Texas's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Jake Ellzey secured the Republican nomination with 66 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Danny Minton advanced unopposed. These structural factors, combined with the district's suburban Dallas-Fort Worth footprint and limited Democratic fundraising, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 90.5 percent. A national Democratic surge, significant local economic shifts, or late-breaking candidate developments could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$35,414 交易量
$35,414 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
$35,414 交易量
$35,414 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
$14,192 交易量
91%
Democratic Party
$21,222 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Jake Ellzey secured the Republican nomination with 66 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Danny Minton advanced unopposed. These structural factors, combined with the district's suburban Dallas-Fort Worth footprint and limited Democratic fundraising, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 90.5 percent. A national Democratic surge, significant local economic shifts, or late-breaking candidate developments could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$35,414結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Jake Ellzey secured the Republican nomination with 66 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Danny Minton advanced unopposed. These structural factors, combined with the district's suburban Dallas-Fort Worth footprint and limited Democratic fundraising, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 90.5 percent. A national Democratic surge, significant local economic shifts, or late-breaking candidate developments could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$35,414結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Jake Ellzey secured the Republican nomination with 66 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Danny Minton advanced unopposed. These structural factors, combined with the district's suburban Dallas-Fort Worth footprint and limited Democratic fundraising, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 90.5 percent. A national Democratic surge, significant local economic shifts, or late-breaking candidate developments could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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