Michigan stands out as traders’ consensus top Democratic opportunity among 2026 Senate toss-ups because it is an open seat in a perennial battleground where recent post-primary polls have shown Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed remaining competitive against Republican Mike Rogers. Multiple forecasters rate the race a toss-up, reflecting its even partisan lean and the national environment’s impact on voter sentiment. Alaska follows as the next most favored pickup target, driven by former Representative Mary Peltola’s strong nonpartisan primary performance and ranked-choice voting dynamics against incumbent Dan Sullivan. Maine, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas trail further behind after late-August shifts by handicappers such as the Cook Political Report moved them into toss-up status amid tighter polling and broader economic concerns, though each carries greater structural challenges for Democrats.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於密歇根州 60%
阿拉斯加 24%
緬因州 13%
德州 7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
密歇根州
60%
阿拉斯加
24%
緬因州
13%
德州
7%
愛荷華州
4%
俄亥俄州
3%
密歇根州 60%
阿拉斯加 24%
緬因州 13%
德州 7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
密歇根州
$645 交易量
60%
阿拉斯加
$164 交易量
24%
緬因州
$84 交易量
13%
德州
$84 交易量
7%
愛荷華州
$84 交易量
4%
俄亥俄州
$102 交易量
3%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Michigan stands out as traders’ consensus top Democratic opportunity among 2026 Senate toss-ups because it is an open seat in a perennial battleground where recent post-primary polls have shown Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed remaining competitive against Republican Mike Rogers. Multiple forecasters rate the race a toss-up, reflecting its even partisan lean and the national environment’s impact on voter sentiment. Alaska follows as the next most favored pickup target, driven by former Representative Mary Peltola’s strong nonpartisan primary performance and ranked-choice voting dynamics against incumbent Dan Sullivan. Maine, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas trail further behind after late-August shifts by handicappers such as the Cook Political Report moved them into toss-up status amid tighter polling and broader economic concerns, though each carries greater structural challenges for Democrats.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
交易量
$1,163結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 1:44 PM ETThe 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Michigan stands out as traders’ consensus top Democratic opportunity among 2026 Senate toss-ups because it is an open seat in a perennial battleground where recent post-primary polls have shown Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed remaining competitive against Republican Mike Rogers. Multiple forecasters rate the race a toss-up, reflecting its even partisan lean and the national environment’s impact on voter sentiment. Alaska follows as the next most favored pickup target, driven by former Representative Mary Peltola’s strong nonpartisan primary performance and ranked-choice voting dynamics against incumbent Dan Sullivan. Maine, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas trail further behind after late-August shifts by handicappers such as the Cook Political Report moved them into toss-up status amid tighter polling and broader economic concerns, though each carries greater structural challenges for Democrats.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,163結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 1:44 PM ETMichigan stands out as traders’ consensus top Democratic opportunity among 2026 Senate toss-ups because it is an open seat in a perennial battleground where recent post-primary polls have shown Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed remaining competitive against Republican Mike Rogers. Multiple forecasters rate the race a toss-up, reflecting its even partisan lean and the national environment’s impact on voter sentiment. Alaska follows as the next most favored pickup target, driven by former Representative Mary Peltola’s strong nonpartisan primary performance and ranked-choice voting dynamics against incumbent Dan Sullivan. Maine, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas trail further behind after late-August shifts by handicappers such as the Cook Political Report moved them into toss-up status amid tighter polling and broader economic concerns, though each carries greater structural challenges for Democrats.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions