Mary Peltola leads the 2026 Alaska Senate race at 65% in current trader consensus, ahead of incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan at 35.5%, following Alaska’s August 18 top-four primary. Peltola captured roughly 49.5% of primary votes to Sullivan’s 41.4%, with minor candidates including another Republican named Dan Sullivan and Democrat David Leslie advancing at low single digits. Recent general-election polling under ranked-choice voting shows a tight contest, with some surveys giving Peltola narrow edges in final rounds and others favoring Sullivan. Peltola’s primary momentum and fundraising have shaped the current positioning, while Sullivan’s incumbency and Alaska’s partisan leanings remain key factors heading into the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於瑪麗·佩爾托拉 65%
參議員丹·沙利文 36%
達斯汀·達登 <1%
候選人A <1%
$456,979 交易量
$456,979 交易量
瑪麗·佩爾托拉
65%
參議員丹·沙利文
36%
達斯汀·達登
<1%
候選人A
<1%
安·迪納
<1%
理查德·格雷森
<1%
候選人B
<1%
瑪麗·佩爾托拉 65%
參議員丹·沙利文 36%
達斯汀·達登 <1%
候選人A <1%
$456,979 交易量
$456,979 交易量
瑪麗·佩爾托拉
65%
參議員丹·沙利文
36%
達斯汀·達登
<1%
候選人A
<1%
安·迪納
<1%
理查德·格雷森
<1%
候選人B
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Mary Peltola leads the 2026 Alaska Senate race at 65% in current trader consensus, ahead of incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan at 35.5%, following Alaska’s August 18 top-four primary. Peltola captured roughly 49.5% of primary votes to Sullivan’s 41.4%, with minor candidates including another Republican named Dan Sullivan and Democrat David Leslie advancing at low single digits. Recent general-election polling under ranked-choice voting shows a tight contest, with some surveys giving Peltola narrow edges in final rounds and others favoring Sullivan. Peltola’s primary momentum and fundraising have shaped the current positioning, while Sullivan’s incumbency and Alaska’s partisan leanings remain key factors heading into the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions