The heavily Democratic composition of California's 11th Congressional District, which encompasses San Francisco, underpins the near-certain Democratic outcome in the November 2026 general election. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after decades in the seat triggered a June 2026 top-two primary dominated by Democratic candidates, with state Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan advancing after securing over 70% of the vote combined; Republican contenders received under 6%. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic based on the district's consistent partisan voting patterns and lack of competitive opposition. A Republican victory would require unprecedented shifts in turnout or candidate viability not observed in recent cycles.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$21,768 交易量
$21,768 交易量
2026-11-02
Democratic Party
99%
Republican Party
1%
$21,768 交易量
$21,768 交易量
2026-11-02
Democratic Party
$14,980 交易量
99%
Republican Party
$6,788 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of California's 11th Congressional District, which encompasses San Francisco, underpins the near-certain Democratic outcome in the November 2026 general election. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after decades in the seat triggered a June 2026 top-two primary dominated by Democratic candidates, with state Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan advancing after securing over 70% of the vote combined; Republican contenders received under 6%. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic based on the district's consistent partisan voting patterns and lack of competitive opposition. A Republican victory would require unprecedented shifts in turnout or candidate viability not observed in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$21,768結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of California's 11th Congressional District, which encompasses San Francisco, underpins the near-certain Democratic outcome in the November 2026 general election. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after decades in the seat triggered a June 2026 top-two primary dominated by Democratic candidates, with state Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan advancing after securing over 70% of the vote combined; Republican contenders received under 6%. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic based on the district's consistent partisan voting patterns and lack of competitive opposition. A Republican victory would require unprecedented shifts in turnout or candidate viability not observed in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,768結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETThe heavily Democratic composition of California's 11th Congressional District, which encompasses San Francisco, underpins the near-certain Democratic outcome in the November 2026 general election. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after decades in the seat triggered a June 2026 top-two primary dominated by Democratic candidates, with state Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan advancing after securing over 70% of the vote combined; Republican contenders received under 6%. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic based on the district's consistent partisan voting patterns and lack of competitive opposition. A Republican victory would require unprecedented shifts in turnout or candidate viability not observed in recent cycles.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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