Rebecca Cooke holds a clear edge in the Wisconsin 3rd Congressional District rematch because recent polling shows her ahead or tied in a seat rated toss-up by multiple forecasters, while she maintains a substantial fundraising lead over incumbent Derrick Van Orden. Cooke secured the Democratic nomination in August after defeating a primary challenger and has benefited from national Democratic support in this swing district where she narrowly lost in 2024. Van Orden remains competitive through strong Republican base mobilization and alignment with President Trump, yet faces unfavorable favorability numbers in some surveys. The September clearance of Cooke from electioneering allegations removed a potential distraction without shifting momentum. Traders price her at 70.5% largely due to these structural and polling factors heading into the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
瑞貝卡·庫克（民主黨）
71%
德里克·范·奧登（共和黨）
28%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
瑞貝卡·庫克（民主黨）
$4,452 交易量
71%
德里克·范·奧登（共和黨）
$2,073 交易量
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Cooke holds a clear edge in the Wisconsin 3rd Congressional District rematch because recent polling shows her ahead or tied in a seat rated toss-up by multiple forecasters, while she maintains a substantial fundraising lead over incumbent Derrick Van Orden. Cooke secured the Democratic nomination in August after defeating a primary challenger and has benefited from national Democratic support in this swing district where she narrowly lost in 2024. Van Orden remains competitive through strong Republican base mobilization and alignment with President Trump, yet faces unfavorable favorability numbers in some surveys. The September clearance of Cooke from electioneering allegations removed a potential distraction without shifting momentum. Traders price her at 70.5% largely due to these structural and polling factors heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$6,525結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Cooke holds a clear edge in the Wisconsin 3rd Congressional District rematch because recent polling shows her ahead or tied in a seat rated toss-up by multiple forecasters, while she maintains a substantial fundraising lead over incumbent Derrick Van Orden. Cooke secured the Democratic nomination in August after defeating a primary challenger and has benefited from national Democratic support in this swing district where she narrowly lost in 2024. Van Orden remains competitive through strong Republican base mobilization and alignment with President Trump, yet faces unfavorable favorability numbers in some surveys. The September clearance of Cooke from electioneering allegations removed a potential distraction without shifting momentum. Traders price her at 70.5% largely due to these structural and polling factors heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,525結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETRebecca Cooke holds a clear edge in the Wisconsin 3rd Congressional District rematch because recent polling shows her ahead or tied in a seat rated toss-up by multiple forecasters, while she maintains a substantial fundraising lead over incumbent Derrick Van Orden. Cooke secured the Democratic nomination in August after defeating a primary challenger and has benefited from national Democratic support in this swing district where she narrowly lost in 2024. Van Orden remains competitive through strong Republican base mobilization and alignment with President Trump, yet faces unfavorable favorability numbers in some surveys. The September clearance of Cooke from electioneering allegations removed a potential distraction without shifting momentum. Traders price her at 70.5% largely due to these structural and polling factors heading into the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions