Jon Ossoff gains attention with viral campaign clips and sharp attacks on Trump

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%1%

Senator Jon Ossoff's campaign gained viral attention through social media clips and direct attacks on President Trump, increasing his visibility and market price from 9% to 10%.

Josh Shapiro signs executive order to regulate data center development in Pennsylvania

Shapiro's executive order addressing predatory data center development demonstrated active governance and responsiveness to local concerns, supporting his stable market position as a gubernatorial and potential presidential candidate.

Pete Buttigieg campaigns for Democratic candidate in Nevada

Buttigieg campaigned for a Democratic congressional candidate in Nevada, signaling ongoing political activity and maintaining his visibility as a potential 2028 candidate, though his market price remained low.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and fiancé end engagement

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 13%4%

Ocasio-Cortez's breakup with her fiancé was reported, a personal event that may have influenced public perception and her market price.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ends engagement, maintains focus on 2026 midterms

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 13%4%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez publicly ended her engagement in August 2026 but emphasized her focus remains on the 2026 midterm elections, which may have contributed to a rise in her market price as she remains politically active.

Marco Rubio announces crackdown on birth tourism, revoking over 600 visas

Marco Rubio rises to 13%1%

Secretary of State Marco Rubio led a new task force targeting birth tourism networks, revoking hundreds of visas, which bolstered his image as a tough immigration enforcer and increased his market price.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announces she is freezing her eggs amid political decisions

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 13%4%

Ocasio-Cortez's personal announcement about freezing her eggs drew media attention and was seen as a sign of her planning for future political moves, impacting market sentiment.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announces egg freezing amid 2028 plans

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 13%4%

AOC publicly announced she is freezing her eggs as she contemplates her political future and potential 2028 presidential run, which coincided with a market price increase from 9% to 13%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announces freezing eggs amid 2028 campaign considerations

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 13%4%

AOC publicly shared personal decisions related to family planning as she contemplates her political future, signaling seriousness about a 2028 run and boosting market interest.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez reveals decision to freeze her eggs

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 13%4%

Ocasio-Cortez publicly shared her personal decision to freeze her eggs, raising awareness on women's family planning challenges and positively impacting her market price.

Gavin Newsom's lawsuit against Fox News to continue after Delaware Supreme Court ruling

Gavin Newsom dips to 10%1%

Governor Gavin Newsom's ongoing legal battle with Fox News over defamation claims highlighted political challenges, contributing to a price decline from 11% to 10%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez says she is freezing her eggs amid 2028 political considerations

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 12%3%

Ocasio-Cortez publicly announced her decision to freeze her eggs as she contemplates her political future, which coincided with a price rise from 9% to 12%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez emphasizes Democratic unity and focus on working people

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 10%2%

AOC's public statements on party unity and working-class focus reinforced her progressive leadership image, supporting her market price.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announces decision to freeze her eggs

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 11%2%

AOC publicly shared her decision to freeze her eggs and document the process, drawing significant media attention and increasing her visibility as a potential 2028 candidate, which contributed to a rise in her market price.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leaves door open for 2028 presidential run or Senate challenge

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 11%2%

In an interview, AOC did not rule out running for president in 2028 or challenging Chuck Schumer for Senate, signaling her political ambitions and increasing market interest in her candidacy.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez discusses freezing her eggs and potential 2028 run

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 9%1%

AOC's public sharing of her fertility treatment and openness about future political plans kept her in the media spotlight, maintaining her market price.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez publicly discusses freezing her eggs and leaves door open to 2028 presidential run

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 13%3%

Ocasio-Cortez's announcement about freezing her eggs and her openness to a 2028 presidential bid increased public interest and market confidence, reflected in a notable price rise.

Pete Buttigieg emphasizes coalition-building in Michigan Democratic rally

Buttigieg's remarks on uniting Democrats across the spectrum at a Michigan rally highlighted his strategic approach for 2028, influencing his market price.

Pete Buttigieg headlines Michigan Democrats' Detroit election rally

Pete Buttigieg headlined a major Democratic rally in Detroit, reinforcing his national presence and 2028 presidential ambitions, though his market price remained low.

Michigan Democrats unite after divisive primary with Buttigieg rally

Pete Buttigieg headlined a rally to unite Michigan Democrats after a divisive primary, demonstrating his role in party cohesion and maintaining his political profile ahead of 2028 speculation.

JD Vance briefs Senate Republicans on Iran peace talks

JD Vance rises to 21%1%

JD Vance provided a closed-door briefing to Senate Republicans on the status of Iran peace talks, highlighting his involvement in foreign policy and boosting his political profile and market price.

Marco Rubio announces sanctions against Cuban military officials and companies

Rubio imposed sanctions on Cuban entities accused of aiding military procurement, reinforcing his tough stance on Cuba and maintaining his prominence in the 2028 race, impacting his market price positively.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez introduces Green New Deal for Public Housing Act

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 13%4%

Ocasio-Cortez's introduction of significant progressive legislation reinforced her policy leadership and boosted her market standing.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez clashes with AIPAC over Michigan Senate race endorsements

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 9%1%

AOC publicly criticized AIPAC for its involvement in Democratic primaries, highlighting her progressive stance and energizing her base, which supported a price increase in her market outcome.

Pete Buttigieg signals potential 2028 presidential run in public appearances and interviews

Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg publicly hinted at a 2028 presidential bid during interviews and rallies, maintaining his presence in the race and stabilizing his market position.

Pete Buttigieg headlines Michigan Democratic rally

Pete Buttigieg headlined a Michigan Democratic Party rally in August 2026, reinforcing his national profile and potential 2028 candidacy, though his market price remained low at 2%.

Marco Rubio signs strategic civil nuclear cooperation agreement with Paraguay

Marco Rubio rises to 12%1%

Secretary of State Marco Rubio's diplomatic engagement in signing a memorandum of understanding with Paraguay demonstrated his active foreign policy role, contributing to a price increase from 11% to 12%.

Pete Buttigieg to headline Michigan Democrats’ Detroit election rally

Buttigieg's role as a rally headliner for Michigan Democrats highlighted his active campaign efforts and potential 2028 ambitions, supporting his market position.

Pete Buttigieg signals leaning toward 2028 presidential run

Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg publicly indicated he is "more inclined than not" to run for president in 2028, which contributed to a slight increase in his market price.

Pete Buttigieg signals inclination to run for president in 2028

Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg expressed he is 'more inclined than not' to run for president in 2028, boosting his market support.

Pete Buttigieg falsely accused in 'swatting' incident leading to temporary child separation

Pete Buttigieg dips to 2%1%

Pete Buttigieg and his husband were falsely accused in a swatting incident, resulting in temporary separation from their children; the allegation was later disproven, but it negatively impacted his market price.

JD Vance announces $230 billion fraud uncovered by task force

JD Vance rises to 23%3%

Vice President JD Vance announced at a live-streamed Cabinet meeting that a task force he leads identified $230 billion in fraudulent payments, signaling a major administration achievement and boosting his political profile ahead of 2028.

Gavin Newsom releases four years of tax returns amid 2028 presidential speculation

Gavin Newsom dips to 12%3%

Governor Gavin Newsom disclosed extensive tax filings, increasing transparency and fueling speculation about a 2028 presidential run, which affected his market price.

Kamala Harris confirms she will not run for California governor in 2026

Kamala Harris dips to 4%1%

Harris officially announced she would not seek the California governorship in 2026, focusing on other political activities, which contributed to a decline in her market price for the 2028 presidential race.

Gavin Newsom releases tax filings amid 2028 presidential speculation

Newsom's release of extensive tax filings provided transparency and fueled speculation about his 2028 presidential ambitions, affecting his market price.

JD Vance and Usha Vance welcome baby boy, first child born to sitting VP in 156 years

JD Vance rises to 21%1%

The birth of JD Vance's child attracted public attention, humanizing the vice president and potentially boosting his likability and market support.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez considers 2028 presidential run and Senate bid

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 10%2%

Reports emerged that Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is weighing a presidential run in 2028 and a Senate challenge, increasing her visibility and market price.

Gavin Newsom's tax returns reveal annual income between $1.7M and $2M

The release of Gavin Newsom's tax returns showing high annual income amid ongoing investigations brought scrutiny but also highlighted his financial strength as he considers a 2028 presidential run.

Marco Rubio convenes countries on left-wing political violence

Marco Rubio jumps to 13%6%

Secretary of State Marco Rubio convened leaders from over 60 countries to address rising left-wing political violence, highlighting his active role in foreign policy and national security, which influenced his market standing.

Josh Shapiro begins 2026 re-election campaign with strong fundraising

Josh Shapiro dips to 3%4%

Shapiro's campaign reported over $30 million on hand, positioning him strongly for re-election and potential 2028 presidential ambitions.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio leads diplomatic efforts amid global crises

Marco Rubio rises to 16%2%

Marco Rubio, as Secretary of State, engaged in high-profile diplomatic activities including talks on Venezuela and international security, enhancing his stature and market position as a presidential candidate.

Jon Ossoff campaigns aggressively for 2026 midterms, boosting 2028 prospects

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%1%

Senator Jon Ossoff intensified his campaign efforts for down-ballot Democrats in the 2026 midterms, signaling strong political momentum and increasing his market valuation as a 2028 presidential contender.

Pete Buttigieg proposes major Supreme Court reforms including expansion

Pete Buttigieg renewed calls for Supreme Court reforms, including expansion and term limits, positioning himself as a progressive reformer and slightly raising his profile despite low polling.

