Skip to main content

如需在美國交易，請前往 polymarket.us

icon for 加州州長選舉獲勝者
選舉·加州期中考

加州州長選舉獲勝者

icon for 加州州長選舉獲勝者
選舉·加州期中考

加州州長選舉獲勝者

哈維爾·貝塞拉 95.4%

史蒂夫·希爾頓 4.6%

Rick Caruso <1%

亞歷克斯·帕迪利亞 <1%

Polymarket

$41,258,384 交易量

哈維爾·貝塞拉 95.4%

史蒂夫·希爾頓 4.6%

Rick Caruso <1%

亞歷克斯·帕迪利亞 <1%

Polymarket

$41,258,384 交易量

哈維爾·貝塞拉

$2,065,163 交易量

95%

史蒂夫·希爾頓

$2,877,885 交易量

5%

Rick Caruso

$1,797,457 交易量

<1%

亞歷克斯·帕迪利亞

$1,996,672 交易量

<1%

凱蒂·波特

$1,770,153 交易量

<1%

安東尼奧·維拉瑞戈薩

$1,617,980 交易量

<1%

史蒂芬·克魯貝克

$1,572,637 交易量

<1%

Butch Ware

$1,313,396 交易量

<1%

貝蒂·易

$1,748,031 交易量

<1%

托尼·阿特金斯

$1,557,590 交易量

<1%

Kyle Langford

$1,828,759 交易量

<1%

查德·比安科

$1,947,361 交易量

<1%

Eleni Kounalakis

$1,431,189 交易量

<1%

Daniel Mercuri

$1,396,558 交易量

<1%

Tony Thurmond

$1,425,729 交易量

<1%

邁克爾·楊格

$1,546,580 交易量

<1%

Leo Zacky

$1,094,831 交易量

<1%

妮可·沙納漢

$1,778,283 交易量

<1%

埃里克·斯沃韋爾

$1,497,145 交易量

<1%

湯姆·斯泰爾

$4,794,823 交易量

<1%

卡馬拉·哈里斯

$1,567,326 交易量

<1%

馬特·馬漢

$1,370,450 交易量

<1%

伊蓮·庫洛蒂

$1,262,386 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Xavier Becerra holds a commanding position in the 2026 California gubernatorial race following his first-place finish in the June top-two primary, where he advanced alongside Republican Steve Hilton after consolidating Democratic support amid a crowded field. As former state attorney general and U.S. Health and Human Services secretary, Becerra benefits from extensive government experience and broad party backing in a state where registered Democrats significantly outnumber Republicans. Recent polling shows him leading Hilton by 20 points or more among likely voters, consistent with historical patterns where no Republican has won a statewide office since 2006. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage and Becerra’s steady campaign focus on affordability and state issues. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift could still narrow the gap before the November 3 election.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
交易量
$41,258,384
結束日期
2026-11-04
市場開放時間
Oct 9, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

結算方

0x2f5e3684c...
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Xavier Becerra holds a commanding position in the 2026 California gubernatorial race following his first-place finish in the June top-two primary, where he advanced alongside Republican Steve Hilton after consolidating Democratic support amid a crowded field. As former state attorney general and U.S. Health and Human Services secretary, Becerra benefits from extensive government experience and broad party backing in a state where registered Democrats significantly outnumber Republicans. Recent polling shows him leading Hilton by 20 points or more among likely voters, consistent with historical patterns where no Republican has won a statewide office since 2006. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage and Becerra’s steady campaign focus on affordability and state issues. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift could still narrow the gap before the November 3 election.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
交易量
$41,258,384
結束日期
2026-11-04
市場開放時間
Oct 9, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

結算方

0x2f5e3684c...

相關

icon for Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?

Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?

95%
icon for Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

79%
icon for Will Xavier Becerra win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?

Will Xavier Becerra win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?

64%

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"加州州長選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "哈維爾·貝塞拉" at 96%, followed by "史蒂夫·希爾頓" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "加州州長選舉獲勝者" has generated $41.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "加州州長選舉獲勝者," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "加州州長選舉獲勝者" is "哈維爾·貝塞拉" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "史蒂夫·希爾頓" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "加州州長選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.