**Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections feature a 5% national threshold for proportional representation seats.** Yabloko, the liberal opposition party with an anti-war platform, secured CEC registration in late July after submitting its federal list, yet multiple July 2026 polls place its support between 1.4% and 2.8%—well below the barrier and consistent with its 1.34% result in 2021. Ongoing administrative measures, including candidate disqualifications, fines, searches, and designations affecting dozens of its members, further constrain its visibility and organization. Systemic parties dominate polling averages, while Yabloko trails even other non-parliamentary groups like the Party of Pensioners. These factors underpin trader expectations that the party will again fall short of Duma entry via party lists.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
9% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-20
是
9% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-20
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.**Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections feature a 5% national threshold for proportional representation seats.** Yabloko, the liberal opposition party with an anti-war platform, secured CEC registration in late July after submitting its federal list, yet multiple July 2026 polls place its support between 1.4% and 2.8%—well below the barrier and consistent with its 1.34% result in 2021.
Ongoing administrative measures, including candidate disqualifications, fines, searches, and designations affecting dozens of its members, further constrain its visibility and organization. Systemic parties dominate polling averages, while Yabloko trails even other non-parliamentary groups like the Party of Pensioners. These factors underpin trader expectations that the party will again fall short of Duma entry via party lists.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ET
交易量
$3,972結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.**Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections feature a 5% national threshold for proportional representation seats.** Yabloko, the liberal opposition party with an anti-war platform, secured CEC registration in late July after submitting its federal list, yet multiple July 2026 polls place its support between 1.4% and 2.8%—well below the barrier and consistent with its 1.34% result in 2021.
Ongoing administrative measures, including candidate disqualifications, fines, searches, and designations affecting dozens of its members, further constrain its visibility and organization. Systemic parties dominate polling averages, while Yabloko trails even other non-parliamentary groups like the Party of Pensioners. These factors underpin trader expectations that the party will again fall short of Duma entry via party lists.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$3,972結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections feature a 5% national threshold for proportional representation seats.** Yabloko, the liberal opposition party with an anti-war platform, secured CEC registration in late July after submitting its federal list, yet multiple July 2026 polls place its support between 1.4% and 2.8%—well below the barrier and consistent with its 1.34% result in 2021. Ongoing administrative measures, including candidate disqualifications, fines, searches, and designations affecting dozens of its members, further constrain its visibility and organization. Systemic parties dominate polling averages, while Yabloko trails even other non-parliamentary groups like the Party of Pensioners. These factors underpin trader expectations that the party will again fall short of Duma entry via party lists.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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