AOC emerges as Democratic party ideological leader but uncertain 2028 prospects

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 10%2%

Following a New Hampshire poll showing AOC as a front-runner, she solidified her role as a party leader, boosting her market support despite uncertainty about her presidential viability.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez emerges as Democratic ideological leader after New Hampshire poll

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 9%2%

A New Hampshire poll showed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as a frontrunner for the 2028 presidential race, solidifying her status as a party ideological leader and boosting her market price.

Pete Buttigieg focuses on 2026 midterms, downplays 2028 speculation

Buttigieg publicly stated his focus on the 2026 midterm elections, distancing himself from 2028 presidential speculation, which corresponded with his low and stable market price.

Gavin Newsom criticized for California's economic and social issues

Gavin Newsom dips to 9%3%

Criticism of Newsom's governance over California's high poverty and homelessness rates amid rising living costs affected his market price negatively, reflecting concerns about his leadership.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff gain in New Hampshire presidential poll

A New Hampshire poll showed AOC and Jon Ossoff rising as potential 2028 presidential contenders, boosting their market prices.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads New Hampshire poll for 2028 presidential race

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 9%3%

AOC's emergence as a frontrunner in a New Hampshire poll increased market confidence in her candidacy, reflected in a price rise during the analysis window.

Jon Ossoff's Senate reinvention and fundraising dominance highlighted

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%2%

Reports detailed Ossoff's strategic Senate reinvention and massive fundraising advantage, reinforcing his status as a top Democratic contender and supporting his market price increase.

Marco Rubio unveils visa restrictions targeting cybercrime networks

Rubio announced sweeping visa restrictions against individuals involved in cybercrime, demonstrating his active policy agenda and increasing his visibility as a presidential contender, which influenced his market price.

Marco Rubio announces additional sanctions targeting Cuban regime

Secretary of State Marco Rubio's announcement of new sanctions against Cuba reinforced his tough foreign policy stance, supporting his market position.

Polls show Jon Ossoff among favorites for 2028 Democratic nomination

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%3%

Despite Ossoff denying a 2028 presidential run, Emerson polling showed him as a favorite for the Democratic nomination, contributing to a rise in his market price.

Polling shows Jon Ossoff among favorites for 2028 Democratic nomination

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%2%

New Emerson polling indicated Ossoff as a leading Democratic contender for 2028, supporting his rising market price and national recognition.

Marco Rubio leads international efforts against left-wing political terrorism

Rubio convened leaders from over 60 countries to address left-wing political terrorism, highlighting his role in national security and impacting his market position.

Jon Ossoff gains attention for sharp criticism of Trump and strong fundraising

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%3%

Ossoff's vocal opposition to Trump and his fundraising success enhanced his profile as a rising Democratic star and potential 2028 candidate, reflected in his market price increase.

Donald Trump attacks Jon Ossoff as 'Democrat communist' during Georgia speech

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%2%

President Trump's public attack on Jon Ossoff in Georgia heightened Ossoff's profile and energized his base, contributing to a rise in his market price as a potential 2028 candidate.

Marco Rubio attends Philippine diplomatic events amid global engagements

Marco Rubio rises to 14%1%

Marco Rubio's active diplomatic engagements, including meetings in the Philippines, increased his visibility and market price as a potential presidential candidate.

Donald Trump mocks Jon Ossoff during Georgia speech

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%2%

President Trump publicly attacked Senator Jon Ossoff in Georgia, raising Ossoff's profile and energizing his base, which correlated with Ossoff's market price rising from 7% to 9%.

Marco Rubio warns of Iran's demands over Strait of Hormuz

Marco Rubio rises to 16%2%

Rubio's public statements on Iran's strategic threats highlighted his foreign policy role, supporting his market price as a serious candidate.

Jon Ossoff gains prominence with strong fundraising and political positioning

Jon Ossoff jumps to 10%7%

Senator Jon Ossoff demonstrated fundraising dominance and a strong political profile in 2026, including leading in fundraising and positioning himself as a key Democratic figure, which contributed to his market price increase.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez hints at possible 2028 presidential run

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 10%1%

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez suggested she has not ruled out a 2028 presidential bid while campaigning for progressive candidates, increasing speculation about her future ambitions and impacting her market price.

Jon Ossoff raises $20 million in second quarter of 2026 for reelection campaign

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%2%

Senator Jon Ossoff's strong fundraising haul and cash on hand bolstered his reelection prospects and increased his market support as a potential 2028 presidential candidate.

Jon Ossoff's campaign fundraising and grassroots support continue to grow

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%1%

By mid-2026, Jon Ossoff's campaign demonstrated strong momentum with increasing fundraising and broad geographic support, reflected in a steady rise in his market price.

JD Vance welcomes fourth child, marking historic birth for sitting VP

JD Vance rises to 22%2%

JD Vance and his wife announced the birth of their fourth child, Alec Neel Vance, the first child born to a sitting vice president in over 150 years, a personal event that attracted media attention.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez hints at 2028 presidential run during Michigan campaign swing

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 9%1%

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez suggested she has not ruled out a 2028 presidential bid while campaigning in Michigan, contributing to her market price rising from 8% to 9%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez acknowledges possible 2028 presidential run

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 9%1%

In July 2026, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez publicly stated she has not ruled out a 2028 presidential bid, fueling speculation and increasing her market price as a potential Democratic contender.

Jon Ossoff's 2028 presidential momentum grows amid strong fundraising

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%3%

Newsweek reported Jon Ossoff's growing momentum for a 2028 presidential bid, supported by his $20 million fundraising haul, which helped push his market price from 6% to 9%.

Jon Ossoff gains momentum with growing fundraising and campaign activity

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%1%

Ossoff's increasing fundraising success and active campaigning in Georgia enhanced his national profile and prospects for 2028, contributing to his market price rise during this period.

Vice President JD Vance and wife Usha welcome their fourth child

JD Vance rises to 20%1%

The birth of JD Vance's fourth child was a personal milestone that brought positive media attention and may have contributed to a modest increase in his market price during this timeframe.

JD Vance welcomes fourth child, highlighting personal stability during campaign

JD Vance's announcement of the birth of his fourth child in July 2026 added a personal dimension to his public image, supporting his steady market price around 20%.

JD Vance becomes first vice president in over 150 years to have a child while in office

JD Vance and his wife announced the birth of their fourth child, marking a historic event that increased his public profile and market support.

Vice President JD Vance and wife welcome fourth child, historic first in 150 years

JD Vance rises to 23%4%

JD Vance became the first sitting vice president in over 150 years to have a child while in office, increasing his public profile and market interest.

JD Vance and Usha Vance welcome their fourth child, first born to sitting VP in 156 years

JD Vance rises to 22%2%

The birth of Vance's fourth child while in office was a historic milestone that increased his public profile and positively impacted his market price.

JD and Usha Vance welcome their fourth child, first born to sitting VP in 150 years

JD Vance rises to 21%1%

The birth of JD Vance's fourth child, Alec Neel Vance, received significant media attention, humanizing the candidate and positively influencing his market price.

US Vice President JD Vance and his wife announce birth of fourth child

JD Vance rises to 21%2%

JD Vance and his wife announced the birth of their fourth child, marking a personal milestone that drew public attention and reinforced Vance's profile as a family-oriented candidate, influencing his market perception.

JD Vance announces birth of fourth child, first VP child born in office since 1870

JD Vance rises to 23%3%

Vice President JD Vance and his wife announced the birth of their fourth child, a historic event that increased his public profile and market interest.

Jon Ossoff campaigns to voters outside metro Atlanta, boosting 2028 profile

Jon Ossoff rises to 8%1%

Senator Jon Ossoff's campaign events in Georgia, including outreach outside metro Atlanta, increased his visibility and momentum as a potential 2028 presidential candidate, reflected in his rising market price.

JD Vance and wife welcome baby, first child born to sitting VP in 156 years

JD Vance rises to 23%4%

Vice President JD Vance announced the birth of his fourth child, a historic event for a sitting VP, which positively affected his market perception and price.

JD Vance and wife announce birth of their fourth child

JD Vance rises to 23%3%

The birth of Vance's fourth child while in office was a notable personal milestone, positively impacting his public image and market price.

JD Vance welcomes baby boy, reinforcing family values image

JD Vance rises to 22%3%

Vice President JD Vance announced the birth of his son, aligning with his advocacy for higher birth rates and family values, which positively influenced his market perception.

JD Vance becomes first sitting VP in 156 years to have a child

JD Vance rises to 21%1%

The birth of JD Vance's fourth child was widely covered and highlighted his family values, resonating with conservative voters and slightly boosting his market price.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads in New Hampshire poll for 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 10%2%

AOC emerged as a frontrunner in a New Hampshire poll for the 2028 Democratic presidential primary, boosting her market price and national profile.

Marco Rubio convenes international leaders to address left-wing political violence

Rubio's leadership in convening global leaders on political violence highlighted his national security role, supporting his market position.

Gavin Newsom and wife hire private attorney amid federal investigation

Gavin Newsom dips to 13%1%

Newsom's announcement of hiring a top litigator amid a Justice Department probe created uncertainty around his campaign, causing a decline in his market price.

Jon Ossoff raises $20 million in Q2, widening cash advantage over GOP challenger

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%1%

Ossoff's fundraising dominance further solidified his political strength and presidential prospects, supporting a price increase from 9% to 10%.

JD Vance launches media campaign defending White House and preparing for 2028 run

JD Vance rises to 20%1%

Vice President JD Vance engaged in a media blitz to defend the administration and lay groundwork for a potential 2028 presidential campaign, contributing to his market price increase.

Marco Rubio convenes conference targeting left-wing political violence

Marco Rubio rises to 15%2%

Secretary of State Marco Rubio led a ministerial conference focusing on combating left-wing political violence, reinforcing his profile as a strong conservative leader and boosting his presidential prospects.

