Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27 election place the re-formed Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) near 7-8 Knesset seats, aligning with vote shares clustered in the 5.5-7.5% range that dominate current market pricing. The August reunification of the three parties, followed by a surplus-vote agreement with Ra'am in mid-September, has consolidated Arab-list support while separate Ra'am polling absorbs some of the same electorate. Variations across recent surveys reflect differences in projected Arab turnout and sampling of key demographics, leaving the two leading bins closely matched. Scheduled events such as final list approvals and the remaining campaign period could still shift shares if turnout or bloc dynamics change.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6.5-7.5% 30%
4.5-5.5% 24%
7.5%以上 23%
5.5-6.5% 22%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
少於4.5%
14%
4.5-5.5%
19%
5.5-6.5%
26%
6.5-7.5%
40%
7.5%以上
23%
6.5-7.5% 30%
4.5-5.5% 24%
7.5%以上 23%
5.5-6.5% 22%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
少於4.5%
$238 交易量
14%
4.5-5.5%
$136 交易量
19%
5.5-6.5%
$115 交易量
26%
6.5-7.5%
$271 交易量
40%
7.5%以上
$154 交易量
23%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27 election place the re-formed Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) near 7-8 Knesset seats, aligning with vote shares clustered in the 5.5-7.5% range that dominate current market pricing. The August reunification of the three parties, followed by a surplus-vote agreement with Ra'am in mid-September, has consolidated Arab-list support while separate Ra'am polling absorbs some of the same electorate. Variations across recent surveys reflect differences in projected Arab turnout and sampling of key demographics, leaving the two leading bins closely matched. Scheduled events such as final list approvals and the remaining campaign period could still shift shares if turnout or bloc dynamics change.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
交易量
$914結束日期
2026-10-27市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 2:38 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27 election place the re-formed Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) near 7-8 Knesset seats, aligning with vote shares clustered in the 5.5-7.5% range that dominate current market pricing. The August reunification of the three parties, followed by a surplus-vote agreement with Ra'am in mid-September, has consolidated Arab-list support while separate Ra'am polling absorbs some of the same electorate. Variations across recent surveys reflect differences in projected Arab turnout and sampling of key demographics, leaving the two leading bins closely matched. Scheduled events such as final list approvals and the remaining campaign period could still shift shares if turnout or bloc dynamics change.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
交易量
$914結束日期
2026-10-27市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 2:38 PM ETRecent polling averages for Israel's October 27 election place the re-formed Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) near 7-8 Knesset seats, aligning with vote shares clustered in the 5.5-7.5% range that dominate current market pricing. The August reunification of the three parties, followed by a surplus-vote agreement with Ra'am in mid-September, has consolidated Arab-list support while separate Ra'am polling absorbs some of the same electorate. Variations across recent surveys reflect differences in projected Arab turnout and sampling of key demographics, leaving the two leading bins closely matched. Scheduled events such as final list approvals and the remaining campaign period could still shift shares if turnout or bloc dynamics change.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions