Incumbent Democratic Representative Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, with trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 92.5% implied probability of victory. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s recent partisan shift, Scholten’s 2024 reelection margin, and her substantial fundraising advantage. Republican nominee Terri DeBoer, a longtime local meteorologist, secured her primary but faces structural challenges in a seat that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. The wide gap in market pricing aligns with historical base rates for incumbent-protected districts. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts, turnout surges in key counties like Kent and Ottawa, or unforeseen candidate events remain the primary variables that could narrow the outcome before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$20,217 交易量
$20,217 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$20,217 交易量
$20,217 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
$15,515 交易量
93%
Republican Party
$4,702 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, with trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 92.5% implied probability of victory. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s recent partisan shift, Scholten’s 2024 reelection margin, and her substantial fundraising advantage. Republican nominee Terri DeBoer, a longtime local meteorologist, secured her primary but faces structural challenges in a seat that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. The wide gap in market pricing aligns with historical base rates for incumbent-protected districts. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts, turnout surges in key counties like Kent and Ottawa, or unforeseen candidate events remain the primary variables that could narrow the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
交易量
$20,217結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, with trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 92.5% implied probability of victory. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s recent partisan shift, Scholten’s 2024 reelection margin, and her substantial fundraising advantage. Republican nominee Terri DeBoer, a longtime local meteorologist, secured her primary but faces structural challenges in a seat that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. The wide gap in market pricing aligns with historical base rates for incumbent-protected districts. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts, turnout surges in key counties like Kent and Ottawa, or unforeseen candidate events remain the primary variables that could narrow the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$20,217結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETIncumbent Democratic Representative Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, with trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 92.5% implied probability of victory. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s recent partisan shift, Scholten’s 2024 reelection margin, and her substantial fundraising advantage. Republican nominee Terri DeBoer, a longtime local meteorologist, secured her primary but faces structural challenges in a seat that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. The wide gap in market pricing aligns with historical base rates for incumbent-protected districts. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts, turnout surges in key counties like Kent and Ottawa, or unforeseen candidate events remain the primary variables that could narrow the outcome before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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