Marco Rubio convenes international leaders on left-wing political violence

Rubio's convening of over 60 countries to address left-wing political terrorism underscored his national security focus, positively impacting his market standing.

Marco Rubio delivers speech on resurgence of political terrorism

Marco Rubio rises to 13%4%

Secretary of State Marco Rubio hosted a ministerial meeting addressing the rise of left-wing political violence, raising his profile and contributing to a price increase from 9% to 13%.

Marco Rubio calls for dismantling International Criminal Court

Marco Rubio rises to 13%2%

Secretary of State Marco Rubio launched a campaign to dismantle the ICC, framing it as a threat to US sovereignty, which raised his profile among conservatives and affected his market price.

JD Vance accuses Israeli government of campaign against Iran diplomacy

JD Vance publicly accused members of Israel’s government of trying to sway US opinion against Iran diplomacy, highlighting his diplomatic role and affecting his market perception.

Senator Jon Ossoff intensifies reelection campaign with attacks on Trump

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%2%

Jon Ossoff's vocal criticism of President Trump during his reelection campaign raised his national profile and boosted his market odds for the 2028 presidential race.

Jon Ossoff openly embraces role as leading Trump critic in 2026 midterms

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%2%

Ossoff's vocal opposition to Trump and his messaging energized Democratic voters and increased his profile as a 2028 presidential contender, positively affecting his market price.

Jon Ossoff surpasses $80 million in fundraising for 2026 Senate race

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%2%

Jon Ossoff raised over $81 million in the 2026 election cycle, leading fundraising among Senate candidates and strengthening his position in polls, positively impacting his market price.

Vice President JD Vance uses Joe Rogan podcast to express controversial views

JD Vance rises to 21%2%

Vance's remarks on the Joe Rogan Experience, including conspiracy theories about Israel, attracted widespread attention and controversy, influencing his market perception.

Gavin Newsom launches political podcast to expand national audience

Gavin Newsom rises to 12%1%

Newsom's podcast 'This Is Gavin Newsom' helped broaden his appeal across the political spectrum, supporting his market price as a 2028 contender.

Josh Shapiro raises $12 million for 2026 Pennsylvania governor reelection campaign

Josh Shapiro dips to 3%4%

Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro reported raising $12 million in the second quarter of 2026, bolstering his campaign war chest and enhancing his prospects for reelection and potential 2028 presidential ambitions.

Jon Ossoff raises $20M in Q2, widening cash edge over Republican challenger

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%2%

Jon Ossoff's impressive $20 million fundraising haul in the second quarter of 2026 significantly increased his campaign resources, reinforcing his lead in polls and boosting his market price.

Josh Shapiro reports over $30 million cash on hand for 2026 re-election campaign

Shapiro's record fundraising demonstrated strong campaign viability and boosted market confidence in his electoral prospects.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez discusses progressive foreign policy views at Munich Security Conference

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 8%1%

Ocasio-Cortez's remarks on foreign policy at the Munich Security Conference highlighted her progressive stance and growing influence within the Democratic Party, contributing to her market price increase.

Marco Rubio speaks at ASEAN Foreign Ministers’ Meeting in the Philippines

Marco Rubio's active diplomacy at the ASEAN Foreign Ministers’ Meeting showcased his leadership in international affairs, positively influencing his market position.

Jon Ossoff's fundraising surpasses $80 million, leading polls in Georgia Senate race

Jon Ossoff jumps to 10%6%

Jon Ossoff's massive fundraising haul and strong polling numbers in his 2026 Senate reelection campaign boosted his national profile and market odds for 2028 presidential prospects.

Marco Rubio unveils plan to dismantle International Criminal Court

Marco Rubio jumps to 13%6%

Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced a campaign to dismantle the ICC, framing it as a threat to US sovereignty. This assertive foreign policy stance raised his profile and affected his market price.

Marco Rubio criticizes International Criminal Court and expands sanctions

Marco Rubio rises to 13%2%

Secretary of State Marco Rubio publicly condemned the ICC and expanded sanctions against its officials, raising his profile as a hardline Republican leader and contributing to his market price increase.

Jon Ossoff raises over $25 million for 2026 Senate race

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%3%

Senator Jon Ossoff reported raising more than $25 million for his 2026 reelection campaign, demonstrating strong financial backing and increasing his market price.

Jon Ossoff raises $20 million in campaign contributions, widening cash edge over Mike Collins

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%2%

Ossoff's strong fundraising quarter, raising $20 million and ending with $42 million on hand, signaled robust campaign strength and increased his market odds for 2028 presidential prospects.

Marco Rubio launches campaign to dismantle International Criminal Court

Marco Rubio jumps to 12%5%

Secretary of State Marco Rubio unveiled a plan to dismantle the ICC, emphasizing US sovereignty and increasing his national profile, which influenced his market price upward.

Pete Buttigieg faces false allegations leading to temporary separation from children

Pete Buttigieg dips to 2%1%

Pete Buttigieg and his husband were falsely accused in a swatting incident, leading to temporary separation from their children, negatively impacting his public image and market price.

Marco Rubio announces campaign to dismantle International Criminal Court

Marco Rubio jumps to 12%5%

Secretary of State Marco Rubio declared a campaign to dismantle the ICC, emphasizing his hardline foreign policy stance and raising his profile as a 2028 presidential contender, contributing to his market price increase.

Marco Rubio vows to dismantle International Criminal Court

Marco Rubio rises to 14%1%

Secretary of State Marco Rubio publicly vowed to dismantle the ICC, reflecting a hardline foreign policy stance that affected his market support.

Jon Ossoff raises over $80 million for 2026 reelection campaign in Georgia

Jon Ossoff jumps to 10%7%

Ossoff's massive fundraising haul and strong polling boosted market confidence in his political future, reflected in a price increase during the analysis window.

Pete Buttigieg focuses on 2026 midterm elections, keeps 2028 presidential options open

Buttigieg's public statements about focusing on 2026 while leaving the door open for 2028 maintained his market presence, though with limited price movement.

Marco Rubio unveils plan to dismantle International Criminal Court

Rubio announced a campaign against the ICC, framing it as a threat to US sovereignty, which highlighted his foreign policy stance and affected his market position.

Pete Buttigieg campaigns with Democratic candidates in Iowa

Pete Buttigieg drops to 2%7%

Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg campaigned for Democratic candidates in Iowa, signaling his active engagement in the 2026 midterms and positioning himself for a potential 2028 presidential run.

New poll shows JD Vance leading potential 2028 candidates by double digits

JD Vance rises to 20%1%

A national poll showed Vice President JD Vance ahead of other Republican and Democratic contenders, reinforcing his frontrunner status and supporting his market price near 20%.

Kamala Harris signals consideration of 2028 presidential run at National Action Network Convention

Kamala Harris rises to 5%2%

Kamala Harris publicly acknowledged thinking about a 2028 presidential bid in April 2026, which contributed to a modest price increase from 3% to 5%.

Governor Gavin Newsom campaigns around the country ahead of midterms

California Governor Gavin Newsom embarked on a multi-state campaign tour to support Democratic candidates ahead of the 2026 midterms, raising his national profile and solidifying his position as a potential 2028 presidential contender.

Josh Shapiro criticizes Kamala Harris in public dispute

Josh Shapiro dips to 3%4%

Josh Shapiro publicly criticized Kamala Harris for alleged falsehoods in her memoir in late 2025, highlighting intra-party tensions that may have influenced his declining market price from 7% to 3%.

Gavin Newsom campaigns in neighboring states ahead of 2026 midterms

Newsom's campaign tour to rally Democratic volunteers and fundraise in key states increased his national visibility and market price as a potential 2028 presidential candidate.

Kamala Harris re-launches digital organizing campaign 'Headquarters'

Kamala Harris rises to 5%1%

Kamala Harris revived her digital presence with the 'Headquarters' campaign to mobilize activists and amplify Democratic messaging, signaling renewed political activity and slightly boosting her market price.

Marco Rubio announces deportation of pardoned Minnesota man

Marco Rubio rises to 14%1%

As U.S. Secretary of State, Marco Rubio announced the deportation of a pardoned immigrant, showcasing his active role in immigration enforcement and foreign policy, which contributed to a rise in his market price.

Police report arson targeting Josh Shapiro over 'Palestine'

Josh Shapiro dips to 3%4%

An arson attack targeting Shapiro was reported, highlighting the contentious political environment he faces and possibly affecting his market perception negatively.

Vice President JD Vance visits Milwaukee to highlight Trump administration's anti-fraud efforts

JD Vance jumps to 28%9%

JD Vance's visit to Milwaukee to promote the Trump administration's efforts against fraud and to fundraise for Republican candidates increased his visibility and market support as a potential 2028 candidate.

Governor Gavin Newsom kicks off summer tour campaigning for Democrats

Gavin Newsom dips to 12%1%

Gavin Newsom's summer tour to campaign for Democratic candidates across California and the country was a strategic effort to boost party prospects, but it did not reverse his declining market price trend.

Josh Shapiro criticized for court packing stance on MSNBC's Morning Joe

Josh Shapiro dips to 5%2%

Shapiro's call for radical Supreme Court reform, interpreted as court packing, drew criticism and may have negatively impacted his market support.

Jon Ossoff raises $12 million in quarter while deciding on 2026 Senate run

Jon Ossoff jumps to 9%6%

Jon Ossoff's strong fundraising in mid-2026 demonstrated his political strength and viability, leading to a price rise from 3% to 9% over the analysis window.

Gavin Newsom begins national campaign swing with eye on 2028 presidential run

Gavin Newsom dips to 9%3%

California Governor Gavin Newsom launched a national political tour in mid-2026 to boost Democrats and lay groundwork for a likely 2028 presidential campaign, which influenced his market price despite some decline.

