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icon for 密歇根州參議院選舉贏家
政治·密歇根州期中考

密歇根州參議院選舉贏家

icon for 密歇根州參議院選舉贏家
政治·密歇根州期中考

密歇根州參議院選舉贏家

Polymarket

$709,294 交易量

Polymarket

$709,294 交易量

icon for 阿卜杜勒·埃爾-賽義德（民主黨）

阿卜杜勒·埃爾-賽義德（民主黨）

$391,348 交易量

63%

icon for 麥克·羅傑斯（共和黨）

麥克·羅傑斯（共和黨）

$317,947 交易量

37%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed holds a clear lead in the Michigan Senate market as traders price in his narrow but consistent edge in recent polling aggregates for the open seat. Multiple surveys from early September, including Trafalgar and CNN/SSRS, show El-Sayed ahead or tied with Rogers by low single digits among likely voters, reflecting the Democrat’s strength with younger, college-educated, and urban blocs alongside his primary win and fundraising momentum. Rogers counters with advantages among independents, older voters, and non-college graduates, bolstered by his congressional record and cash reserves, yet faces headwinds in a state where affordability and healthcare costs dominate voter concerns. Recent exchanges over 9/11 voting records and campaign ties have sharpened attacks without shifting the overall competitive positioning ahead of November.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$709,294
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed holds a clear lead in the Michigan Senate market as traders price in his narrow but consistent edge in recent polling aggregates for the open seat. Multiple surveys from early September, including Trafalgar and CNN/SSRS, show El-Sayed ahead or tied with Rogers by low single digits among likely voters, reflecting the Democrat’s strength with younger, college-educated, and urban blocs alongside his primary win and fundraising momentum. Rogers counters with advantages among independents, older voters, and non-college graduates, bolstered by his congressional record and cash reserves, yet faces headwinds in a state where affordability and healthcare costs dominate voter concerns. Recent exchanges over 9/11 voting records and campaign ties have sharpened attacks without shifting the overall competitive positioning ahead of November.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$709,294
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"密歇根州參議院選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "阿卜杜勒·埃爾-賽義德（民主黨）" at 63%, followed by "麥克·羅傑斯（共和黨）" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "密歇根州參議院選舉贏家" has generated $709.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "密歇根州參議院選舉贏家," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "密歇根州參議院選舉贏家" is "阿卜杜勒·埃爾-賽義德（民主黨）" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "麥克·羅傑斯（共和黨）" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "密歇根州參議院選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.