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icon for Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
世界·世界選舉

Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
世界·世界選舉

Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Chloé Fauchon 39%

Marc-Antoine Bernier 30%

Marcos Archambault 25%

Richard Bélanger 24%

Polymarket
最新

Chloé Fauchon 39%

Marc-Antoine Bernier 30%

Marcos Archambault 25%

Richard Bélanger 24%

Polymarket
最新
icon for Chloé Fauchon

Chloé Fauchon

$6 交易量

32%

icon for Marc-Antoine Bernier

Marc-Antoine Bernier

$0 交易量

30%

icon for Marcos Archambault

Marcos Archambault

$0 交易量

25%

icon for Richard Bélanger

Richard Bélanger

$11 交易量

24%

icon for Anne-Sophie Roy

Anne-Sophie Roy

$0 交易量

24%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The tight contest in Louis-Hébert reflects the broader provincial deadlock between the Coalition Avenir Québec and Parti Québécois, with both parties polling in the mid-20s to low-30s range ahead of the October 5 vote. Incumbent Geneviève Guilbault’s retirement has opened the seat, previously a CAQ stronghold at 47% in 2022. CAQ nominee Marc-Antoine Bernier, a local journalist and newsroom director announced in late August, faces PQ candidate Chloé Fauchon, a public and environmental lawyer confirmed earlier in the year. Other contenders, including PCQ’s Marcos Archambault, Liberal Richard Bélanger, and QS’s Anne-Sophie Roy, trail with limited projected support. Trader pricing remains near even because regional polling shows minimal separation between the two leading parties, local candidate profiles are untested in a general election, and key issues such as housing affordability, school capacity, and health services could shift turnout in this Capitale-Nationale suburban riding before nomination closes on September 17.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
交易量
$17
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The tight contest in Louis-Hébert reflects the broader provincial deadlock between the Coalition Avenir Québec and Parti Québécois, with both parties polling in the mid-20s to low-30s range ahead of the October 5 vote. Incumbent Geneviève Guilbault’s retirement has opened the seat, previously a CAQ stronghold at 47% in 2022. CAQ nominee Marc-Antoine Bernier, a local journalist and newsroom director announced in late August, faces PQ candidate Chloé Fauchon, a public and environmental lawyer confirmed earlier in the year. Other contenders, including PCQ’s Marcos Archambault, Liberal Richard Bélanger, and QS’s Anne-Sophie Roy, trail with limited projected support. Trader pricing remains near even because regional polling shows minimal separation between the two leading parties, local candidate profiles are untested in a general election, and key issues such as housing affordability, school capacity, and health services could shift turnout in this Capitale-Nationale suburban riding before nomination closes on September 17.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
交易量
$17
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chloé Fauchon" at 32%, followed by "Marc-Antoine Bernier" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Chloé Fauchon" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marc-Antoine Bernier" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.