Vice President JD Vance campaigns in Milwaukee to support Trump administration policies

Vance's campaign activities in battleground states like Wisconsin increased his visibility and market price as a potential 2028 presidential candidate.

Vice President JD Vance visits Milwaukee to promote Trump administration policies

JD Vance rises to 21%2%

Vance's visit to Milwaukee to highlight anti-fraud efforts and fundraise for Republicans increased his visibility and market support.

Pete Buttigieg endorses Jocelyn Benson in Michigan gubernatorial primary

Buttigieg's endorsement of a key Democratic candidate in Michigan signaled his active role in national politics and boosted his profile as a 2028 contender, influencing his market price.

Vice President JD Vance celebrates Fourth of July with patriotic address

JD Vance rises to 20%1%

JD Vance's public patriotic speech on July 4, 2026, reinforced his national profile and appeal among conservative voters, contributing to a modest increase in his market price during this period.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorses Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan Democratic Senate primary

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 7%1%

Ocasio-Cortez's endorsement of Abdul El-Sayed in a key Michigan Senate primary marked her first contested primary endorsement, boosting her profile and market price as a 2028 presidential contender.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorses Dr. Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan Democratic Senate primary

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 8%1%

Ocasio-Cortez's endorsement of Dr. Abdul El-Sayed in a key Michigan Senate primary marked her first competitive Senate endorsement in 2026, signaling her active engagement in national politics and boosting her profile among progressives.

Marco Rubio meets Pope Leo XIV amid tensions over Iran war

Marco Rubio dips to 12%3%

Secretary of State Marco Rubio met with Pope Leo XIV to discuss disagreements including the Iran war, highlighting his diplomatic role and international engagement.

Marco Rubio convenes international summit on left-wing political violence

Marco Rubio rises to 16%2%

Secretary of State Marco Rubio led a global meeting of over 60 countries to address left-wing political violence, enhancing his profile and contributing to a modest price increase.

Jon Ossoff leads in Georgia Senate race with strong Fox News poll showing

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%2%

A Fox News poll showed Jon Ossoff holding a double-digit lead in his 2026 Senate race, boosting his market price as a rising Democratic figure and potential 2028 contender.

Fox News poll: Ossoff leads Collins 56‑43 in Georgia Senate race

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%2%

A Fox News poll released July 1 gave Ossoff a 56 %‑43 % lead over Republican challenger Mike Collins in the 2026 Georgia Senate race. The strong showing boosted his market price from 5 % to 7 % within two days.

JD Vance publicly acknowledged as 2028 Democratic frontrunner by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

JD Vance rises to 20%1%

JD Vance was singled out by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the expected Democratic frontrunner for 2028, a rare moment of recognition that likely contributed to a slight increase in his market price.

Zogby poll shows JD Vance leading Ocasio-Cortez and Newsom in 2028 matchups

JD Vance jumps to 20%5%

A Zogby Analytics poll released in early July showed JD Vance leading Democratic contenders Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Gavin Newsom in hypothetical 2028 presidential matchups. This poll reinforced Vance's position as a frontrunner, supporting his market price stability and slight increase.

Jon Ossoff Flatly Denies 2028 Presidential Ambitions Amid Growing Online Support

Jon Ossoff rises to 6%1%

Senator Jon Ossoff doubled down on his statements that he has zero interest in running for president in 2028, calling the speculation a distraction from his Georgia Senate reelection campaign.

Jon Ossoff firmly denies 2028 presidential run amid reelection campaign

Senator Jon Ossoff repeatedly stated he is not running for president in 2028, focusing on his Senate race, which kept his market price low at around 9%.

Jon Ossoff raises $14 million in Q1 2026, leads Senate race polls

Jon Ossoff rises to 6%3%

Senator Jon Ossoff's strong fundraising and leading position in polls for his 2026 Senate race increased his visibility and market price as a potential 2028 presidential contender.

Governor Gavin Newsom signs balanced state budget for 2026-27

Gavin Newsom dips to 12%3%

Newsom signed a balanced budget for California, emphasizing fiscal strength and investments, but the event did not reverse his market price decline amid political challenges.

Jon Ossoff Firmly Rules Out 2028 Presidential Run

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%3%

Despite growing online enthusiasm and comparisons to Barack Obama, Senator Jon Ossoff issued a firm statement denying any interest in a 2028 presidential run, calling the chatter a distraction from his Senate reelection campaign.

AOC warns rising cost of living threatens Trump’s midterms

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez dips to 7%2%

RawStory quoted AOC saying rising cost‑of‑living was a political liability for Trump. The comment highlighted her focus on economic issues and coincided with a dip in her market price from 9 % (Jun 16 2026) to 7 % (Jul 4 2026).

Pete Buttigieg falsely accused in child protective services report

Pete Buttigieg dips to 2%1%

An anonymous caller falsely reported that Pete Buttigieg's children were in danger, leading to their temporary removal and a police investigation. The report was quickly determined to be false, but the incident caused personal distress and negative publicity, reflected in a drop in Buttigieg's market price.

Marco Rubio Brokers Historic Israel-Lebanon Framework Agreement

Marco Rubio rises to 16%1%

Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced a U.S.-brokered framework agreement between Israel and Lebanon, marking a major diplomatic breakthrough and boosting his foreign policy credentials.

False report leads to Pete Buttigieg's brief separation from children

A false anonymous report led to a police investigation that temporarily separated Pete Buttigieg from his children, drawing public sympathy but not significantly affecting his market price.

Pete Buttigieg's children temporarily removed due to false CPS report

A politically motivated false report led to Michigan Children's Protective Services temporarily removing Pete Buttigieg's children from his home, causing personal distress and negative media attention, which likely caused a drop in his market price.

Governor Gavin Newsom insists on state workers returning to office July 1

Gavin Newsom dips to 14%2%

Newsom's firm stance on returning state workers to office despite union opposition highlighted his leadership but also sparked controversy, impacting his campaign momentum negatively.

Pete Buttigieg investigated after false child protective services report

An anonymous false report led to a Child Protective Services investigation of Buttigieg, causing public sympathy but also media attention, which may have influenced his market price slightly.

Gavin Newsom calls for national billionaires tax amid state-level battles

Gavin Newsom dips to 15%1%

Newsom proposed a national wealth tax and AI equity fund, positioning himself as a progressive leader but also facing criticism, which influenced his market price downward.

Governor Gavin Newsom Confirms Return-to-Office Order is Final Despite Union Protests

Gavin Newsom dips to 12%3%

Governor Gavin Newsom insisted that his controversial return-to-office order for California state workers would take effect on July 1, drawing heavy criticism from labor unions and contributing to a decline in his national appeal.

Gavin Newsom and California Legislature reach $351.7-billion budget deal

Gavin Newsom drops to 12%6%

Governor Gavin Newsom's announcement of a large state budget deal aimed at balancing California's finances was a significant policy event, but mixed reactions contributed to a decline in his market price during this period.

Gavin Newsom proposes national wealth tax after failing to block California billionaire tax

Gavin Newsom rises to 15%1%

After failing to block a state billionaire tax, Newsom proposed a national wealth tax and an AI equity fund, positioning himself as a progressive economic reformer, which influenced his market price despite ongoing investigations.

Pete Buttigieg briefly separated from children after false police report

Buttigieg was briefly separated from his children after a false police report, a personal scandal that pushed his market price from 2 % on Jun 22 2026 to 2 % on Jun 27 2026, confirming a continued downward trend from a high of 9 % in mid‑2025.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio Announces Israel-Lebanon Framework Deal

Marco Rubio dips to 11%4%

Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced a framework agreement signed by Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors, hailing it as a first step toward regional peace.

Marco Rubio Announces Israel-Lebanon Framework Agreement as Step Toward Peace

Marco Rubio dips to 11%4%

Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced a framework agreement signed by Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors, boosting his foreign policy credentials.

Marco Rubio warns Gulf allies about Iranian tolls on Strait of Hormuz

During the conclusion of his Gulf tour, Rubio warned that Iranian tolls on the Strait of Hormuz could spread regionally, reinforcing his strong stance on security and contributing to sustained market confidence.

Jon Ossoff announces $37 million infrastructure funding for Georgia

Jon Ossoff rises to 6%1%

Senator Jon Ossoff secured significant federal funding for infrastructure projects in Georgia, enhancing his political standing and campaign momentum ahead of his re-election and potential presidential ambitions.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio says no Ukraine‑Russia deal reached at Alaska summit

Marco Rubio rises to 16%4%

Rubio testified before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee that Russia and the United States had not reached an agreement to end the war in Ukraine, reinforcing his high‑profile diplomatic role and lifting his market price from 12 % to 16 % by early July.

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez introduces AI Data Center Moratorium Act

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez dips to 5%4%

AOC introduced the AI Data Center Moratorium Act in the House, a high‑profile legislative move that coincided with a modest decline in her market price from 9 % on Jun 9 2026 to 5 % on Jun 27 2026.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez introduces AI Data Center Moratorium Act

AOC's legislative activity on emerging tech issues highlighted her progressive agenda and leadership role, influencing market perceptions.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez introduces Artificial Intelligence Data Center Moratorium Act

AOC's introduction of significant legislation on AI regulation showcased her policy leadership and ambition, contributing to a rise in her market price.

Tucker Carlson quits the GOP, says he’s “out”

Tucker Carlson plunges to 2%48%

Carlson announced on a podcast that he was quitting the Republican Party and would no longer support GOP candidates. The announcement was widely covered and triggered a dramatic collapse of his market price from 50 % to 2 % over the next week.

