warnock
23%
Cory Booker
27%
Tim Walz
31%
Michelle Obama
31%
Mark Kelly
24%
Rahm Emanuel
28%
Gina Raimondo
26%
Zohran Mamdani
6%
Roy Cooper
21%
John Fetterman
31%
Jared Polis
31%
Jon Stewart
22%
Barack Obama
22%
Hillary Clinton
22%
Liz Cheney
21%
Bernie Sanders
21%
Phil Murphy
27%
LeBron James
5%
Hunter Biden
10%
George Clooney
31%
Chelsea Clinton
31%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
6%
Oprah Winfrey
28%
Andrew Yang
28%
Beto O’Rourke
22%
Kim Kardashian
5%
Chris Murphy
31%
Ruben Gallego
30%
Ro Khanna
20%
James Talarico
20%
Elissa Slotkin
22%
Josh Shapiro 34%
Tim Walz 31%
Michelle Obama 31%
John Fetterman 31%
Gavin Newsom
23%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
23%
Pete Buttigieg
24%
Josh Shapiro
34%
Wes Moore
28%
Stephen A. Smith
5%
Kamala Harris
22%
Gretchen Whitmer
26%
Andy Beshear
24%
Jon Ossoff
30%
Mark Cuban
24%
J.B. Pritzker
20%
Raphael Warnock
23%
Cory Booker
27%
Tim Walz
31%
Michelle Obama
31%
Mark Kelly
24%
Rahm Emanuel
28%
Gina Raimondo
26%
Zohran Mamdani
6%
Roy Cooper
21%
John Fetterman
31%
Jared Polis
31%
Jon Stewart
22%
Barack Obama
22%
Hillary Clinton
22%
Liz Cheney
21%
Bernie Sanders
21%
Phil Murphy
27%
LeBron James
5%
Hunter Biden
10%
George Clooney
31%
Chelsea Clinton
31%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
6%
Oprah Winfrey
28%
Andrew Yang
28%
Beto O’Rourke
22%
Kim Kardashian
5%
Chris Murphy
31%
Ruben Gallego
30%
Ro Khanna
20%
James Talarico
20%
Elissa Slotkin
22%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間: Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Democratic VP nominee for 2028 reflects a wide-open field amid no clear presidential frontrunner, with Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro edging ahead at 35.5% due to his strong net favorability in a March Emerson poll and appeal as a battleground-state executive post-2024 losses. Governors Tim Walz and Jared Polis tie at 33.5% alongside national figures like Michelle Obama and Sen. John Fetterman, buoyed by recent visibility at the National Action Network convention where potentials tested midterm messaging against Trump policies. The tight cluster stems from diverse paths-to-victory—swing-state incumbency, progressive star power, or celebrity draw—pending 2026 midterm results, early primary fundraising, and DNC site decisions like a potential Philadelphia convention boosting Shapiro.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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