Republican Brandon Herrera holds a clear edge over Democrat Katy Padilla Stout in the November 2026 general election for Texas’s 23rd congressional district, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean and the party’s success in consolidating support after incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned in April amid a personal scandal and withdrew from the primary. Herrera advanced as the nominee following a competitive March primary where he narrowly led Gonzales, drawing strong backing from conservative voters in the majority-Hispanic, border district. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely Republican, consistent with the district’s voting history and the absence of recent polling showing a Democratic surge. The ongoing vacancy, with no special election scheduled, has not shifted the November outlook, though turnout patterns among Hispanic voters and any late campaign developments could influence the final margin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$38,876 交易量
$38,876 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
69%
民主黨
33%
$38,876 交易量
$38,876 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$22,862 交易量
69%
民主黨
$16,014 交易量
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Brandon Herrera holds a clear edge over Democrat Katy Padilla Stout in the November 2026 general election for Texas’s 23rd congressional district, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean and the party’s success in consolidating support after incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned in April amid a personal scandal and withdrew from the primary. Herrera advanced as the nominee following a competitive March primary where he narrowly led Gonzales, drawing strong backing from conservative voters in the majority-Hispanic, border district. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely Republican, consistent with the district’s voting history and the absence of recent polling showing a Democratic surge. The ongoing vacancy, with no special election scheduled, has not shifted the November outlook, though turnout patterns among Hispanic voters and any late campaign developments could influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$38,876結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Brandon Herrera holds a clear edge over Democrat Katy Padilla Stout in the November 2026 general election for Texas’s 23rd congressional district, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean and the party’s success in consolidating support after incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned in April amid a personal scandal and withdrew from the primary. Herrera advanced as the nominee following a competitive March primary where he narrowly led Gonzales, drawing strong backing from conservative voters in the majority-Hispanic, border district. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely Republican, consistent with the district’s voting history and the absence of recent polling showing a Democratic surge. The ongoing vacancy, with no special election scheduled, has not shifted the November outlook, though turnout patterns among Hispanic voters and any late campaign developments could influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$38,876結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Brandon Herrera holds a clear edge over Democrat Katy Padilla Stout in the November 2026 general election for Texas’s 23rd congressional district, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean and the party’s success in consolidating support after incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned in April amid a personal scandal and withdrew from the primary. Herrera advanced as the nominee following a competitive March primary where he narrowly led Gonzales, drawing strong backing from conservative voters in the majority-Hispanic, border district. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely Republican, consistent with the district’s voting history and the absence of recent polling showing a Democratic surge. The ongoing vacancy, with no special election scheduled, has not shifted the November outlook, though turnout patterns among Hispanic voters and any late campaign developments could influence the final margin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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