Vance leads U.S.–Iran talks, secures inspector access

JD Vance jumps to 21%6%

Vice‑President JD Vance led high‑level talks with Iran in Switzerland, announcing that Iran would allow nuclear inspectors to return. The breakthrough raised Vance’s profile as a possible 2028 contender and coincided with a jump in his market price from 15 % to 21 % the next day.

Vice President JD Vance Announces Major Progress in Switzerland Peace Talks with Iran

JD Vance jumps to 20%5%

Vice President JD Vance led direct negotiations with Iran in Switzerland, securing an agreement to allow international nuclear inspections to resume, which elevated his standing as a diplomatic dealmaker.

Marco Rubio dispatched to Middle East to seek Gulf support amid Iran talks

Marco Rubio rises to 15%1%

Secretary of State Marco Rubio traveled to the UAE, Kuwait, and Bahrain to rally Gulf Cooperation Council support for a tentative Iran agreement, boosting his profile and market price.

Marco Rubio visits Middle East to address Iran memorandum of understanding

Marco Rubio dips to 11%4%

Rubio's diplomatic visit to the UAE, Kuwait, and Bahrain to discuss Iran and Hormuz priorities underscored his foreign policy leadership, impacting his presidential market standing.

Marco Rubio embarks on Middle East diplomatic mission amid Iran tensions

Marco Rubio rises to 16%1%

Secretary of State Marco Rubio traveled to the UAE, Kuwait, and Bahrain to discuss regional security and Iran-related issues, raising his profile and positively influencing his market price as a key foreign policy figure.

Marco Rubio begins Middle East diplomatic tour addressing Iran and Gulf security

Marco Rubio jumps to 17%8%

Marco Rubio's diplomatic visits to UAE, Kuwait, and Bahrain to discuss Iran and the Strait of Hormuz raised his profile and market price from 9% to a peak of 17% in early June, reflecting increased confidence in his foreign policy credentials.

JD Vance says Iran will allow UN nuclear inspectors after Swiss talks

JD Vance jumps to 21%6%

Vice President Vance announced that Iran had agreed to allow UN nuclear inspectors back into the country after a “very, very good” round of talks in Switzerland. The breakthrough boosted Vance’s perceived competence on foreign policy and pushed his market price up from 15 % to 21 % by early July.

JD Vance leads US-Iran peace talks in Switzerland amid high stakes

JD Vance rises to 19%4%

JD Vance's role in leading sensitive peace negotiations with Iran placed him in a critical foreign policy spotlight, influencing market perceptions of his leadership and presidential prospects.

President Trump visits Mack Trucks facility in Macungie

Donald Trump rises to 3%1%

President Trump visited the Mack Trucks facility, showcasing his focus on American manufacturing and economic nationalism, which influenced his market perception.

Media highlights Jon Ossoff's potential contingent on 2026 Senate race success

Jon Ossoff rises to 6%2%

Media analysis emphasized Jon Ossoff's potential as a 2028 presidential candidate contingent on winning his 2026 Senate race, supporting his market price rise to 6%.

Marco Rubio faces intense questioning on Iran war strategy in congressional hearing

Marco Rubio dips to 14%1%

Rubio's defense of the administration's Iran war strategy during a heated hearing affected his political standing and market perception.

Jon Ossoff reports strong fundraising and polling lead in 2026 Senate race

Jon Ossoff jumps to 9%5%

Senator Jon Ossoff announced over $25 million cash on hand and led in recent polls for his 2026 reelection campaign, improving his political standing and increasing market confidence in his 2028 presidential viability.

Jon Ossoff gains buzz as potential 2028 Democratic presidential contender

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%2%

Media coverage highlighted Ossoff's rising national profile and effective messaging, contributing to a price rise from 7% to 9%.

Georgia Conservative Radio Host Shelley Wynter Endorses Jon Ossoff for Reelection

Prominent conservative radio host Shelley Wynter endorsed Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff, boosting Ossoff's cross-party appeal in a highly competitive swing state.

Jon Ossoff gains attention as potential 2028 Democratic contender despite denials

Jon Ossoff rises to 6%1%

Jon Ossoff's viral campaign rallies and growing popularity in Georgia increased speculation about a 2028 presidential run, reflected in a modest rise in his market price despite his public disinterest.

Gavin Newsom attends dedication of Barack Obama Presidential Center, signals 2028 presidential consideration

Gavin Newsom dips to 15%2%

California Governor Gavin Newsom's attendance at the Obama Center dedication and statements about considering a 2028 presidential run increased his visibility and influenced his market price downward slightly due to mixed signals.

Joy Behar Reveals She Encouraged JD Vance to Run for President in 2028

JD Vance rises to 20%3%

Following an animated interview on 'The View', liberal host Joy Behar revealed she encouraged Vice President JD Vance to make a 2028 White House run, boosting his media profile and market price.

Investigation into Gavin Newsom raises concerns over 2028 presidential bid

Gavin Newsom dips to 16%1%

An ongoing probe into California Governor Gavin Newsom's administration raised questions about his presidential ambitions, contributing to a slight decline in his market price from 17% to 16%.

Jon Ossoff solidifies front-runner status amid Republican primary runoff in Georgia

Jon Ossoff rises to 6%1%

As Republicans faced a fractured primary runoff, Jon Ossoff's strong fundraising and campaign infrastructure positioned him as a front-runner for reelection and boosted his 2028 presidential viability, reflected in a price increase.

Joy Behar encourages JD Vance to run for president during The View interview

JD Vance rises to 21%4%

Joy Behar publicly urged JD Vance to run for president following their interview, which positively influenced market sentiment and contributed to a price rise to 21% by June 22.

Jon Ossoff gains attention as potential 2028 presidential contender amid Senate re-election campaign

Jon Ossoff rises to 5%2%

Despite focusing on his 2026 Senate re-election in Georgia, Jon Ossoff was increasingly mentioned as a possible 2028 presidential candidate, boosting his profile and market perception.

JD Vance appears on ABC's 'The View' to discuss new book and administration goals

JD Vance rises to 16%1%

JD Vance's first appearance on the popular daytime talk show 'The View' to discuss his new book and political agenda increased his visibility and engagement with a broader audience, impacting his market price positively.

Jon Ossoff's campaign surges with strong fundraising after GOP nominee emerges

Jon Ossoff rises to 6%1%

Following the Republican primary win of Mike Collins in Georgia, Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff's campaign raised over $1 million in 24 hours, signaling strong support and boosting his market price as he prepared for a tough reelection battle.

Mike Collins Wins Georgia GOP Senate Runoff to Face Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff rises to 5%1%

Trump-endorsed Representative Mike Collins won the Republican primary runoff, setting up a highly anticipated general election matchup with Jon Ossoff, who is viewed as a key 2028 Democratic prospect.

Trump-Endorsed Mike Collins Wins Georgia Runoff to Face Jon Ossoff in November

Jon Ossoff rises to 5%1%

Georgia Republicans selected Representative Mike Collins to challenge incumbent Senator Jon Ossoff in a critical midterm race seen as a key test for Ossoff's potential 2028 presidential viability.

JD Vance Appears on 'The View' to Promote Memoir Amid FCC Equal Time Scrutiny

JD Vance jumps to 20%5%

Vice President JD Vance made a highly rated debut appearance on ABC's 'The View' to promote his book 'Communion', drawing 3.3 million viewers and addressing tense policy questions.

California Governor Gavin Newsom says US Department of Justice investigating him

Gavin Newsom drops to 12%5%

Newsom's announcement of a DOJ investigation into him amid speculation about his 2028 presidential ambitions created political uncertainty, contributing to a decline in his market price.

California Governor Gavin Newsom reveals DOJ investigation

Gavin Newsom drops to 12%5%

Governor Gavin Newsom disclosed that the US Department of Justice is investigating him, raising concerns about his political future and contributing to a decline in his market price.

Gavin Newsom reveals DOJ investigation into him and his wife amid 2028 speculation

Gavin Newsom dips to 15%1%

Governor Newsom announced that he and his wife are under investigation by the Department of Justice, which contributed to a decline in his market price due to increased political uncertainty.

Newsom races to sink California billionaire tax before June deadline

Gavin Newsom dips to 15%3%

Governor Newsom launched a last‑ditch campaign to sink a proposed California billionaire tax before the June 25 deadline. The move was viewed as a sign of his willingness to fight powerful interests, but the market saw his presidential odds slip from 18 % to 16 % on June 12 and down to 15 % by June 26.

California Governor Gavin Newsom investigated by US Department of Justice amid 2028 run speculation

Gavin Newsom dips to 12%4%

Newsom's DOJ investigation and political challenges created uncertainty around his candidacy, contributing to a decline in his market price during the analysis period.

Gavin Newsom Reveals He and His Wife Are Under DOJ Investigation

Gavin Newsom rises to 16%1%

California Governor Gavin Newsom announced that the Department of Justice is investigating him and his wife, claiming the probe is a politically motivated attack by President Trump to damage his potential 2028 presidential run.

Gavin Newsom Accuses Justice Department of Politically Motivated Investigation

Gavin Newsom rises to 16%2%

California Governor Gavin Newsom announced that he and his wife are under federal investigation, claiming the Trump administration is targeting him because he is considering a 2028 presidential run.

Gavin Newsom Announces He and His Wife Are Under Federal Investigation

Gavin Newsom dips to 12%4%

California Governor Gavin Newsom announced that the Department of Justice is investigating him and his wife, Jennifer Siebel Newsom, which he claimed was a politically motivated attack on his 2028 ambitions.

Gavin Newsom announces DOJ investigation amid political tensions with Trump

Gavin Newsom dips to 14%2%

California Governor Gavin Newsom revealed that he and his wife were under investigation by the Justice Department, which he attributed to political targeting by President Trump. This development negatively affected his market price amid concerns over his political future.

