The open seat created by incumbent Democrat Tony Evers declining a third term has turned the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial race into a competitive contest in a state with narrow recent partisan margins. Primaries on August 11 feature multiple Democratic contenders including David Crowley, who received a late endorsement from Evers, alongside Francesca Hong and others, while Republicans Tom Tiffany and Andrew Manske compete on the other side. Recent polling averages show general-election matchups nearly even, reflecting Wisconsin’s swing-state status after the 2024 presidential results and the absence of an established incumbent advantage. Trader consensus assigns Democrats a modest edge, consistent with the party’s recent statewide performance but tempered by the open-seat dynamics and upcoming primary outcomes that could shape the November matchup.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$85,400 交易量
$85,400 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
55%
共和黨
45%
$85,400 交易量
$85,400 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$20,405 交易量
55%
共和黨
$64,995 交易量
45%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open seat created by incumbent Democrat Tony Evers declining a third term has turned the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial race into a competitive contest in a state with narrow recent partisan margins. Primaries on August 11 feature multiple Democratic contenders including David Crowley, who received a late endorsement from Evers, alongside Francesca Hong and others, while Republicans Tom Tiffany and Andrew Manske compete on the other side. Recent polling averages show general-election matchups nearly even, reflecting Wisconsin’s swing-state status after the 2024 presidential results and the absence of an established incumbent advantage. Trader consensus assigns Democrats a modest edge, consistent with the party’s recent statewide performance but tempered by the open-seat dynamics and upcoming primary outcomes that could shape the November matchup.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$85,400結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open seat created by incumbent Democrat Tony Evers declining a third term has turned the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial race into a competitive contest in a state with narrow recent partisan margins. Primaries on August 11 feature multiple Democratic contenders including David Crowley, who received a late endorsement from Evers, alongside Francesca Hong and others, while Republicans Tom Tiffany and Andrew Manske compete on the other side. Recent polling averages show general-election matchups nearly even, reflecting Wisconsin’s swing-state status after the 2024 presidential results and the absence of an established incumbent advantage. Trader consensus assigns Democrats a modest edge, consistent with the party’s recent statewide performance but tempered by the open-seat dynamics and upcoming primary outcomes that could shape the November matchup.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$85,400結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by incumbent Democrat Tony Evers declining a third term has turned the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial race into a competitive contest in a state with narrow recent partisan margins. Primaries on August 11 feature multiple Democratic contenders including David Crowley, who received a late endorsement from Evers, alongside Francesca Hong and others, while Republicans Tom Tiffany and Andrew Manske compete on the other side. Recent polling averages show general-election matchups nearly even, reflecting Wisconsin’s swing-state status after the 2024 presidential results and the absence of an established incumbent advantage. Trader consensus assigns Democrats a modest edge, consistent with the party’s recent statewide performance but tempered by the open-seat dynamics and upcoming primary outcomes that could shape the November matchup.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions