Virginia's 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent urban-suburban voting patterns across Hampton Roads, underpins the 96.3 percent trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott advanced unopposed through the August 2026 primary after winning 70 percent in the prior cycle, while Republican nominee Edwin Rivera operates with limited fundraising and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. This positioning aligns with historical results and the absence of competitive polling or external developments that would signal an upset. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include a late national partisan swing, turnout surge, or unforeseen candidate-specific events, though none currently appear on the horizon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$63,234 交易量
$63,234 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
96%
共和黨
3%
$63,234 交易量
$63,234 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$21,571 交易量
96%
共和黨
$41,664 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent urban-suburban voting patterns across Hampton Roads, underpins the 96.3 percent trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott advanced unopposed through the August 2026 primary after winning 70 percent in the prior cycle, while Republican nominee Edwin Rivera operates with limited fundraising and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. This positioning aligns with historical results and the absence of competitive polling or external developments that would signal an upset. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include a late national partisan swing, turnout surge, or unforeseen candidate-specific events, though none currently appear on the horizon.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$63,234結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent urban-suburban voting patterns across Hampton Roads, underpins the 96.3 percent trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott advanced unopposed through the August 2026 primary after winning 70 percent in the prior cycle, while Republican nominee Edwin Rivera operates with limited fundraising and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. This positioning aligns with historical results and the absence of competitive polling or external developments that would signal an upset. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include a late national partisan swing, turnout surge, or unforeseen candidate-specific events, though none currently appear on the horizon.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$63,234結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETVirginia's 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent urban-suburban voting patterns across Hampton Roads, underpins the 96.3 percent trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott advanced unopposed through the August 2026 primary after winning 70 percent in the prior cycle, while Republican nominee Edwin Rivera operates with limited fundraising and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. This positioning aligns with historical results and the absence of competitive polling or external developments that would signal an upset. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include a late national partisan swing, turnout surge, or unforeseen candidate-specific events, though none currently appear on the horizon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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