California Governor Gavin Newsom announces DOJ investigation

Gavin Newsom dips to 14%2%

Governor Gavin Newsom revealed he is under investigation by the US Department of Justice, a development that introduced uncertainty around his political future and contributed to fluctuations in his market price.

Gavin Newsom announces federal investigation amid 2028 presidential speculation

Gavin Newsom dips to 15%2%

California Governor Gavin Newsom revealed he and his wife are under federal investigation, which negatively impacted his market price as it raised concerns about his presidential prospects.

Death‑hoax about Pete Buttigieg confirmed false

The Daily Caller debunked a bogus death hoax about Buttigieg that circulated in June 2026, reinforcing his low market probability (2 % on Jul 4 2026). The hoax’s resolution caused a brief dip but the price remained near its endpoint.

JD Vance announces plan to discuss 2028 run after midterm elections

JD Vance rises to 20%4%

Vice President JD Vance stated he will discuss a 2028 presidential run with his wife after the 2026 midterms, signaling a delay in decision-making but maintaining candidacy speculation. This contributed to a rebound in his market price to 20%.

JD Vance signals decision on 2028 presidential run after 2026 midterms

JD Vance stated in an interview that he and his wife would discuss a 2028 presidential run after the midterm elections, fueling speculation and affecting his market price positively.

JD Vance Says He Will Discuss 2028 Presidential Run After Midterm Elections

JD Vance jumps to 20%5%

Vice President JD Vance stated in a CBS Sunday Morning interview that he and his wife will discuss whether he should seek the 2028 Republican presidential nomination after the 2026 midterms.

Marco Rubio and Gavin Newsom share suite at World Cup amid 2028 speculation

Marco Rubio rises to 15%1%

Marco Rubio's attendance at the World Cup and meeting with Paraguayan President Santiago Peña, alongside California Governor Gavin Newsom, highlighted their rising profiles and ongoing 2028 presidential speculation.

Josh Shapiro survives Molotov cocktail attack on governor's residence

An attack on Shapiro's residence raised his profile and sympathy among voters, reinforcing his image as a resilient leader and slightly supporting his market position.

Gavin Newsom responds to California wildfires and federal relations

Gavin Newsom dips to 13%3%

Newsom's handling of wildfires and interactions with the Trump administration affected his public image and market price, reflecting challenges and leadership perception.

JD Vance to appear on 'The View' amid FCC drama and White House criticism

Vice President JD Vance announced a high-profile interview on the liberal talk show 'The View,' a surprising move amid ongoing FCC investigations and criticism of the show's hosts. This media event caused a brief uptick in his market price.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez remains undecided on 2028 presidential run

Ocasio-Cortez publicly stated she is undecided about running for president in 2028, maintaining her political flexibility but limiting market enthusiasm.

Pentagon seizes control of California National Guard amid anti-ICE protests

Gavin Newsom dips to 16%3%

The federal takeover of the National Guard to suppress protests drew Newsom's attention and criticism, impacting his political narrative and market perception.

JD Vance breaks silence on 2028 plans, to decide after midterms

JD Vance rises to 16%1%

In a CBS interview, JD Vance stated he would discuss a potential 2028 presidential campaign with his wife after the 2026 midterm elections, showing cautious consideration and maintaining his market position.

JD Vance discusses faith and personal challenges in interview

JD Vance's interview revealing his personal struggles and faith provided insight into his character, influencing public perception and market price modestly.

Gavin Newsom confronts Trump over California National Guard deployment

Gavin Newsom dips to 15%2%

Newsom publicly opposed Trump's deployment of the National Guard to California amid immigration protests, raising his national profile and impacting his market perception as a presidential contender.

Jon Ossoff gains traction as 2028 Democratic contender amid strong Senate campaign

Jon Ossoff rises to 6%2%

Prediction markets warmed to Jon Ossoff for 2028, lifting his price from 4% to 6% as his Senate reelection campaign gained momentum and he increased his national profile.

Prediction markets price Jon Ossoff as rising 2028 contender despite denials

Jon Ossoff rises to 6%3%

Despite Jon Ossoff's public denials of a 2028 presidential run, prediction markets increased his price from 3% to 6% as his 2026 Senate campaign gained momentum and national profile.

Gavin Newsom announces $46 million funding to address Tijuana River pollution

Gavin Newsom dips to 14%2%

Governor Gavin Newsom's announcement of significant environmental funding was overshadowed by ongoing controversies, contributing to a decline in his market price.

JD Vance announces upcoming memoir focusing on faith

Vance's announcement of a new memoir about his faith aimed to broaden his appeal and reshape his public image, potentially affecting his market price.

Jon Ossoff Viral Speeches Spark 2028 Presidential Buzz

Senator Jon Ossoff's re-election campaign kickoff speech went viral online, leading to widespread speculation and prediction market activity positioning him as a strong 2028 Democratic contender.

Donald Trump delivers presidential address to the nation

Trump's national address reinforced his political presence and policy agenda, influencing market perceptions of his 2028 prospects.

JD Vance criticized for comments on UK teen murder and immigration

JD Vance drops to 23%5%

JD Vance faced criticism from UK officials for comments linking immigration to a teen's murder, impacting his public image and contributing to a decline in his market price.

Marco Rubio's diplomatic efforts and statements on Middle East peace talks

Marco Rubio rises to 17%3%

Marco Rubio's active diplomatic engagement and public statements on Middle East peace negotiations increased his visibility and support among foreign policy-focused voters, leading to a price rise in early June.

Marco Rubio defends US foreign policy amid Iran talks and military actions

Marco Rubio rises to 16%2%

Secretary of State Marco Rubio publicly defended the administration's Iran policy and military actions, raising his profile and contributing to a rise in his market price.

California holds primary for governor, shaping Newsom's political future

Gavin Newsom dips to 15%1%

The California gubernatorial primary on June 2, 2026, created uncertainty around Gavin Newsom's political future, contributing to a decline in his market price as the race to succeed him intensified.

Marco Rubio testifies on Capitol Hill optimistic about Iran nuclear talks

Marco Rubio rises to 16%2%

Secretary of State Marco Rubio testified before the Senate expressing optimism about resuming nuclear talks with Iran despite ongoing conflict. His active diplomatic role and public visibility contributed to an increase in his market price.

Marco Rubio Testifies Before Congress on Iran War and Budget Cuts

Marco Rubio rises to 16%2%

Secretary of State Marco Rubio testified before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, defending the administration's foreign policy and budget requests, which further elevated his national profile.

Secretary Rubio testifies on Iran sanctions, signals tough U.S. stance

Marco Rubio rises to 14%4%

Rubio testified before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee on Iran‑related sanctions, emphasizing a hard‑line stance. The appearance lifted his odds, moving the market price from 10 % on 2026‑05‑19 to 14 % on 2026‑06‑04.

House passes Geothermal Cost‑Recovery Authority Act sponsored by AOC

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez dips to 5%4%

The House passed the Geothermal Cost‑Recovery Authority Act, a bipartisan bill sponsored by Ocasio‑Cortez, raising her market price from 9 % on 2025‑07‑11 to 5 % on 2026‑06‑06 as the bill attracted criticism from conservative media.

California primary election results advance Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton, Newsom ineligible

Gavin Newsom dips to 14%3%

The California top-two primary election was held, with Democrat Xavier Becerra and Republican Steve Hilton advancing. Incumbent Governor Gavin Newsom was ineligible for re-election due to term limits, which contributed to a slight decline in his market price from 17% to 14%.

Marco Rubio testifies on Iran war and US foreign policy

Marco Rubio rises to 15%2%

Secretary of State Marco Rubio defended the administration's Iran policy and military actions, raising his profile and market price from 13% to 15%.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio testifies on Capitol Hill about State Department budget

Marco Rubio rises to 11%2%

Marco Rubio's testimony on the State Department's budget request showcased his active role in foreign policy, reinforcing his position as a key Republican figure and contributing to his market price rise during this period.

Jon Ossoff centers 2026 campaign on anti-corruption message amid opponent scandals

Jon Ossoff rises to 5%1%

Senator Jon Ossoff emphasized anti-corruption in his 2026 reelection campaign as his opponents faced corruption accusations, reinforcing his campaign strength and market price.

Jon Ossoff centers reelection campaign on anti-corruption message

Jon Ossoff rises to 6%2%

Senator Jon Ossoff emphasized rooting out corruption in his 2026 reelection campaign, energizing his base and positively impacting his market price.

Ossoff starts 2026 with $25 million cash on hand

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%3%

NBC reported that Ossoff began 2026 with a $25 million cash war‑chest, a boost that lifted his market price from 4 % (Jun 16 2026) to 7 % (Jul 4 2026).

Jon Ossoff Delivers Fiery Anti-Corruption Speech at Atlanta Campaign Rally

Jon Ossoff rises to 6%2%

Senator Jon Ossoff delivered a powerful, viral speech in Atlanta criticizing Donald Trump, which significantly boosted his national profile and fueled 2028 speculation.

Jon Ossoff Delivers Viral Campaign Speech in Atlanta

Jon Ossoff jumps to 9%5%

Senator Jon Ossoff delivered a powerful 30-minute campaign speech at a rally in Atlanta that went viral on social media, drawing comparisons to Barack Obama and fueling intense speculation about a 2028 presidential run.

Fox News calls AOC a 'chaos candidate' for 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez dips to 5%4%

A Fox News segment discussed AOC’s nationwide tour and the pundit label of her as a potential “chaos candidate” for 2028, causing her market price to dip from 9 % to 5 % as investors reassessed her electability.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rallies support for Democratic candidates on national tour

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez dips to 5%4%

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez actively campaigned for Democratic candidates during a national tour, signaling her growing influence and potential 2028 presidential ambitions, though her market price declined slightly.

