Wisconsin's open gubernatorial race, following incumbent Democrat Tony Evers' decision not to seek a third term, has produced closely matched trader odds reflecting the state's status as a partisan battleground. Forecasters rate the November 2026 general election a toss-up, consistent with recent voting patterns and the absence of an incumbent advantage. On the Democratic side, Francesca Hong has surged ahead in primary polling ahead of the August 11 contest, though multiple candidates have withdrawn recently amid a fragmented field. Republicans feature state Rep. Tom Tiffany as the leading contender. These dynamics, combined with Wisconsin's history of narrow margins in statewide contests, underpin the narrow Democrat lean in current market consensus while underscoring the potential for shifts based on primary results and fall campaign developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$85,400 交易量
$85,400 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
55%
共和黨
45%
$85,400 交易量
$85,400 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$20,405 交易量
55%
共和黨
$64,995 交易量
45%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wisconsin's open gubernatorial race, following incumbent Democrat Tony Evers' decision not to seek a third term, has produced closely matched trader odds reflecting the state's status as a partisan battleground. Forecasters rate the November 2026 general election a toss-up, consistent with recent voting patterns and the absence of an incumbent advantage. On the Democratic side, Francesca Hong has surged ahead in primary polling ahead of the August 11 contest, though multiple candidates have withdrawn recently amid a fragmented field. Republicans feature state Rep. Tom Tiffany as the leading contender. These dynamics, combined with Wisconsin's history of narrow margins in statewide contests, underpin the narrow Democrat lean in current market consensus while underscoring the potential for shifts based on primary results and fall campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$85,400結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wisconsin's open gubernatorial race, following incumbent Democrat Tony Evers' decision not to seek a third term, has produced closely matched trader odds reflecting the state's status as a partisan battleground. Forecasters rate the November 2026 general election a toss-up, consistent with recent voting patterns and the absence of an incumbent advantage. On the Democratic side, Francesca Hong has surged ahead in primary polling ahead of the August 11 contest, though multiple candidates have withdrawn recently amid a fragmented field. Republicans feature state Rep. Tom Tiffany as the leading contender. These dynamics, combined with Wisconsin's history of narrow margins in statewide contests, underpin the narrow Democrat lean in current market consensus while underscoring the potential for shifts based on primary results and fall campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$85,400結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's open gubernatorial race, following incumbent Democrat Tony Evers' decision not to seek a third term, has produced closely matched trader odds reflecting the state's status as a partisan battleground. Forecasters rate the November 2026 general election a toss-up, consistent with recent voting patterns and the absence of an incumbent advantage. On the Democratic side, Francesca Hong has surged ahead in primary polling ahead of the August 11 contest, though multiple candidates have withdrawn recently amid a fragmented field. Republicans feature state Rep. Tom Tiffany as the leading contender. These dynamics, combined with Wisconsin's history of narrow margins in statewide contests, underpin the narrow Democrat lean in current market consensus while underscoring the potential for shifts based on primary results and fall campaign developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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