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icon for 堪薩斯州參議院選舉贏家
選舉·中期

堪薩斯州參議院選舉贏家

icon for 堪薩斯州參議院選舉贏家
選舉·中期

堪薩斯州參議院選舉贏家

Polymarket

$46,437 交易量

Polymarket

$46,437 交易量

icon for 羅傑·馬歇爾（共和黨）

羅傑·馬歇爾（共和黨）

$30,144 交易量

80%

icon for 亞當·漢密爾頓（民主黨）

亞當·漢密爾頓（民主黨）

$16,293 交易量

20%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean, including Donald Trump's 16-point margin in 2024, and the absence of a Democratic Senate victory since 1932. Marshall secured his party's nomination comfortably in the August 4 primary. Democrat Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor, won a crowded 11-candidate primary with roughly 35% of the vote and raised millions early, prompting some forecasters to shift ratings from safe to likely Republican. Recent polling averages show Marshall ahead by low single digits, while broader models project a larger margin. The November 3 general election remains more than eight weeks away, with limited late-cycle developments to date.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$46,437
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean, including Donald Trump's 16-point margin in 2024, and the absence of a Democratic Senate victory since 1932. Marshall secured his party's nomination comfortably in the August 4 primary. Democrat Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor, won a crowded 11-candidate primary with roughly 35% of the vote and raised millions early, prompting some forecasters to shift ratings from safe to likely Republican. Recent polling averages show Marshall ahead by low single digits, while broader models project a larger margin. The November 3 general election remains more than eight weeks away, with limited late-cycle developments to date.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$46,437
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"堪薩斯州參議院選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "羅傑·馬歇爾（共和黨）" at 80%, followed by "亞當·漢密爾頓（民主黨）" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "堪薩斯州參議院選舉贏家" has generated $46.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "堪薩斯州參議院選舉贏家," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "堪薩斯州參議院選舉贏家" is "羅傑·馬歇爾（共和黨）" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "亞當·漢密爾頓（民主黨）" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "堪薩斯州參議院選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.