JD Vance delivers commencement address at U.S. Air Force Academy

JD Vance's keynote speech at the Air Force Academy highlighted his leadership and military engagement, reinforcing his stature and maintaining his market price around 18-19%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez undertakes national tour and fundraising efforts

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 6%1%

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez conducted a national tour and reported significant fundraising, maintaining her market presence though with limited price gains, ending near 6%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez embarks on national tour fueling 2028 presidential speculation

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez dips to 5%1%

Ocasio-Cortez's national tour and increased media presence fueled speculation about a 2028 presidential run, though her market price remained low, reflecting mixed market confidence.

Vice President JD Vance delivers commencement address at U.S. Air Force Academy

JD Vance dips to 15%4%

Vance's role as commencement speaker showcased his leadership and public presence, positively influencing his market perception as a presidential hopeful.

Rubio beats Vance in head‑to‑head poll, market odds jump

Marco Rubio rises to 14%3%

A new head‑to‑head poll released May 28 showed Rubio ahead of JD Vance (42 % vs. 36 %). The surprise surge lifted Rubio’s market price from 11 % to 14 % the following day and later to a peak of 17 % on June 6.

Jon Ossoff introduces bipartisan bill to cut taxes for Georgia small businesses

Jon Ossoff rises to 8%1%

Ossoff's legislative activity in 2026, including bipartisan efforts to support small businesses, reinforced his image as an effective legislator, supporting his market price in the presidential race context.

Jon Ossoff reports $12 million raised for 2026 reelection campaign

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%2%

Senator Jon Ossoff announced raising $12 million for his 2026 reelection campaign in Georgia, boosting his profile as a strong Democratic contender and increasing his market price.

Marco Rubio visits India to repair and strengthen diplomatic ties

Marco Rubio rises to 14%3%

Marco Rubio's high-profile visit to India, including meetings with Prime Minister Narendra Modi and cultural engagements, aimed to stabilize US-India relations, boosting his market standing amid foreign policy focus.

Vice President JD Vance expands national security team amid foreign conflicts

JD Vance bolstered his foreign policy operation during ongoing international conflicts, enhancing his profile as Vice President and influencing his market price slightly downward amid political challenges.

Marco Rubio visits India, emphasizing US-India strategic partnership

Marco Rubio rises to 13%3%

Marco Rubio's diplomatic visit to India highlighted his role as Secretary of State and boosted his profile as a presidential candidate, contributing to a price increase in his market outcome.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez takes steps toward 2028 presidential run

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 8%2%

Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez increased her national profile by campaigning for other candidates and signaling potential presidential ambitions, which contributed to a gradual increase in her market price during this period.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Takes New Steps Toward Potential 2028 White House Bid

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 6%1%

Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez traveled to Montana to campaign for a congressional candidate and attended meetings with Democratic Party powerbrokers, signaling active preparation for a potential 2028 run.

Marco Rubio announces significant progress toward Iran nuclear deal

Marco Rubio rises to 11%1%

Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced that the U.S. made significant progress toward an interim deal with Iran, including reopening the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear material disposal. This diplomatic development enhanced Rubio's stature and market price as a serious presidential contender.

Marco Rubio meets Indian officials to strengthen U.S.-India relations

Marco Rubio rises to 11%1%

Marco Rubio's visit to India included meetings with External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar and discussions on trade and bilateral ties. Although no major deals were signed, the visit was seen as a diplomatic effort to repair relations, positively impacting Rubio's market price.

Rubio and Vance emerge as leading contenders in Republican 2028 succession race

Marco Rubio rises to 14%2%

Analysis highlighted the intensifying contest between Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio to succeed Donald Trump, with Vance maintaining a lead but Rubio gaining ground through diplomatic and policy roles. This dynamic was reflected in market price movements favoring Rubio and some volatility for Vance.

Marco Rubio visits India, discusses US-India strategic partnership and Iran negotiations

Marco Rubio jumps to 15%6%

Secretary of State Marco Rubio's diplomatic trip to India, including talks with Prime Minister Modi and discussions on Iran, raised his profile and contributed to a market price increase from 9% to 15% in early May.

Federal arrest in $23 million homeless services fraud in Los Angeles draws criticism of Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom dips to 16%2%

Federal authorities arrested a suspect in a $23 million homeless services fraud scheme in Los Angeles, leading to sharp criticism of Governor Gavin Newsom for oversight failures. This scandal negatively impacted Newsom's market price.

Marco Rubio visits India to strengthen US-India relations and attends Quad Foreign Ministers’ Meeting

Marco Rubio rises to 14%3%

Marco Rubio's diplomatic visit to India and participation in the Quad meeting underscored his foreign policy leadership, boosting his market price from 11% to 14% as he gained prominence as a 2028 presidential contender.

JD Vance faces political isolation and considers abandoning 2028 run

JD Vance dips to 18%1%

Reports on May 23, 2026, indicated Vice President JD Vance was increasingly isolated after Tulsi Gabbard's exit and was contemplating dropping out of the 2028 presidential race, pressuring his market price downward to 18%.

AOC says she may consider a White House bid in 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez dips to 5%4%

A Hill interview where AOC said she was keeping her options open for a 2028 run caused a modest dip in her market price from 9 % to 5 % by the end of May as investors reassessed her candidacy.

Jon Ossoff's message resonates with GOP voters amid 2028 speculation

Jon Ossoff rises to 4%1%

Senator Jon Ossoff's speeches criticizing the wealthy elite and corruption have gained traction even among GOP voters, boosting his profile as a potential 2028 presidential candidate.

Kamala Harris purchases Malibu mansion, signaling personal and political shift

Kamala Harris rises to 5%1%

Kamala Harris quietly bought an $8.15 million mansion in Malibu, indicating a significant personal life change that market participants interpreted as a sign of her preparing for a future political campaign, supporting a price rise.

Kamala Harris considers 2028 presidential bid amid mixed support

Kamala Harris rises to 5%2%

Former Vice President Kamala Harris publicly indicated she is thinking about a 2028 presidential run, which contributed to a price increase from 3% to 5%, despite some former allies expressing preference for fresh faces.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio testifies on 2026 budget before House Committee

Rubio's high-profile congressional testimony reinforced his role in the administration and maintained his market relevance.

JD Vance announces fourth child on social media

JD Vance dips to 19%2%

JD Vance and his wife announced they are expecting their fourth child, a personal milestone that may positively influence public perception and market confidence in his candidacy.

JD Vance denies running for president in 2028 despite speculation

JD Vance dips to 18%1%

JD Vance publicly stated he is not running for president in 2028, countering market speculation and possibly contributing to a slight decline or stabilization in his market price as uncertainty about his candidacy persisted.

Thomas Massie gains slight market support

Thomas Massie rises to 3%2%

Thomas Massie’s price rose modestly from 1% to 3% in early 2026, possibly due to increased political activity or media mentions.

Vance Briefs Members of the Media on Foreign Policy and National Security

Vance's media briefing highlighted his expanding foreign policy role, reinforcing his credentials for a national leadership position.

Vice President JD Vance cancels Denver event amid political speculation

JD Vance dips to 15%4%

JD Vance canceled a scheduled Denver visit without explanation, fueling speculation about his presidential ambitions and causing a decline in his market price from 19% to 15%.

Josh Shapiro leads early polls for 2026 Pennsylvania governor race

Josh Shapiro dips to 3%4%

Strong polling numbers for Shapiro solidified his frontrunner status and market confidence in his political future.

JD Vance denies plans to run for 2028 presidential election

Vance publicly stated he is not running for president and pushed back on speculation about a 2028 campaign, clarifying his focus on vice presidential duties.

Kamala Harris reaches peak polling support amid renewed campaign efforts

Kamala Harris rises to 6%2%

Kamala Harris's campaign activities and public appearances led to a peak in her polling numbers, reflected in a price increase in the market.

JD Vance denies running for president in 2028

JD Vance dips to 18%1%

Vice President JD Vance publicly stated he is not running for president and pushed back on speculation about a 2028 campaign, causing a decline in his market price as uncertainty increased.

Jon Ossoff leads fundraising with $14 million raised in Q1 2026

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%3%

Senator Jon Ossoff's strong fundraising haul and cash on hand advantage bolstered his political standing and presidential prospects, reflected in a price increase from 4% to 7%.

Jon Ossoff intensifies 2026 Senate campaign in Georgia, raising significant funds

Jon Ossoff rises to 4%1%

Senator Jon Ossoff's campaign for re-election gained momentum with strong fundraising and increased visibility, leading to a rise in his market price as a potential 2028 presidential contender.

JD Vance briefs media and hosts fraud task force meeting at White House

JD Vance rises to 22%3%

JD Vance's active role in leading a fraud task force and hosting state attorneys general at the White House increased his visibility and credibility, causing his market price to rise from 19% to 22% around early May before stabilizing.

Jon Ossoff wins Democratic primary for 2026 Georgia Senate race

Jon Ossoff jumps to 10%7%

Jon Ossoff secured the Democratic nomination for the 2026 Georgia Senate race, solidifying his position for re-election and increasing his market price as a 2028 presidential prospect.

JD Vance announced as commencement speaker at 2026 USAFA graduation

JD Vance rises to 21%2%

JD Vance was named the commencement speaker for the U.S. Air Force Academy's 2026 graduation, raising his national profile and briefly boosting his market price.

Pete Buttigieg endorses candidates in key 2026 races

Buttigieg's endorsements in competitive races increased his influence within the Democratic Party and supported his 2028 prospects.

Pete Buttigieg endorses Montana election initiative and campaigns

Pete Buttigieg actively campaigned for Democratic candidates and endorsed a Montana ballot initiative in 2026, maintaining his national profile and signaling potential 2028 ambitions, though his market price remained low at 2%.

Pete Buttigieg endorses Montana ballot measure limiting corporate money in elections

Buttigieg's public endorsement of a Montana ballot measure demonstrated his active political involvement and appeal to progressive voters, influencing his presidential prospects.

Marco Rubio publicly endorses JD Vance for 2028 GOP nomination

Marco Rubio rises to 15%3%

Marco Rubio stated in an NBC News interview that he would be the first to support Vice President JD Vance if Vance runs for president in 2028, signaling party unity and boosting Rubio's profile. This endorsement coincided with Rubio's odds rising in the market.

Josh Shapiro’s campaign stalls after New Jersey primary loss

Josh Shapiro dips to 3%4%

Shapiro’s unexpected primary defeat reduced his perceived viability, causing his price to fall from 7% to 3% as the market reassessed his chances.

Pete Buttigieg Leads Hypothetical 2028 Democratic Presidential Field in New Poll

An Emerson College poll showed Pete Buttigieg leading a crowded field of potential 2028 Democratic candidates with 18% support, boosting his standing in the market.

Gavin Newsom releases his last California state budget

Gavin Newsom dips to 12%4%

Newsom's final state budget release as governor highlighted his policy priorities and leadership, but ongoing challenges and controversies contributed to a decline in his market support during 2026.

Gavin Newsom campaigns for Proposition 50 to reshape congressional districts

Gavin Newsom rises to 16%3%

Newsom's active campaign for Prop 50, aimed at benefiting Democrats, enhanced his national profile and market support as a 2028 contender.

New Poll Shows Marco Rubio and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Leading 2028 Primary Fields

Marco Rubio jumps to 15%5%

A new AtlasIntel poll showed Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading their respective potential 2028 primary fields, boosting their market profiles.

Marco Rubio visits China despite sanctions, marking diplomatic breakthrough

Marco Rubio rises to 13%1%

Rubio's visit to Beijing despite Chinese sanctions was seen as a diplomatic success, boosting his stature and market price as a leading Republican contender.

Ron DeSantis price increases following special session announcement

Ron DeSantis rises to 4%2%

Ron DeSantis's move to call a special legislative session to address redistricting and other policy issues increased his visibility and political influence.

JD Vance appoints Cliff Sims as national security adviser amid global crises

JD Vance rises to 20%1%

JD Vance expanded his national security team by appointing Cliff Sims, a Trump ally, signaling strengthened foreign policy credentials and boosting market confidence in his presidential prospects.

Trump proposes JD Vance and Marco Rubio 2028 presidential ticket

JD Vance rises to 21%3%

Donald Trump publicly suggested a presidential ticket featuring JD Vance and Marco Rubio, boosting their profiles and market prices due to association with Trump’s influence.

Poll shows Marco Rubio leading JD Vance for 2028 Republican nomination

Marco Rubio rises to 15%3%

A national poll revealed Marco Rubio surging ahead of JD Vance as the preferred Republican candidate for 2028, reflecting shifting party support and boosting Rubio's market price while pressuring Vance's position.

AOC and Marco Rubio Lead New 2028 Presidential Primary Poll

A new AtlasIntel poll showed Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading the potential 2028 Democratic field, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio held a commanding lead on the Republican side.

Poll shows Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading prospective Democratic field in New Hampshire

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 7%1%

A New Hampshire poll indicated Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading the Democratic field, raising speculation about her 2028 presidential ambitions and boosting her market price.

Trump names JD Vance and Marco Rubio 'dream team' for 2028 election

JD Vance rises to 21%3%

President Trump publicly endorsed JD Vance and Marco Rubio as his preferred candidates for the 2028 presidential race, causing a notable increase in their market prices.

Ron DeSantis gains momentum after policy speech on immigration enforcement

Ron DeSantis rises to 4%2%

Ron DeSantis delivered a high‑profile speech outlining a new immigration enforcement plan, which resonated with his base and lifted his market price from 2% to 4% over the following days.

JD Vance adds Trump ally Cliff Sims as national security adviser

JD Vance expanded his national security team by appointing Cliff Sims, a close ally of Donald Trump, signaling a strengthening of his foreign policy credentials. This move likely supported his campaign positioning and contributed to market confidence.

Democratic National Committee boosts Kamala Harris for 2028 presidential run

Kamala Harris rises to 6%1%

The DNC's support for Kamala Harris, including staff shifts to her campaign, increased her visibility and perceived viability as a 2028 candidate, positively affecting her market price.

Kamala Harris signals consideration of 2028 presidential run

Kamala Harris rises to 6%3%

Kamala Harris publicly confirmed she is "thinking about" running for president in 2028, raising her profile and market price from 3% to 6% during April and May.

Josh Shapiro becomes highest-paid governor in the U.S. starting 2026

Shapiro's salary increase and growing political stature contributed to his market price remaining stable despite challenges.

Marco Rubio's increased activity fuels speculation of 2028 run

Marco Rubio jumps to 15%5%

Marco Rubio's political activities and public statements in early 2026 increased speculation about his 2028 presidential ambitions, reflected in rising market prices.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises in Democratic primary polls, sparking speculation

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez dips to 5%1%

A poll placed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez atop the Democratic primary field for the first time, increasing her visibility though her market price slightly declined overall during the period.

Jon Ossoff gains momentum after Georgia Senate race win

Jon Ossoff rises to 4%1%

Ossoff’s victory in the Georgia Senate race boosted his national profile, raising his market price from 3% to 4% as he emerged as a rising Democratic star.

JD Vance attends U.S. women's hockey game at Winter Olympics with Jake Paul

JD Vance's public appearance at the Winter Olympics alongside influencer Jake Paul increased his visibility and connected him with younger audiences, maintaining his market presence.

Kamala Harris receives Democratic endorsements and boosts for 2028

Kamala Harris rises to 5%2%

In May 2026, Kamala Harris gained endorsements and support from Democratic leaders and the DNC, which helped increase her visibility and market price as a potential 2028 candidate.

AOC says she’s still weighing a 2028 presidential bid

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez dips to 5%4%

AOC told The Guardian she was not ruling out a 2028 presidential run, but the interview generated mixed reactions and an apparent dip in enthusiasm among moderate voters, causing her market price to fall from 9 % on 2025‑08‑11 to 5 % on 2026‑06‑04.

Marco Rubio says he will not enter 2028 race if JD Vance runs

Marco Rubio rises to 15%1%

Rubio stated he would not enter the 2028 presidential race if JD Vance were to run, reinforcing the idea that Vance is the likely Republican nominee. This reduced speculation about Rubio as a 2028 candidate.

JD Vance travels to Iowa to support representative Zach Nunn ahead of 2028 primary

Vance's visit to early primary state Iowa to support representative Zach Nunn was seen as laying groundwork for a presidential run, fueling speculation that he was actively preparing for the 2028 nomination.

Marco Rubio serves as Secretary of State and leads diplomatic efforts

Marco Rubio rises to 13%3%

Marco Rubio, as Secretary of State, engaged in high-profile diplomatic activities and policy leadership, raising his national profile and contributing to his market price gains.

Secretary Rubio testifies on Iran war before Senate panel

Marco Rubio rises to 14%3%

Rubio testified before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee on the Iran conflict, drawing media attention and raising his market price from 11 % to 14 % that week.

Marco Rubio Surges in 2028 Successor Polls and White House Briefings

Marco Rubio rises to 15%4%

Secretary of State Marco Rubio's prominent role in foreign policy and a series of strong poll numbers, including an AtlasIntel poll showing him leading JD Vance, drove a sharp increase in his market price.

JD Vance sees price increase following high-profile March for Life speech

JD Vance rises to 21%2%

JD Vance's continued advocacy for pro-family policies and his high-profile role at the March for Life event bolstered his standing among conservative voters.

Marco Rubio announces new visa restrictions to combat cyberscams and sextortion

Marco Rubio jumps to 15%5%

Marco Rubio's announcement of new visa restrictions in May 2026 showcased his active role in US foreign policy and security, contributing to a price rise from 10% to 15% around early May.

Marco Rubio meets Pope Leo XIV to discuss Iran war and Latin America

Rubio's diplomatic engagement with the Pope in May 2026 highlighted his foreign policy credentials, potentially enhancing his stature and market price as a presidential candidate.

Kamala Harris campaigns in Las Vegas, criticizing Trump over Iran war

Kamala Harris rises to 5%1%

Kamala Harris held a public event in Las Vegas where she criticized Donald Trump for the ongoing war in Iran, reinforcing her active political presence and positioning herself as a vocal critic of Trump-era policies. This likely boosted her market price by increasing her visibility and appeal to Democratic voters.

Marco Rubio becomes surprise front-runner in 2028 presidential betting market

Marco Rubio jumps to 15%5%

Marco Rubio's increased involvement in foreign policy and national security, including high-profile diplomatic efforts, boosted his standing in prediction markets, causing his price to rise and briefly overtake JD Vance.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio Meets Pope Leo XIV to Discuss Iran War

Marco Rubio rises to 14%2%

Secretary of State Marco Rubio met with Pope Leo XIV to discuss disagreements over the Iran war, highlighting his prominent foreign policy role and boosting his profile as a key 2028 contender.

Marco Rubio’s price rises amid Winter Olympics and speculation

Marco Rubio rises to 15%4%

Marco Rubio’s price increased from 11% to 15% in early May, likely influenced by his role in the US delegation to the Winter Olympics alongside JD Vance and growing speculation about his presidential ambitions.